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Following the potential for another system to come together for Turkey day into Black Friday

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

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NJ Strong Weather Forum  :: NJ Strong Weather Discussions :: Storm Archives

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March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 Empty Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

Post by snow247 Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:33 pm

Latest RGEM jackpots doc, CP and I.

PLEASE BE RIGHT!

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March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 Empty Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:34 pm

Al, you too your under a WWA as your part of WC. LOL its no biggie as Ace said its how much we end up getting but 2 inches is nothing, 5 would be nice 9 would be awesome!

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:35 pm

algae888 wrote:jp zone is nw nj and lower Hudson valley
March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 Rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_6
7am

this is too comical models still not figuring this out, one run its this place one run its that place sheesh.
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March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 Empty Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:36 pm

Rgem looks good Frank not sure on amounts but it's been the best model
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:36 pm

Rgem has been consistent that's what we are looking at and for
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:37 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:Rgem looks good Frank not sure on amounts but it's been the best model

This event is locked in. 6+ for you, 4+ for NYC Metro

Ceiling for you is 12, for NYC 8-9

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March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 Empty Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:38 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:Rgem looks good Frank not sure on amounts but it's been the best model

This event is locked in. 6+ for you, 4+ for NYC Metro

Ceiling for you is 12, for NYC 8-9

Thanks Frank for explaining 
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March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 Empty Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

Post by sroc4 Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:40 pm

Honestly Franks map looks pretty damn good right now.

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March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 Empty Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

Post by Quietace Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:41 pm

Honestly this storm was embarrassing for the NAM and GFS.....caved hard to foreign guidance in last 24-36....
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March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 Empty Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

Post by algae888 Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:41 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Al, you too your under a WWA as your part of WC. LOL its no biggie as Ace said its how much we end up getting but 2 inches is nothing, 5 would be nice 9 would be awesome!
jman it doesn't matter what nws says imo. they have a nice web page with a lot of info and i like to read thier disco but they are wrong as much as they are right. they have me at 3-6" and if that happens its a nice march snow storm. wwa or wsw 6 in one half a dozen the other. just love tracking these storms. if im not mistaken this is number 17. mike is that right?
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March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 Empty Re: March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:42 pm

sroc4 wrote:Honestly Franks map looks pretty damn good right now.

My concerns are:

#1: changeover occurs too late or BL temps remain too warm

#2: Heavy snow band develops in west NJ into Hudson Valley and increases snow amounts, while putting east NJ in an area of subsidence

Those two things. Other than that, I am confident.


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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:42 pm

Wow 18z GFS looks amp'd

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Post by Yschiff Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:42 pm

Gfs!!!!!

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Post by Quietace Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:43 pm

Wow GFS is nice for almost all
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:44 pm

I may make an updated snow map later tonight. I will be back on my own computer too so I can look at my favorite sources. If you noticed, I did my map from work haha,

18z GFS IS NUTS!!!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:44 pm

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f12

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f15


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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:45 pm

GFS snow map

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 GMJHKMM

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:46 pm

GFS qpf

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 GfsNE_prec_precacc_030

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:48 pm

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 Ron-Paul_Its-Happening1

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:48 pm

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 Post-1871-0-29057000-1425505880

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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:49 pm

GFS just dropped nearly a foot of snow on NYC metro

I'm cackling lol.
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Post by aiannone Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:49 pm

It's above freezing here all the way in NEVT. still 35*. Cold air is lagging behind

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Post by Sferra01 Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:49 pm

How fast are you expecting the temperature to crash?


Last edited by Sferra01 on Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:51 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:50 pm

wow. talk about a nick-of-time north trend! WOOHOO!!!
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:50 pm

Sferra01 wrote:How fast are you expexting the temperature to crash?

1-2am should be the changeover

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Post by snow247 Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:51 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 Ron-Paul_Its-Happening1


Haha! Indeed!
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Post by amugs Wed Mar 04, 2015 6:51 pm

GFS finally catching up to RGEM imo!

RGEM along with the EURO, CMCAND UKIE have led the way so far again mo. GFS and NAM not surprising late to teh party here.

RGEM map verifies peeps and look at the smurf middle finger I along with zoo get here in NENJ WTF!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

March 4-5, 2015 Storm - Final Call/Obs - Page 4 GMJHKMM


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