Re: Banter Thread 8.0

[weatherwatchermom]

This is just crazy...

[sroc4]

This is just crazy...

Momma. Is that you and the dog in front of your house?

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

This is just crazy...

I’m about as hard core snow lover as there is but I draw the line at about half that.

A sudden thaw and heavy rain which can easily happen there this time of year, and these people will see flooding like they’ve never imagined. Hope it doesn’t happen.

[weatherwatchermom]

This is just crazy...

Momma. Is that you and the dog in front of your house?

Haha no I pulled that off of a Twitter feed.that is in California . but that will as I said us next year while son off at school .and we will have snow like this to shovel on our own. I promise not to complain..

[weatherwatchermom]

This is just crazy...

I’m about as hard core snow lover as there is but I draw the line at about half that.

A sudden thaw and heavy rain which can easily happen there this time of year, and these people will see flooding like they’ve never imagined. Hope it doesn’t happen.

California can not catch a break with weather...this will be a nightmare when it thaws

[weatherwatchermom]

Hillarious Jeff Smith on Channel 7 started to mention a possible storm for next weekend that we will tract all week and the other anchors were like "WHY ARE YOU SMILING? "..and he laughs and says "Because I have been bored all winter!"

[frank 638]

Hillarious Jeff Smith on Channel 7 started to mention a possible storm for next weekend that we will tract all week and the other anchors were like "WHY ARE YOU SMILING? "..and he laughs and says "Because I have been bored all winter!"

lol and us snow lovers are suffering all winter long

[weatherwatchermom]

Hillarious Jeff Smith on Channel 7 started to mention a possible storm for next weekend that we will tract all week and the other anchors were like "WHY ARE YOU SMILING? "..and he laughs and says "Because I have been bored all winter!"

lol and us snow lovers are suffering all winter long

He's hoping for something as well!

[Math23x7]

Did anyone see tonight’s 0Z EURO OP for early next week? Still technically in fantasy range, but great Eye candy.

[Math23x7]

Three years ago today, we had the Morristown meetup, which happened just days before the coronavirus shutdowns took place.



To date, this is the last official NJ Strong meetup.

[docstox12]

Three years ago today, we had the Morristown meetup, which happened just days before the coronavirus shutdowns took place.



To date, this is the last official NJ Strong meetup.

Always liked this photo.Reminds me of what people must have felt just before Pearl Harbor or 9-11.A major life and world changing event just around the corner ,but who knew?Hope there can be another meet up one day.

[dkodgis]

I can’t put names to the two ladies and the gentleman on the right.

And here is the next flood awaiting

https://www.instagram.com/reel/CnrM_F8BeTB/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=

[Math23x7]

I can’t put names to the two ladies and the gentleman on the right.

And here is the next flood awaiting

https://www.instagram.com/reel/CnrM_F8BeTB/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=

From left to right in the photo:

Frank, Math23x7 (myself), brownie, Janet (Dunnzoo) and Billg315 (Bill)

[dkodgis]

Thanks!

[amugs]

⁦@NorCalWeather⁩ ⁦@JimCantore⁩
The Worlds largest snow blower, a Union Pacific RR Rotary snowplow churns through ten foot deep pack a few miles west of historic Donner Pass in California High Sierra. New snowfall today brings the seasonal total to 600” in the top 10. pic.twitter.com/RHGBqscO9V

— Mike Pechner (@NorCalWeather) March 7, 2023

AWESOME!!

[sroc4]

If that Euro happens verbatim I will not be on (cuz I would be so sour), 6 inches and but 40 miles maybe less to NW 25-30 inches, thats just a horse kick to the head. Not taking anything with snow maps to heart now this far out just saying. There must be a lot of rain and mixing on coast (6-9/10 showing IMBY) for there to be 12+ just a few miles inland. I will take the UKMET, much better for more people on here. But I am sure CP will take that Euro verbatim, I guess 6+ is still pretty darn good now to think of it but it would still be disappointing. But those maps will change 20x before game time.

More negativity Jon

Bah kick ricks lol jk, actually not being in the kill zone is a good thing usually now that I think of it. And in the end it is what it is right. We can't control weather. Not being negative being truthful thats not allowed? I am cracking up because I never understood that emoji thought it was a guy with a pony tail, then i saw the wording for it "scratch" and ahhh makes sense lmao. You know we all want to be in that hot spot come on now

But in more seriousness, when I saw the maps of the storm it looked like all snow all way down well past coast NYC area but judging from that Euro run snow map above there would have to have been mixing issues for coast with such lower amounts but model run did not show that, it showed all snow. Can you explain?

