March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
Frank_Wx wrote:
Haha! Indeed!
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
GFS finally catching up to RGEM imo!
RGEM along with the EURO, CMCAND UKIE have led the way so far again mo. GFS and NAM not surprising late to teh party here.
RGEM map verifies peeps and look at the smurf middle finger I along with zoo get here in NENJ WTF!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
RGEM along with the EURO, CMCAND UKIE have led the way so far again mo. GFS and NAM not surprising late to teh party here.
RGEM map verifies peeps and look at the smurf middle finger I along with zoo get here in NENJ WTF!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
HV may be back in play big time.
Already down to 36.3 here form a high of 39.
That should be all snow.
And Jman I don't even have a WWA and you know what I could care less.
If I squeeze 5-8 inches out of this I don't care what kind of warning I'm in or not.
Already down to 36.3 here form a high of 39.
That should be all snow.
And Jman I don't even have a WWA and you know what I could care less.
If I squeeze 5-8 inches out of this I don't care what kind of warning I'm in or not.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
Pretty warm here today....upper 40's
Sferra01- Posts : 46
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
Once again models will catch onto the moisture fetch coming up with the storm.
Arctic front will be here before the snow starts moving in fast and I think us in NNJ and HV will have some good snow ratios to help with our qpf's . I have a feeling she is going to over perform for most. Hey, if I get 4 more inches od snow that puts me at 50" for the year.............and I will take it. No wah wah here.
Arctic front will be here before the snow starts moving in fast and I think us in NNJ and HV will have some good snow ratios to help with our qpf's . I have a feeling she is going to over perform for most. Hey, if I get 4 more inches od snow that puts me at 50" for the year.............and I will take it. No wah wah here.
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
WOW RGEM AND GFS!
this is the biggest last minute positive change since boxing day.
this is the biggest last minute positive change since boxing day.
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
CP I agree - they blew the last couple of storm with WWA when it was definitely WSW criteria so what matters is the final amount and how the storm did. They are so ridiculous to a degree.
Besides they have their map for me at 4-6" and the text as 2-5" - absurd!!
My principle said we will most like;y have school tomorrow due to the downgrading of the forecast - I said to him i respectfully disagree.
Wife's bday and out to dinner then taking son to hockey practice - will be mobile but checking. Keep that NW and juicier track going folks!!
I look for the update from Frank at 10PM - think the totals go up as again the moisture fetch is there and gaining.
Besides they have their map for me at 4-6" and the text as 2-5" - absurd!!
My principle said we will most like;y have school tomorrow due to the downgrading of the forecast - I said to him i respectfully disagree.
Wife's bday and out to dinner then taking son to hockey practice - will be mobile but checking. Keep that NW and juicier track going folks!!
I look for the update from Frank at 10PM - think the totals go up as again the moisture fetch is there and gaining.
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
snow247 wrote:WOW RGEM AND GFS!
this is the biggest last minute positive change since boxing day.
RGEM always had a good storm for us snow - that fn gfs that the pro mets hump in this country is the one that did a 180 today. Euro held iots ground along with its companions the CMC and UKIE - told GFS to go to hell.
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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
Here you go - big time increase in qpf from the jet streak here - from another board -NE NJ and LHV will do fine. May over perform.
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
amugs wrote:snow247 wrote:WOW RGEM AND GFS!
this is the biggest last minute positive change since boxing day.
RGEM always had a good storm for us snow - that fn gfs that the pro mets hump in this country is the one that did a 180 today. Euro held iots ground along with its companions the CMC and UKIE - told GFS to go to hell.
Mugs. My principal and grounds guy told me they heard only 2 to 4" and we would maybe have a delayed opening. When I told them to expect double that at 3 pm they said no way. We'll see. My credibility is on the line here. I already Guaranteed my students a day off. If I'm wrong they get 1 free homework. ( I still win, less grading)
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
qpf looked even juicer for cnj here we go
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
syosnow94 wrote:amugs wrote:snow247 wrote:WOW RGEM AND GFS!
this is the biggest last minute positive change since boxing day.
