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March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

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Post by snow247 Wed Mar 04, 2015 4:51 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 5 Ron-Paul_Its-Happening1


Haha! Indeed!

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Post by amugs Wed Mar 04, 2015 4:51 pm

GFS finally catching up to RGEM imo!

RGEM along with the EURO, CMCAND UKIE have led the way so far again mo. GFS and NAM not surprising late to teh party here.

RGEM map verifies peeps and look at the smurf middle finger I along with zoo get here in NENJ WTF!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 5 GMJHKMM


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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 04, 2015 4:51 pm

HV may be back in play big time.

Already down to 36.3 here form a high of 39.

That should be all snow.

And Jman I don't even have a WWA and you know what I could care less. Very Happy

If I squeeze 5-8 inches out of this I don't care what kind of warning I'm in or not. Very Happy
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Post by Sferra01 Wed Mar 04, 2015 4:53 pm

Pretty warm here today....upper 40's

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Post by amugs Wed Mar 04, 2015 4:55 pm

Once again models will catch onto the moisture fetch coming up with the storm.

Arctic front will be here before the snow starts moving in fast and I think us in NNJ and HV will have some good snow ratios to help with our qpf's . I have a feeling she is going to over perform for most. Hey, if I get 4 more inches od snow that puts me at 50" for the year.............and I will take it. No wah wah here.

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Post by snow247 Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:00 pm

WOW RGEM AND GFS!

this is the biggest last minute positive change since boxing day.
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Post by amugs Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:01 pm

CP I agree - they blew the last couple of storm with WWA when it was definitely WSW criteria so what matters is the final amount and how the storm did. They are so ridiculous to a degree.

Besides they have their map for me at 4-6" and the text as 2-5" - absurd!!

My principle said we will most like;y have school tomorrow due to the downgrading of the forecast - I said to him i respectfully disagree.

Wife's bday and out to dinner then taking son to hockey practice - will be mobile but checking. Keep that NW and juicier track going folks!!

I look for the update from Frank at 10PM - think the totals go up as again the moisture fetch is there and gaining.

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Post by amugs Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:02 pm

snow247 wrote:WOW RGEM AND GFS!

this is the biggest last minute positive change since boxing day.

RGEM always had a good storm for us snow - that fn gfs that the pro mets hump in this country is the one that did a 180 today. Euro held iots ground along with its companions the CMC and UKIE - told GFS to go to hell.

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:07 pm

Here you go - big time increase in qpf from the jet streak here - from another board -NE NJ and LHV will do fine. May over perform.

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 5 Index

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Guest Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:07 pm

amugs wrote:
snow247 wrote:WOW RGEM AND GFS!

this is the biggest last minute positive change since boxing day.

RGEM always had a good storm for us snow - that fn gfs that the pro mets hump in this country is the one that did a 180 today. Euro held iots ground along with its companions the CMC and UKIE - told GFS to go to hell.

Mugs. My principal and grounds guy told me they heard only 2 to 4" and we would maybe have a delayed opening. When I told them to expect double that at 3 pm they said no way. We'll see. My credibility is on the line here. I already Guaranteed my students a day off. If I'm wrong they get 1 free homework. ( I still win, less grading) cheers cheers cheers

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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:08 pm

qpf looked even juicer for cnj here we go
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Post by amugs Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:09 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
amugs wrote:
snow247 wrote:WOW RGEM AND GFS!

this is the biggest last minute positive change since boxing day.

RGEM always had a good storm for us snow - that fn gfs that the pro mets hump in this country is the one that did a 180 today. Euro held iots ground along with its companions the CMC and UKIE - told GFS to go to hell.

Mugs.  My principal and grounds guy told me they heard only 2 to 4" and we would maybe have a delayed opening.  When I told them to expect double that at 3 pm they said no way.  We'll see.  My credibility is on the line here.  I already Guaranteed my students a day off.  If I'm wrong they get 1 free homework.  ( I still win, less grading) cheers cheers cheers

I told my kids and all staff that I will see on Friday - lock it up!!! One guy said that is what yuo said with Juno - and I said that is my one and only pass - hahaha!!