First nothing you are saying is truthful in the slightest.  All your doing is offering up a pessimistic opinion on what might happen.  The reality of your back yard or mine or CP's of anyone on here is not set in stone.  If you want to gripe about it being too warm, without any reasoning other than "Well its this winter"  and not offering up any actual evidence or analysis as to your reasoning youre more than welcome, but do it here.  

As far as snow map details Im not going to take the time to explain why a single snow map 100+ hrs out looks a certain way.  Youve been following along with us long enough to know why it may look that way.  We all know at this lead time those details on those maps mean nothing.  Iron out the upper levels first; then work on the surface details for your backyard and mine...ie: not until over the weekend.  

[amugs]

What's the saying.....if you nothing to say.....then don't!!
Negativity will only bring you down, scientifically proven.

[jmanley32]

If that Euro happens verbatim I will not be on (cuz I would be so sour), 6 inches and but 40 miles maybe less to NW 25-30 inches, thats just a horse kick to the head. Not taking anything with snow maps to heart now this far out just saying. There must be a lot of rain and mixing on coast (6-9/10 showing IMBY) for there to be 12+ just a few miles inland. I will take the UKMET, much better for more people on here. But I am sure CP will take that Euro verbatim, I guess 6+ is still pretty darn good now to think of it but it would still be disappointing. But those maps will change 20x before game time.

More negativity Jon

Bah kick ricks lol jk, actually not being in the kill zone is a good thing usually now that I think of it. And in the end it is what it is right. We can't control weather. Not being negative being truthful thats not allowed? I am cracking up because I never understood that emoji thought it was a guy with a pony tail, then i saw the wording for it "scratch" and ahhh makes sense lmao. You know we all want to be in that hot spot come on now

But in more seriousness, when I saw the maps of the storm it looked like all snow all way down well past coast NYC area but judging from that Euro run snow map above there would have to have been mixing issues for coast with such lower amounts but model run did not show that, it showed all snow. Can you explain?

First nothing you are saying is truthful in the slightest.  All your doing is offering up a pessimistic opinion on what might happen.  The reality of your back yard or mine or CP's of anyone on here is not set in stone.  If you want to gripe about it being too warm, without any reasoning other than "Well its this winter"  and not offering up any actual evidence or analysis as to your reasoning youre more than welcome, but do it here.  

As far as snow map details Im not going to take the time to explain why a single snow map 100+ hrs out looks a certain way.  Youve been following along with us long enough to know why it may look that way.  We all know at this lead time those details on those maps mean nothing.  Iron out the upper levels first; then work on the surface details for your backyard and mine...ie: not until over the weekend.  

Okay truthful in the sense of hoiw agitated I feel, no interms of any helpful analysis no I will admit its not helpful and should be in here. This is just very frustrating looking like one second we are improving chances with this one and then not sure and then not. I greatly appreciate all that you guys do and provide though at times hard to understand because you all seem to be on somewhat of a different page, which is understandable no one is going to have the exact same analysis. I think this year has just been way to many kicks and the fact that we have a nice coastal that could completely miss most of us is just so bittering, sorry but I cannot imagine that some of you must feel the same. I have seen CP (no offense) get far angrier than I was in this post and I feel like its okay for some and not others (ie me). I will from now on keep in banter for sure but this is just oh so frustrating but I am really hoping this will end up being good for most not just way upstate and far NW NJ. Though of course I want them all to get it, not wanting anyone to not get it. Nice meme from the sandlot, dunno what the other one is from.

[jmanley32]

What's the saying.....if you nothing to say.....then don't!!
Negativity will only bring you down, scientifically proven.

Provide the evidence please. I think not expressing your feelings is bad and that is proven or at least evident to me in my line of work, I should know I work with people diagnosed with mental illness and if they do not express their feelings negative or not they will just bottle it up till they explode, never a good thing. It is working to change thought process and being able to utilize coping mechanisms to manage stressors, anxiety depression etc. Yes I should probably take my own skills and utilize on my self but often it is hard to practice what we preach. If we are able then we are golden. Like my mom has always said "it is what it is."

[jmanley32]

Three years ago today, we had the Morristown meetup, which happened just days before the coronavirus shutdowns took place.



To date, this is the last official NJ Strong meetup.

Always liked this photo.Reminds me of what people must have felt just before Pearl Harbor or 9-11.A major life and world changing event just around the corner ,but who knew?Hope there can be another meet up one day.

Sorry I missed this one looks like a good time, I promise I am much less annoyed in person, online I feel like it is just easier to fire off like a pistol. you forget that its still reality and real people you are talking to. Many of you have met me and know I am a friendly guy. Though it has been way to many years.

