Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

by Biggin23 Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:35 pm

Skins, I think we are still good in CNJ. We should have massive rates down here eventually.the hard part is going to be watching everyone north of is getting dumped on while it rains here.

by **billg315** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:37 pm

38* here. Down from a high of 45* late this afternoon. And I would express my joy at the shift in the models but I'm trying to keep an even keel here. lol. I didn't get to down when the trends were going south, so I'll try not to get too high now that we're headed north.

by **billg315** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:43 pm

If these trends and new projections hold, some people are going to end up with a little egg on their face. News 12 earlier had much of my area in about 1"-3" which seemed ridiculously low to me. Now it really seems strange.

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:46 pm

Biggin23 wrote:Skins, I think we are still good in CNJ. We should have massive rates down here eventually.the hard part is going to be watching everyone north of is getting dumped on while it rains here.

I understand that I thought our changeover was going to be around 2-3 am I knew north was sooner like 11pm

by Biggin23 Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:49 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
Biggin23 wrote:Skins, I think we are still good in CNJ. We should have massive rates down here eventually.the hard part is going to be watching everyone north of is getting dumped on while it rains here.

I understand that I thought our changeover was going to be around 2-3 am I knew north was sooner like 11pm

SREF plumes have been pretty consistent for us and are currently right around 10 inches for our area. I remain cautiously optimistic about this system.

by **snow247** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:52 pm

Snow mixing in around Scranton now.

by **oldtimer** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:56 pm

Was 43* at 5PM Now 38* They updated tonight from 1-3 by morning to 3-5

by **snow247** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:57 pm

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:58 pm

Biggin23 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:
Biggin23 wrote:Skins, I think we are still good in CNJ. We should have massive rates down here eventually.the hard part is going to be watching everyone north of is getting dumped on while it rains here.

I understand that I thought our changeover was going to be around 2-3 am I knew north was sooner like 11pm

SREF plumes have been pretty consistent for us and are currently right around 10 inches for our area. I remain cautiously optimistic about this system.

I think we are still in a great spot was just thinking it would snow sooner but I believe we are still good range of 6-10

by **billg315** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:59 pm

There is just a ton of heavy precipitation on that radar all the way back to Arkansas and Oklahoma. KY got like 1" to almost 4" of rain today depending on where you were. That's a lot of moisture headed this way.

by **snow247** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:59 pm

Changeover entering NWNJ

by **Taffy** Wed Mar 04, 2015 10:00 pm

Still at 41.7. Got a long way to go. Accuweather has the temp at 46 degrees. I'm going with 41.7. Makes me happier.

by **bloc1357** Wed Mar 04, 2015 10:04 pm

News 12 long island has precipitation being over by mid morning tomorrow

by **Math23x7** Wed Mar 04, 2015 10:07 pm

Interesting thing to note: From January 6th to March 3rd this year, Central Park did not have a temperature reading above 43 degrees. Today it reached 45 degrees and over the last several hours (as of 7:51 PM) it has been holding steady at 43 degrees. I guess we are pretty much in now-casting time.