RGEM always had a good storm for us snow - that fn gfs that the pro mets hump in this country is the one that did a 180 today. Euro held iots ground along with its companions the CMC and UKIE - told GFS to go to hell.
Mugs. My principal and grounds guy told me they heard only 2 to 4" and we would maybe have a delayed opening. When I told them to expect double that at 3 pm they said no way. We'll see. My credibility is on the line here. I already Guaranteed my students a day off. If I'm wrong they get 1 free homework. ( I still win, less grading)
I told my kids and all staff that I will see on Friday - lock it up!!! One guy said that is what yuo said with Juno - and I said that is my one and only pass - hahaha!!
Let's do this Jim!!
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Mugs
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
hopefully the RGEM and GFS trend wetter at 0z!
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
Fededle22 wrote:Artechmetals wrote:Down to WWA 2 to 4 hopefully does not verify !
Hey Art
Based on Frank's map we should definitely be getting more than that. Don't you think?
Hey Fred , yes in frank we trust he's been on the money ! I know we are on the fine line of wwa or wsw I just don't know why they dropped to wwa
Artechmetals- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
amugs wrote:GFS finally catching up to RGEM imo!
RGEM along with the EURO, CMCAND UKIE have led the way so far again mo. GFS and NAM not surprising late to teh party here.
RGEM map verifies peeps and look at the smurf middle finger I along with zoo get here in NENJ WTF!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Smurf middle finger so friggin' hilarious Mugsy.
These models are FUBAR right now.Check the radar at 5 AM and the truth will be told.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
snow247 wrote:hopefully the RGEM and GFS trend wetter at 0z!
Don't get greedy.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:HV may be back in play big time.
Already down to 36.3 here form a high of 39.
That should be all snow.
And Jman I don't even have a WWA and you know what I could care less.
If I squeeze 5-8 inches out of this I don't care what kind of warning I'm in or not.
Steady, Man, we will see the radar at 4 AM (I know you will be wandering the mainland in the middle of the night), and we will know for sure.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
Hey Doc, we don't even have a WWA and latest models have us 5-8.
I'm not totally buying it yet, but if so these are the ones I like where the NWS has to play catch up.
Jim and Hyde we may be back in play.
I'm not totally buying it yet, but if so these are the ones I like where the NWS has to play catch up.
Jim and Hyde we may be back in play.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
Down to 36 from 43 an hour ago.
It's coming.
It's coming.
Last edited by snow247 on Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:24 pm; edited 1 time in total
snow247- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
39 down from 46
Vinnydula- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
35 down from 39
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Hey Doc, we don't even have a WWA and latest models have us 5-8.
I'm not totally buying it yet, but if so these are the ones I like where the NWS has to play catch up.
Jim and Hyde we may be back in play.
These are the horses I love to bet, long shots across the board.You want that horse to pull outside just past the 3/4 turn and blast to finish first!!
We are in a white zone as per NWS.The stage is set,Man,LOL!
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
docstox12 wrote:CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:HV may be back in play big time.
Already down to 36.3 here form a high of 39.
That should be all snow.
And Jman I don't even have a WWA and you know what I could care less.
If I squeeze 5-8 inches out of this I don't care what kind of warning I'm in or not.
Steady, Man, we will see the radar at 4 AM (I know you will be wandering the mainland in the middle of the night), and we will know for sure.
My wandering is limited now Doc, I can only go so far in my boot, the Queen my have to carry me.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
I should have said hobbling around the mainland at 4 AM.
BTW, I am on measuring duty for this one, so relax and enjoy!
BTW, I am on measuring duty for this one, so relax and enjoy!
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
Before I go out for wife's dinner - I am a friggin addict I know
Look at this Plum for the STJ - JUICY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Look at this Plum for the STJ - JUICY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Last edited by amugs on Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:36 pm; edited 1 time in total
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs
docstox12 wrote:I should have said hobbling around the mainland at 4 AM.
BTW, I am on measuring duty for this one, so relax and enjoy!
I know your a vet Doc with 35 years of measuring experience but I'm a little uneasy with this.
Make me proud, I'l let my youngest, who is 18, know she has the day off.
Now let's hope there's something substantial to measure, but either way it all counts.
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