[Quietace]

Three years ago today, we had the Morristown meetup, which happened just days before the coronavirus shutdowns took place.



To date, this is the last official NJ Strong meetup.

Always liked this photo.Reminds me of what people must have felt just before Pearl Harbor or 9-11.A major life and world changing event just around the corner ,but who knew?Hope there can be another meet up one day.

Sorry I missed this one looks like a good time, I promise I am much less annoyed in person, online I feel like it is just easier to fire off like a pistol. you forget that its still reality and real people you are talking to. Many of you have met me and know I am a friendly guy. Though it has been way to many years.

I think it's been about 8 or 9 years (circa 2014?), but I still remember chatting. Almost everyone here means well Jon, including you.
Sometimes things in a communal space get frustrating, especially when the one thing the community revolves around is not going to well. Sometimes you just have to take a step back and take a breath, most things are not personal and are not meant in a negative way. But when everything is going wrong, sometimes that last little bit of negativity can set people off- which is why we separate analysis threads from banter threads.

You can banter your feelings away whenever you want on my watch, as long as it is in the banter thread 

[jmanley32]

Three years ago today, we had the Morristown meetup, which happened just days before the coronavirus shutdowns took place.



To date, this is the last official NJ Strong meetup.

Always liked this photo.Reminds me of what people must have felt just before Pearl Harbor or 9-11.A major life and world changing event just around the corner ,but who knew?Hope there can be another meet up one day.

Sorry I missed this one looks like a good time, I promise I am much less annoyed in person, online I feel like it is just easier to fire off like a pistol. you forget that its still reality and real people you are talking to. Many of you have met me and know I am a friendly guy. Though it has been way to many years.

I think it's been about 8 or 9 years (circa 2014?), but I still remember chatting. Almost everyone here means well Jon, including you.
Sometimes things in a communal space get frustrating, especially when the one thing the community revolves around is not going to well. Sometimes you just have to take a step back and take a breath, most things are not personal and are not meant in a negative way. But when everything is going wrong, sometimes that last little bit of negativity can set people off- which is why we separate analysis threads from banter threads.

You can banter your feelings away whenever you want on my watch, as long as it is in the banter thread 

Your very right and thanks. And you need to post more, your stuff is good. Wish we saw Rb too and am bit concerned where Al has been all season.

[jmanley32]

This is just crazy...

I’m about as hard core snow lover as there is but I draw the line at about half that.

A sudden thaw and heavy rain which can easily happen there this time of year, and these people will see flooding like they’ve never imagined. Hope it doesn’t happen.

California can not catch a break with weather...this will be a nightmare when it thaws

Insane, cool to look at but no thanks to being there. Just wild.

[jmanley32]

Gonna be honest in here, this totally sucks if it ends up being all rain for coast, I honestly don't think a C-3 will stick after 2 inches plus of rain. I cannot believe we have such a bomb of a storm and its go skunk most, if I could get into that 6-10 id be very happy, even the 3-6 which is 10 miles north of me. Ugg, not having agita myself, more frustration but nothing this winter has topped this frustration level.

[jmanley32]

Please please please for the love of god let this be our last winter system (what a waste of time), onto spring and warmth and hurricane tracking eventually. I wonder will the la nina help or dampen hurricane season?

[jmanley32]

Headed to work just a normal rainy day in Yonkers, looks like my year end is 4.5 inches, beating out the previous lowest. At this point I have accepted it and am moving on. And it does look like you are right heehaw most has shifted to bershires and further east. Bummer even for those in upper NY.

_________________

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

I started to get the sense on Saturday that this was not going to be one to two to three feet of snow in my area that many of the models, Euro, NAM, UKIE, even a couple of CMC runs, were outputting. I wish there was a way to punish them all for stupidity, especially the Euro and NAM but would that really bring the storm back? We expect stupidity from the NAM and everyone ignores it accordingly, the Euro should just be taken out back and put out of its misery.

The more modest forecast amounts now, 4-12 in the WSW for Orange County, was always in the range I assumed would actually happen but on the higher end of that range. I'm now convinced, at least where I am at 600 feet elevation 3 miles north of Woodbury Common, that even 4 inches will be tough to achieve.

Part of me, even though I love snow, is now hoping this is a total failure snow wise. Why not remember this Winter that never was as the epic failure that it should be remembered as. Let's go out with a gang buster of a bust and wake up Wednesday morning with a half inch of backend slush. It's the only way for this miserable season that wasn't to end.

Sitting at 18.5 inches for the season and need less than 4.5 inches from this storm to keep my snowfall futility record for a season. Part of me hoping for that.

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