Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

by **Taffy** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:38 pm

I'm determined to stay up and watch the first flakes of the last storm (possibly ) for this season.

by **rb924119** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:40 pm

Interesting that it literally jackpots NYC lol almost looks like it puts it in the crosshairs, pun intended lol or as a destination; "X" marks the spot hahaha Boy, poor SnowMan gets shafted if this actually verifies lol

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:40 pm

R/S line

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 15 Post-33-0-46553500-1425530479

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:41 pm

Tomorrow at Noon. Should be fun

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 15 Post-774-0-45197900-1425530633

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:42 pm

rb924119 wrote:Interesting that it literally jackpots NYC lol almost looks like it puts it in the crosshairs, pun intended lol or as a destination; "X" marks the spot hahaha Boy, poor SnowMan gets shafted if this actually verifies lol

HRRR is pretty volatile. I take with grain of salt. It's either really good or bad.

by **rb924119** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:43 pm

These are so far out though for this model; how much do you trust it? Personally, I HATE the HRRR with a burning passion lmao long story behind that, but that's besides the point haha

by **rb924119** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:43 pm

Just answered my question, as it would seem lmfao

by **algae888** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:43 pm

hearing 850 0* line is now 10 miles into n westcheter.

by **rb924119** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:43 pm

UK should be out, right?

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:44 pm

rb924119 wrote:UK should be out, right?

GEFS just initialized. I think ukie another 10 min

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:45 pm

rb924119 wrote:These are so far out though for this model; how much do you trust it? Personally, I HATE the HRRR with a burning passion lmao long story behind that, but that's besides the point haha

Yes, dislike it more than like. The first 3-4 hours I do agree with.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:46 pm

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:47 pm

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:47 pm

Ray...HRRR at midnight. Looks off, no?

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 15 Post-774-0-24465500-1425531041

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:50 pm

by **rb924119** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:51 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Ray...HRRR at midnight. Looks off, no?

Rain/snow line looks about right, but it is SEVERELY underdone with the precipitation to the south and east of it.....

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:52 pm

by **rb924119** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:53 pm

GEFS says "HAPPY BIRTHDAY I-95!!!"

Snowfall totals based on 10:1

http://images1.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/EN/00/snosums/0024/GFS_00_enUS_SF_0024.png

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:56 pm

UKMET/GEFS are at least 7 inches for NYC

by **rb924119** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:56 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:

WOW that's late.....

And uh ohhhh-current radar may be indicating the initialization of that dual-band structure you talked about in one of your updates: The main over NYC and points southwest, and a second one in NEPA perhaps, which if it is that would be streaming over my house for once lol Would only have taken until the end of the season, but hey; better late than never haha

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:56 pm

rb924119 wrote:GEFS says "HAPPY BIRTHDAY I-95!!!"

Snowfall totals based on 10:1

http://images1.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/EN/00/snosums/0024/GFS_00_enUS_SF_0024.png

Good for many people

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Mar 04, 2015 11:57 pm

rb924119 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:

WOW that's late.....

And uh ohhhh-current radar may be indicating the initialization of that dual-band structure you talked about in one of your updates: The main over NYC and points southwest, and a second one in NEPA perhaps, which if it is that would be streaming over my house for once lol Would only have taken until the end of the season, but hey; better late than never haha

Someone's getting screwed. Before it was NE NJ now could be NEPA somewhere

by **rb924119** Thu Mar 05, 2015 12:02 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:

WOW that's late.....

And uh ohhhh-current radar may be indicating the initialization of that dual-band structure you talked about in one of your updates: The main over NYC and points southwest, and a second one in NEPA perhaps, which if it is that would be streaming over my house for once lol Would only have taken until the end of the season, but hey; better late than never haha

Someone's getting screwed. Before it was NE NJ now could be NEPA somewhere

It's still probably going to be the folks here and in the LHV to be honest. You can see where your main frontogenesis is already set up, and there is no way that moves north. The precipitation field may at times try to fill out around it a bit, but that will be almost like pulses that flare and then fade away again. And HO-LY SH!TTTT I may see the first 30 dBZ returns of the season in the next few minutes lol With the optimal dendritic growth zone being reached right now it should be a pretty sight!!!

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Mar 05, 2015 12:03 am

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Mar 05, 2015 12:07 am

Come on temps!

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 15 Northeast_loop

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Mar 05, 2015 12:09 am

GEFS mean is 8" wow, leggo, about to go out and get first obs of the night cracking into some brewskis, hoping for 4-8", more than 6" would be great and pretty much one of the biggest storms all year.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Mar 05, 2015 12:10 am

NjWeatherGuy wrote:GEFS mean is 8" wow, leggo, about to go out and get first obs of the night cracking into some brewskis, hoping for 4-8", more than 6" would be great and pretty much one of the biggest storms all year.

Niceeeee

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