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March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

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Post by amugs Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:31 pm

Before I go out for wife's dinner - I am a friggin addict I know

Look at this Plum for the STJ - JUICY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 6 Post-1871-0-46493700-1425507861


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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:32 pm

docstox12 wrote:I should have said hobbling around the mainland at 4 AM.

BTW, I am on measuring duty for this one, so relax and enjoy!

I know your a vet Doc with 35 years of measuring experience but I'm a little uneasy with this.

Make me proud, I'l let my youngest, who is 18, know she has the day off.

Now let's hope there's something substantial to measure, but either way it all counts.

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Post by docstox12 Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:37 pm

She did magnificent journeywomans's work the last few storms.

Let's shoot to break that 71.4 so I can get my HV honorary recognition medal!
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Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:39 pm

I mentioned yesterday on Americanwx that I strongly felt that this system would ultimately move north. The confluence to the north was modeled way too strong in my opinion. My only fear now is do I share in the wealth? That area of subsidence in NE jersey is really bugging me. I already got burned a few times before this winter with sinking dry air. Hopefully its not the case this time around.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:39 pm

Wow GFS, NYC and me are in the dark red, nearly a foot! Frank another change to ur map up or down, I am guessing upping? NWS better get with it! At class till 8 be home around 9, baby sick so not sure how much I will get on tonight but this is looking good, still really warm out though.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:42 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:I mentioned yesterday on Americanwx that I strongly felt that this system would ultimately move north. The confluence to the north was modeled way too strong in my opinion. My only fear now is do I share in the wealth? That area of subsidence in NE jersey is really bugging me. I already got burned a few times before this winter with sinking dry air. Hopefully its not the case this time around.

Nutley are your totals for the season correct? 31 inches? Feel for you if true, hopefully this one is your storm.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:42 pm

42 down from 48, still long way to go!
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Post by docstox12 Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:44 pm

Jman, hope the baby gets better and you don't have to worry.

Cloudy, temps dropping up here,35.5 by me, very calm winds, 67% humidity.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:44 pm

I here you jman sitting at 43
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:45 pm

My humidty here is through the roof 98%
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Post by RJB8525 Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:47 pm

Lee just mentioned new models are showing 8 inches maybe more for now he will stick with his 4-8

sounds like he is looking to buy into the new trend
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:50 pm

Maybe the WSW thing is something from being a child I always got so excited about warnings, so even though I understand its just wording I still get excited when I have one, maybe they upgrade if models pan out like gfs rgem etc., if not and we get over 6 inches who has the egg on their face hehe.


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Post by SNOW MAN Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:51 pm

All I can say is Lonnie doesn't have his sleeves rolled up yet.
He said that this would probably be our last snow storm of the season. Hmmm.


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Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:52 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:I mentioned yesterday on Americanwx that I strongly felt that this system would ultimately move north. The confluence to the north was modeled way too strong in my opinion. My only fear now is do I share in the wealth? That area of subsidence in NE jersey is really bugging me. I already got burned a few times before this winter with sinking dry air. Hopefully its not the case this time around.

Nutley are your totals for the season correct? 31 inches? Feel for you if true, hopefully this one is your storm.
I'm afraid so. The great blizzard about a month ago... I received only 5 inches, was expecting 30. My biggest snowfall this winter is only 5.5 inches. Burned by that subsidence! Frank mentioned of the possibility of it happening which scares me.
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Post by Taffy Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:52 pm

Overcast
42.6 °F
Feels Like 43 °F
N0.0
Wind Variable
Gusts 3.0 mph
Pressure 29.91 in
Visibility 2.5 miles
Windchill 43 °F
Dew Point 41 °F
Humidity 93%

Well, the moisture is there now I just need the temps to drop like a rock.
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Post by RJB8525 Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:53 pm

SNOW MAN wrote:All I can say is Lonnie doesn't have his sleeves rolled up yet.

Then there's no real threat going on, we can all talk when he flips the clicker around and rolls the sleeves up
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Post by Taffy Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:53 pm

"SNOW MAN"]All I can say is Lonnie doesn't have his sleeves rolled up yet.



lol! lol!
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Post by Guest Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:54 pm

I'm a Docstox guy. Let me see the radar first then I'll believe. I love the latest trends and I stand to get 5 to 9 on Franks map. But I have to be honest the radar us really unimpressive. I don't know what you're all looking at but the stuff out over the mid Ohio valley and southern PA looks to be heading due east. It needs to have more of a ne motion to get to us no?? I'm hopeful but skeptical

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Post by docstox12 Wed Mar 04, 2015 7:56 pm

I guess the models are reading something in the atmosphere that will kick this north.Even Lee now mentions this, a Met I highly respect for his accuracy.
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Post by SNOW MAN Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:05 pm

Cp, just a little FYI. Gladiators on AMC again.
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Post by toople Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:09 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:I mentioned yesterday on Americanwx that I strongly felt that this system would ultimately move north. The confluence to the north was modeled way too strong in my opinion. My only fear now is do I share in the wealth? That area of subsidence in NE jersey is really bugging me. I already got burned a few times before this winter with sinking dry air. Hopefully its not the case this time around.

It's bothering me, too. I also live in Nutley, NJ. I guess we will see how it goes.

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Post by Quietace Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:09 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:I mentioned yesterday on Americanwx that I strongly felt that this system would ultimately move north. The confluence to the north was modeled way too strong in my opinion. My only fear now is do I share in the wealth? That area of subsidence in NE jersey is really bugging me. I already got burned a few times before this winter with sinking dry air. Hopefully its not the case this time around.

Nutley are your totals for the season correct? 31 inches? Feel for you if true, hopefully this one is your storm.
I'm afraid so. The great blizzard about a month ago... I received only 5 inches, was expecting 30. My biggest snowfall this winter is only 5.5 inches. Burned by that subsidence! Frank mentioned of the possibility of it happening which scares me.
33.7 so far this year here
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:11 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I'm a Docstox guy. Let me see the radar first then I'll believe. I love the latest trends and I stand to get 5 to 9 on Franks map. But I have to be honest the radar us really unimpressive. I don't know what you're all looking at but the stuff out over the mid Ohio valley and southern PA looks to be heading due east. It needs to have more of a ne motion to get to us no??  I'm hopeful but skeptical

We need to wait for the mid-level trough to catch up to the front and push the precip north

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:13 pm

WOW at the GEFS

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 6 GFS-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f18

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 6 GFS-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f24

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Post by SNOW MAN Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:16 pm

docstox12 wrote:I guess the models are reading something in the atmosphere that will kick this north.Even Lee now mentions this, a Met I highly respect for his accuracy.

It's funny Doc, Lonnie said that the cold front would be pushing the moisture to the South. Very confusing.
Maybe he hasn't seen the new model runs.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:21 pm

The fetch to the storm looks impressive to me. Come on cold air where are you
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Post by Teetghhuhnbhj Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:30 pm

Skins. Did you see Dave Curran has us at 4-6. Little light?no?

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