February 2022 Obs & Discussions

17° and the snow pack lives on. 33 straight days and counting.

It will be interesting to see if this snow, ice, and sleet encrusted block of snow and ice can make it through 3-4 days of highs in the 40's. My money is on the snow pack.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:17° and the snow pack lives on. 33 straight days and counting.

It will be interesting to see if this snow, ice, and sleet encrusted block of snow and ice can make it through 3-4 days of highs in the 40's. My money is on the snow pack.

30 degrees, sunny calm winds.

Well, here is the way I see it CP.Even though we get into the 40's today. Thursday and Friday, each night we drop below freezing.Saturday is the mildest day, but it says cloudy , so the sun won't do much harm.Maybe an inch or two of snow if the GFS pans out then back in the deep freeze again.If we can stay cold and have a refresher snowstorm, we may get to the end of February.

General F. Lake, 22nd Snowpack Defense Division
Reporting from the Lower Hudson Valley front defending the snowpack.

Hit 53* today, the yard is a soggy mess!

heehaw453 wrote:57 degrees in February.  Many times warm temps precede snow in February.

33 degrees and clear.
Good observation Heehaw.I have seen this many times over the years, a torch for a few days then a week later a good snowstorm.Classic example of that was the March 1888 Blizzard.People were sunning themselves in Central Park a few days before it hit.

63*amd Sunny. Trying to make lemonade out of lemons. Ironically my sons soccer team had an outdoor scrimmage against NYSC scheduled for today and it’s spring weather. Not going to lie, it feels amazing in the sun. We aren’t in control so go out and find the good in every day, because lord knows there is a lot of evil in the world today.

50 and mostly cloudy. The snowpack survived this week but there are a few bare spots now in the usual areasbut still 80% coverage. Amazing how 5 inches of solid ice and snow held up to the onslaught of sun and 50 for four days. A new 5 inches of powder would not have lasted a day.

So the streak lives but on life support. 37 straight days and counting.

dkodgis wrote:It would be nice to have the missing stanzas link about Othelia the groundhog so I could reminisce   

CP, ¿dónde está el hilo de discusión?

Damian, they are in the OTI sub forum with a separate thread dedicated to Orange Othelia.

As far as I know no historians have found anything yet pertinent to this year’s predictions for spring maybe in the next couple of weeks they will uncover some thing.

amugs wrote:HRDPS



This is getting interesting. Mesos have been all over since HRRR and NAMs jumped on it last night.
One thing, the warmer ground near the coast is and on LI is going to inhibit and keep the snowfall accumulations down UNLESS you get under the heaviest axis of banding aka frontgenesis.

I’m not so sure about that warm ground theory. It was sunny and breezy and dry today. The ground dried out pretty well. By the time the precip moves into LI at least avg temp is upper twenties to thirty. I think temps will plummet pretty quick and I don’t think the ground will retain that much heat. Should be clear for awhile helping radiative cooling. We’ll see.