Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

by **lglickman1** Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:39 pm

are ratios going to factor in this storm? or it will be just below freezing?

by gigs68 Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:40 pm

Vinnydula wrote:Driving out to NJ at 130pm tomorrow. Good idea?

Its never a good idea to drive to Jersey

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:41 pm

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 10 RAD_MOS_REG_NE_WINTER_ANI

While clearly positive, at least the H5 trough does not look strung out. It looks good so far

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 10 500mb

Must be snowing steadily in central PA. Anyone confirm?

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 10 8fnt_sf

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:42 pm

Sref shows 6-7 inches total for fun area I thought I'd get more but hey this time of year I'll take it

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:43 pm

SREF PLUMES just kaboomed from 5.9 to 8.0 -- Delicious

by **Dunnzoo** Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:43 pm

gigs68 wrote:
Vinnydula wrote:Driving out to NJ at 130pm tomorrow. Good idea?

Its never a good idea to drive to Jersey

Or to LI

jk, I have lots of family out there lol

by **Artechmetals** Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:44 pm

School just cancelled for tomorrow WOW!

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:44 pm

Sorry, referencing LGA above...

by gigs68 Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:44 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
gigs68 wrote:
Vinnydula wrote:Driving out to NJ at 130pm tomorrow. Good idea?

Its never a good idea to drive to Jersey
Or to LI jk, I have lots of family out there lol

LOL You're right . I hate driving on LI

by **docstox12** Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:47 pm

NWS lowered me from 2 to 5 to 2 to 4.Still no advisory even.

by **snow247** Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:50 pm

docstox12 wrote:NWS lowered me from 2 to 5 to 2 to 4.Still no advisory even.

Going to bust. We're good for 4"-8" imo. Hell the GEFS has us solidly in the 8"-10" range. No idea what their problem is tonight.

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:54 pm

Epawa still going with 6-9 and shifted it north more

by **amugs** Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:55 pm

snow247 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:NWS lowered me from 2 to 5 to 2 to 4.Still no advisory even.

Going to bust. We're good for 4"-8" imo. Hell the GEFS has us solidly in the 8"-10" range. No idea what their problem is tonight.

All Mets are busting hard on this , nws, channels 2,4,5,7,11,12, 32,60 etc

by **RJB8525** Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:58 pm

amugs wrote:
snow247 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:NWS lowered me from 2 to 5 to 2 to 4.Still no advisory even.

Going to bust. We're good for 4"-8" imo. Hell the GEFS has us solidly in the 8"-10" range. No idea what their problem is tonight.

All Mets are busting hard on this , nws, channels 2,4,5,7,11,12, 32,60 etc

Lee/7 at 6 noted tonight the model changes but as of now he was staying with 4-8 confident on that but he was seeing higher amounts now possible in the 8-9 range

by **Artechmetals** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:00 pm

I know it really don't matter do we see wwa switching to wsw ?

by **docstox12** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:01 pm

Nobody will laugh harder than me.NWS has absolutely no advisory, watch or warning for me and 2 to 4.If that GEFS comes across with 8-10, they are going to look bad. It's 9PM fer crying out loud!

by meatsanwch Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:02 pm

[quote="Frank_Wx"] March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 10 RAD_MOS_REG_NE_WINTER_ANI

Must be snowing steadily in central PA. Anyone confirm?

it wasnt in Harrisburg area about 30 mins ago. Temp around 40 there.

by **billg315** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:03 pm

39* with a steady rain falling here. Hope that cold air gets here in the next 3 or 4 hours because looks like a lot of heavy radar echos are heading this way. Hate to waste it on rain, or sleet.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:03 pm

00z NAM

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 10 Nam_ptype_slp_neng_5

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 10 Nam_ptype_slp_neng_6

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 10 Nam_ptype_slp_neng_7

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:04 pm

by **RJB8525** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:05 pm

WU has me dropped a degree now,40*

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:09 pm

NAM shows 8-12" for NYC

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:09 pm

More like 7-10"

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 10 Post-6-0-83895600-1425521564

by **jmanley32** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:12 pm

Awesome! 7-10, 8-12, not a huge difference, BUT huge difference from earlier today as you said. Wow just goes to show you you never know with these storms. And the dbz on some of that precip is insane! Are we going to see thundersnow possibly?

by **snow247** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:12 pm

Wow shows almost nothing for north of the city wtf

by **jmanley32** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:14 pm

It looks like southern WC is the cut off for over 6.

by **docstox12** Wed Mar 04, 2015 9:16 pm

snow247 wrote:Wow shows almost nothing for north of the city wtf

Yeah, the NAM cuts me off to nothing.What a friggin' riot! In this day of advanced technology, these models spit out such vastly different solutions.It is really disgraceful!

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