Re: Long Range Thread 9.0

[nutleyblizzard]

The UKMET is consistent with pumping the ridge. This would surely be a hit. 

Now that taken verbatim is a textbook setup. It's all about timing though. If the shortwave slows up or the Pac ridge rolls out too quick we're screwed again. It's tempting, but I won't bite until Monday.

[amugs]

[quote="docstox12"]

Syo will commit suicide cause it rains on the island or is slop verbatim  hahahahaha!

A white straight jacket will be necessary.Wonder what size he is.[/quot

Jim chesswick

[Frank_Wx]

MADONNE on the NAVGEM 

[Frank_Wx]

Gefs 

[Dunnzoo]

[SoulSingMG]

Hahahaha I'm laughing my head off. I woke up and checked on here for the latest and there were a lot of towels being thrown in.

12z rolls around and it's like we all took our meds and swung to the other side of the bi-polar(vortex)... I love us weather freaks.

I have a good feeling about this potential, just read on a Twitter from a reputable MET that this has the best potential yet of our threats so far this season. We'll see...

[Guest]

Syo will commit suicide cause it rains on the island or is slop verbatim  hahahahaha!

A white straight jacket will be necessary.Wonder what size he is.[/quot

Jim chesswick

I'm a 42 regular thank you very much!!! Suicide probably not but yeah I would really lose it. I feel like I've been too much of a Debbie Downer with my posts the last week or so. I'm gonna try to change my tune a little.

[Guest]

Gefs 

.....I couldn't resist!!! 19 out of 22 of these images show less than 2" for coastal sections. And only 2 images show4"+

[Frank_Wx]

The EURO misses the phase. The northern and southern streams remain disconnected.

[weatherwatchermom]

Hahahaha I'm laughing my head off. I woke up and checked on here for the latest and there were a lot of towels being thrown in.

12z rolls around and it's like we all took our meds and swung to the other side of the bi-polar(vortex)... I love us weather freaks.

I have a good feeling about this potential, just read on a Twitter from a reputable MET that this has the best potential yet of our threats so far this season. We'll see...

I know for the last 2 weeks I am glued to this site..do a little house work...look at site...go to the store..look at web site...just can't wait for the weather to change..today feels like spring 49* and sun is out...

[algae888]

The euro has been very consistent this year with showing no fantasy snowstorms for our area. So I guess it's been the most accurate model so far. However It did have the system for Monday heading to Cuba a few days ago now it's the near miss for our area. I guess I'd rather it suppressed then showing a cutter. right now it's all alone.

[Frank_Wx]

The largest difference between the GFS and EURO is how they handle the southern energy. EURO is amplified in general with all upper air features.

[nutleyblizzard]

When does the EURO para come out?

[Frank_Wx]

Not sure.

[Frank_Wx]

EPAWA produced their own models. Definitely worth bookmarking. Their snow maps are fantaatic. Try playing around with them yourself

http://epawaweather.com/weather-models/

[Frank_Wx]

The 12z EURO Ensembles are way west of 00z. Look fantastic. Red flag EURO OP is wrong.

[rb924119]

NOT ANOTHER JUNO!!!! OMG FML lol Seriously though, Frank, this site is sick!! Thank you!!

[Frank_Wx]

[rb924119]

The 12z EURO Ensembles are way west of 00z. Look fantastic. Red flag EURO OP is wrong.

To add, take a look at how many members close H5 off in the Ohio River Valley; look pretty similar to the CMC Op ATM. Interesting. The problem is that it they do so too far south with no real mechanism forcing the flow to become uniformly south ahead of it, and steer the entire system northward (thanks to the collapse of the western ridge). If we had that, then there'd be something to write home about.

[algae888]

Frank today's EPS along with the other ensambles look to push back the warm spell that they were showing the last few days. While we will warm up around day nine and ten then we look to go back below normal after that. We are probably above normal in the means days 9 through 15 but not a torch. EPS has a nice ridge at West day 10 and looks to develop another storm shortly after that. Since the long-range models really missed how long this blocking pattern lasted, we can't trust  if they show a big warm up.

[Frank_Wx]

We really need the EURO to hop on board

Current model standings at Day 6 (500mb heights in the NH)

1) ECMWF Para .879 (Not shown here)
2) ECMWF .875
3) GFS OP .860
4) GFSx Para .858
5) UKM .849
6) CMC .846

[amugs]

Frank today's EPS along with the other ensambles look to push back the warm spell that they were showing the last few days. While we will warm up around day nine and ten then we look to go back below normal after that. We are probably above normal in the means days 9 through 15 but not a torch. EPS has a nice ridge at West day 10 and looks to develop another storm shortly after that. Since the long-range models really missed how long this blocking pattern lasted, we can't trust  if they show a big warm up.

Al let me add if we get a snowpack that warm up gets muted by a few degrees so we be normal to n sli h tly above normal especially n &w if the city EPS AND GEFS mute the warm up like u saud. Again we can't go far out with the models oh on that note EPS shows another storm in the d12 period too.

[Frank_Wx]

18z gfs

[Frank_Wx]

[Frank_Wx]

ROIDZILLA

[Frank_Wx]

[Frank_Wx]

I hate this hobby.

[Sponsored content]