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02/14 Godzilla Storm Part 2 Obs. Thread

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Post by pdubz Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:40 pm

temps need to crash on L.I or else that rain will wash some snow away

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Post by 2004blackwrx Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:40 pm

I hope its a successful blitz and the storm sacks the Hudson valley

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Post by RJB8525 Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:46 pm

34* winds 21..drop a few more come on
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Post by pdubz Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:46 pm

winds racing from the NNW
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:47 pm

This walk was horrible. Got stuck in a downpour and 5 lightnng strikes and thunder so far. Taking shelter under community clibhouse awning. soaked
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Post by Math23x7 Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:47 pm

RJB8525 wrote:34* winds 21..drop a few more come on

First, you need the 0C 850mb line to advance further east. If the surface temps go below breezing before the 850mb temps do, you get icy precipitation most of the time.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:48 pm

WOW this is all nuts!  Special wx staement:

..HEAVY RAIN AND SLEET TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION THROUGH 830 PM...

A BAND OF HEAVY RAIN AND SLEET WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION THROUGH 830
PM. A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES AND RUMBLES OF THUNDER ARE LIKELY WITH
THIS ACTIVITY.

A COATING OF SLEET ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 830 PM. IN
ADDITION...SOME MINOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

THE RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED TO CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW BETWEEN 9
AND 10 PM...AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
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Post by 2004blackwrx Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:48 pm

Stay safe Nj. Hopefully snow soon for you soon that will improve the walk tremendously.

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Post by RJB8525 Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:49 pm

Math23x7 wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:34* winds 21..drop a few more come on

First, you need the 0C 850mb line to advance further east. If the surface temps go below breezing before the 850mb temps do, you get icy precipitation most of the time.

the NWS does have ice and snow for me so it makes sense
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:49 pm

I really hope that HRRR plays out and those crazy totals in mid hudson valley tick just a bit further south to get me, still another 8-10 its crazy, 20+ its just insane!  Have to go to work tomorrow no matter what so oh boy!
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Post by Math23x7 Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:53 pm

getting light rain at 33 degrees here in Queens now

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:56 pm

Frank do you really think some places like mid HV (hoping my area too) another 20 inches like HRRR shows?!
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Post by jimv45 Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:56 pm

29 in Hopewell jct getting worried sleet freezing rain right now and have a bad feeling there is going to be bad power problems then getting 6 to 12 more on top of that a big concern in the mid Hudson valley!

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Post by oldtimer Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:57 pm

Some of the gains we got this morning might even out for some of us tonight

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Post by jimv45 Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:58 pm

jm can't see that much but 6 to 12 is more likely but I am worried about the freezing rain right now!

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:58 pm

oh jim am i wrong that hrrr map includes this morning? I thought it was just for tonight, I thought that was what someone told me earlier.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:59 pm

It has to be for just tonight, I already have more than it shows for southern HV, you may get another 12-20 from what HRRR is showing, unless I am wrong.
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Post by gigs68 Thu Feb 13, 2014 7:59 pm

Freezing rain 33 degrees in Commack Long Island. Everything a sheet of ice trees crackling, very dangerous wish it was just rain
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Post by aiannone Thu Feb 13, 2014 8:00 pm

Nws has a special weather statement out saying heavy rain and thunderstorms through midnight then changing to snow. Crap. Gonna wash some snow away.

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 13, 2014 8:00 pm

I think we should all take a 1 hour break and come back at 9 and see where the 850 mb temps stand and what radar looks like. I'll be back at 9

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Post by Artechmetals Thu Feb 13, 2014 8:02 pm

Jman what exactly are we expecting
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Post by Taffy Thu Feb 13, 2014 8:02 pm

32.7* thunder and lightening.
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Post by BklynKel Thu Feb 13, 2014 8:02 pm

Hard rain here in Staten Island. There is a lot of water pooling around.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 13, 2014 8:05 pm

artech, hard to say if you look bacvk a few pages you sill see some model pics that are just nuts!
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 13, 2014 8:06 pm

Frank says lets take a break till 9pm, unless something crazy happens thats what Im gonna do, or if any questions need to be answered I will do the best I can but the other guys know alot more than I do about these complex setups.
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Post by Artechmetals Thu Feb 13, 2014 8:07 pm

Just seems like we are all waiting hopefully its not just rain
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Thu Feb 13, 2014 8:10 pm

Just got back home, that was scary..
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