Re: Long Range Thread 9.0

by Abba701 Sun Jan 17, 2016 12:21 am

It's too early to get excited.Like Frank said if it was Wendesday night then they would have to get the plows ready.Not yet...

by **NjWeatherGuy** Sun Jan 17, 2016 12:21 am

Dunnzoo wrote:

That rivals 03, holy crap. Totally different setup closer to '96 but still different its a transfer scenario but jeez thats some eye candy. Just wish it was closer.

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:30 am

Wow cmc and gfs 00z are so awesome plz plz let this hold am wait for ooz euro. Am at casino and have won money so let's pray the snow comes too Smile

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:36 am

Omg looks like we go have all 3 on board. Let this be for next 3 days plz.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:37 am

Attention members

The euro has caved to the GFS. SHOWS A HUGE STORM

Long Range Thread 9.0 - Page 22 7e1b011522778d201cd1ccc94861ff6e

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:37 am

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:41 am

The euro stalls and it snows for 30+ hours

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:41 am

by **nutleyblizzard** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:42 am

HUGE HIT AT HR 174 STORM STALLS AND EXPLODES!!!

by justin92 Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:44 am

Im going to watch 00zs for the next two nights if the models still show it on tuesday afternoon then we might have something to talk about but now its too early to get hyped because it may disappear tomorrow lol

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:49 am

justin92 wrote:Im going to watch 00zs for the next two nights if the models still show it on tuesday afternoon then we might have something to talk about but now its too early to get hyped because it may disappear tomorrow lol

Very true. We've seen first hand how models have performed this year. However, there is crazy agreement with all 3 major global models. Not sure that's ever happened. This includes the Ensembles.

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:50 am

Ok 00z euro was about as exciting as gets for me 15 plus in clts an 40 to 65 MPH wind gusts.

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:52 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
justin92 wrote:Im going to watch 00zs for the next two nights if the models still show it on tuesday afternoon then we might have something to talk about but now its too early to get hyped because it may disappear tomorrow lol

Very true. We've seen first hand how models have performed this year. However, there is crazy agreement with all 3 major global models. Not sure that's ever happened. This includes the Ensembles.

frank this may be the alcohol talking bot omg the models tonight we're amazing all 3!

by justin92 Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:52 am

i just hope it does not disappear the agreement this far out is a little concerning. However,if we do get this storm we can safely say we met at least average snowfall for the 195 corridor

by **Math23x7** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:52 am

jmanley32 wrote:Ok 00z euro was about as exciting as gets for me 15 plus in clts an 40 to 65 MPH wind gusts.

#respectthewind

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:54 am

Guidance the last 24 hours has trended with showing an amplified western ridge and favorably positioned block. Even though each model has a different variation of handling the PAC energy, they still manage to ride a storm up the coast because of the aforementioned features.

by Bkdude Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:56 am

30+ hours, eh??

by **snow247** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:58 am

An absolutely amazing night of model runs. Hope this is our storm.

Get some rest guys. Possibly a long week ahead.

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 17, 2016 2:02 am

I'm psyched even if we get let down but I don't think we will. Frank what's ur confidence level right now honestly.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Sun Jan 17, 2016 2:08 am

Remember Juno, and last week, and yesterday, and tomorrow.... God that EURO, Id pay a ridiculous amount for that to verify its literally perfect for my backyard but as Ive said thats sometimes a scary spot to be 4+ days out. Because as we know every model run is different, with the euro we just saw drastically so. Lets hope we dont see any more northerly trends and the HP holds, but does not suppress. Cautious optimism for now. Goodnight.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 17, 2016 2:12 am

jmanley32 wrote:I'm psyched even if we get let down but I don't think we will. Frank what's ur confidence level right now honestly.

30%

The long range looks great with multiple storm chances. It was around this time last year we began tracking our first big threat of the season I believe. Hopefully the modeled pattern comes to fruition and we can go into February on a high note. Goodnight.

by chief7 Sun Jan 17, 2016 3:26 am

From what I have read the European mean looks nice (6 inches in in the viewing area which isn't bad)

by chief7 Sun Jan 17, 2016 3:32 am

Also the control European model was a big hit also

by **skinsfan1177** Sun Jan 17, 2016 5:32 am

I hope we get cold air to work with along Cnj coast to stay mostly snow I know it's to early to even think about ptype

by chief7 Sun Jan 17, 2016 5:34 am

The 6z was a nice hit however it wasn't as amped up as 0z

by chief7 Sun Jan 17, 2016 5:53 am

That's what I'm a little bit concerned about their skins the low getting too close to the coast

by **skinsfan1177** Sun Jan 17, 2016 6:00 am

chief7 wrote:That's what I'm a little bit concerned about their skins the low getting too close to the coast

Yeah but I think with cold air in place and if it's a strong storm it should bring down the cold air.

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