Let's do this Jim!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by snow247 Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:11 pm

hopefully the RGEM and GFS trend wetter at 0z!
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Post by Artechmetals Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:12 pm

Fededle22 wrote:
Artechmetals wrote:Down to WWA 2 to 4 hopefully does not verify !

Hey Art

Based on Frank's map we should definitely be getting more than that.  Don't you think?

Hey Fred , yes in frank we trust he's been on the money ! I know we are on the fine line of wwa or wsw I just don't know why they dropped to wwa
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Post by docstox12 Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:12 pm

amugs wrote:GFS finally catching up to RGEM imo!

RGEM along with the EURO, CMCAND UKIE have led the way so far again mo. GFS and NAM not surprising late to teh party here.

RGEM map verifies peeps and look at the smurf middle finger I along with zoo get here in NENJ WTF!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 5 GMJHKMM


lol! lol! lol!

Smurf middle finger so friggin' hilarious Mugsy.

These models are FUBAR right now.Check the radar at 5 AM and the truth will be told.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:19 pm

snow247 wrote:hopefully the RGEM and GFS trend wetter at 0z!

Don't get greedy. Very Happy
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Post by docstox12 Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:20 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:HV may be back in play big time.

Already down to 36.3 here form a high of 39.

That should be all snow.

And Jman I don't even have a WWA and you know what I could care less. Very Happy

If I squeeze 5-8 inches out of this I don't care what kind of warning I'm in or not. Very Happy

Steady, Man, we will see the radar at 4 AM (I know you will be wandering the mainland in the middle of the night), and we will know for sure.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:22 pm

Hey Doc, we don't even have a WWA and latest models have us 5-8.

I'm not totally buying it yet, but if so these are the ones I like where the NWS has to play catch up.

Jim and Hyde we may be back in play.
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Post by snow247 Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:22 pm

Down to 36 from 43 an hour ago.

It's coming.


Last edited by snow247 on Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:24 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:22 pm

Wow GFS...
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Post by Vinnydula Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:24 pm

39 down from 46
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:26 pm

35 down from 39
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Post by docstox12 Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:26 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Hey Doc, we don't even have a WWA and latest models have us 5-8.

I'm not totally buying it yet, but if so these are the ones I like where the NWS has to play catch up.

Jim and Hyde we may be back in play.

These are the horses I love to bet, long shots across the board.You want that horse to pull outside just past the 3/4 turn and blast to finish first!!

We are in a white zone as per NWS.The stage is set,Man,LOL!
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:27 pm

docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:HV may be back in play big time.

Already down to 36.3 here form a high of 39.

That should be all snow.

And Jman I don't even have a WWA and you know what I could care less. Very Happy

If I squeeze 5-8 inches out of this I don't care what kind of warning I'm in or not. Very Happy

Steady, Man, we will see  the radar at 4 AM (I know you will be wandering the mainland in the middle of the night), and we will know for sure.

My wandering is limited now Doc, I can only go so far in my boot, the Queen my have to carry me.
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Post by docstox12 Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:29 pm

I should have said hobbling around the mainland at 4 AM.

BTW, I am on measuring duty for this one, so relax and enjoy!
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Post by amugs Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:31 pm

Before I go out for wife's dinner - I am a friggin addict I know

Look at this Plum for the STJ - JUICY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 5 Post-1871-0-46493700-1425507861


Last edited by amugs on Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:36 pm; edited 1 time in total

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 04, 2015 5:32 pm

docstox12 wrote:I should have said hobbling around the mainland at 4 AM.

BTW, I am on measuring duty for this one, so relax and enjoy!

I know your a vet Doc with 35 years of measuring experience but I'm a little uneasy with this.

Make me proud, I'l let my youngest, who is 18, know she has the day off.

Now let's hope there's something substantial to measure, but either way it all counts.
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