Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Beautiful day...started 40* for the low and real feel of 35* finished cleaning my perennial garden bed today..sad. ..currently 60* The pool is down and I really wanted to re seal the deck..I have a window of Tues and Wed..its not usually this cold at night this time of year..but I will be a maniac on Tues sealing..NO ONE in this house better ask me "What is for dinner?" on Tues...lol
Hope everyone enjoys this beautiful day!

This could be one heck of cold shot for mid October, big discharge of arctic air - BIG NAO Block and West Coast Ridge along with EPO block over Alaskan region

dkodgis wrote:Crock pot is your friend, mom

Yes! use it all the time and I made dinner in it yesterday..enough left over for Tuesday...there should be no questions asked...we are up against the clock this year. Love the cold possibly coming in faster..but on flip side have to work harder to get my projects done and I usually seal the deck every couple of years the week we got Ian leftovers...so now in a hurry..

From the Siberian Snow extent Coverage at this time as compared to other years - IMPRESSIVE but not two set ups are alike. Just showing what could be by this metric, if you call it such.

This has snow chance for NY State up through GL and NE.

Good soaking Rain Thursday with the big cold front

amugs wrote:Good soaking Rain Thursday with the big cold front

Great news! Keeps denting that drought we had this summer.All lawns up here look beautiful with the cooler temps and rains we have had.

Slight risk for sever weather Thursday

63 degrees, sunny, calm.Absolutely beautiful October Fall day, colors are splendid up here, 50% now.
Did some yard work earlier.

Beautiful day! 73 high temp Thank goodness almost all done with everything outside..garden , 2 decks sealed..in one day (hubby ordered pizza..lol) pool folded and tucked away almost ready to  start reading the 20 books I have in a stack!

amugs wrote:Slight risk for sever weather Thursday

mugs that's WPC, that's for excessive rainfall. SPC has a marginal risk for t-storms for jersey and scraping NYC.

Happy Tidings all! Wow, it took me like 3 days to read all the posts just from the start of the Ian discussion- so much good stuff in there, thanks! Down here in Bayville, I think that last week we hit that 8-10" mark that someone in here alluded to a few days ago. It was amazing how the heavy rains just kept coming. And the call seemed to be for Tuesday to be the end of it, but clear into Wednesday evening it went on and on...lol.
(Doc- I wonder if the Shore might be STILL locked in to that sweet spot! )

Either way, I'm gonna continue to soak up all this heavenly fall weather while it's still here! So, here's to everyone's health and fortunes for the upcoming season (and beyond) and may our winter be filled with fun trackings and bullseyes and a positive PNA for all.  

SENJsnowman wrote:Happy Tidings all! Wow, it took me like 3 days to read all the posts just from the start of the Ian discussion- so much good stuff in there, thanks! Down here in Bayville, I think that last week we hit that 8-10" mark that someone in here alluded to a few days ago. It was amazing how the heavy rains just kept coming. And the call seemed to be for Tuesday to be the end of it, but clear into Wednesday evening it went on and on...lol.
(Doc- I wonder if the Shore might be STILL locked in to that sweet spot! )

Either way, I'm gonna continue to soak up all this heavenly fall weather while it's still here! So, here's to everyone's health and fortunes for the upcoming season (and beyond) and may our winter be filled with fun trackings and bullseyes and a positive PNA for all.  

Hey, SE, that storm dumping all that rain on you could be a little hint of the upcoming pattern.Way too early and we will be observing closely.

MJO going into Phase 6 n 7 towardsbthen2nd half of Rocktober. Bigly Cold Shot next week. Lake Effect snow machine opens up.

Okay battle of models for last week of Rocktober. MJO maps support th3 GFS but a blend would be interesting. WURO would have a Sandy/Hazel blend track.
MJO Phase 6 BN Temps next week

MJO Phase 7 N temps as the big ol trough retrogrades west as we are about N

Euro says no

Windy day manana 20 -25 mph gusts.

Find the cold front....

Windy and moderate rains here. Leaves blowing around, total fall night

.94" yesterday - nice soaking event!