Re: 01/12 Arctic Front Observations

by **amugs** Sun Jan 10, 2016 8:02 pm

Let's look at 4he RGEM which does a good job with thwse systems as dies the gfs.

by **snow247** Sun Jan 10, 2016 9:42 pm

00z NAM really doesn't give anyone an accumulation from this except maybe a dusting for CP and Doc.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 10, 2016 10:59 pm

Gfs shows less than an inch

by Guest Mon Jan 11, 2016 7:58 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Gfs shows less than an inch

by **amugs** Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:22 am

Who wants to see SNOW!! This system is getting into a better sampling area of CAN so it will be interesting if it can pop a small coastal off the coastal.

01/12 Arctic Front Observations - Page 3 Gei6r7m

01/12 Arctic Front Observations - Page 3 Gei6r7m

01/12 Arctic Front Observations - Page 3 5kjhf1g

Umm, anyone being a well thats all - then I will delete your post cause this is as good as it gets right now so go with it if you like,love snow and hope for more.

by **Grselig** Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:32 am

Mugs I would love to see some flakes. The grass is too green.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Mon Jan 11, 2016 10:43 am

NAM is showing C-2" event, less at coast and south, more north and west in NJ and in NEPA.

by **algae888** Mon Jan 11, 2016 10:52 am

same for rgem...
01/12 Arctic Front Observations - Page 3 Rgem_asnow_neus_12

by **snow247** Mon Jan 11, 2016 10:54 am

I'll take 2 inches and run with it.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Mon Jan 11, 2016 1:57 pm

algae888 wrote:same for rgem...

NAM has snow down to about Seaside Heights so its quite a bit juicier, 1" line by me on NAM, on GEM about a coating here nothing at coast. But ill take any measurable snowfall atm just hoping for the best but expecting the worst...

by **algae888** Mon Jan 11, 2016 3:44 pm

nws snow map for tomorrow....
01/12 Arctic Front Observations - Page 3 StormTotalSnowFcst

it almost matches my avatar. Rolling Eyes

by **NjWeatherGuy** Mon Jan 11, 2016 3:49 pm

Mt. Holly

http://www.weather.gov/images/phi/winter/StormTotalSnowWeb1.png

by **sroc4** Mon Jan 11, 2016 3:53 pm

algae888 wrote:nws snow map for tomorrow....

it almost matches my avatar.

It went up for LI..woooohoooo!!!

by Guest Mon Jan 11, 2016 4:15 pm

I even miss out on the 1 to 2" for this event.

by **jmanley32** Mon Jan 11, 2016 4:18 pm

Its really sad to say this but I will enjoy seeing the first flakes even if it doesn't add up. People have gotten so used to the warmth I hope that people drive safe, first snow always a lot accidents even with little to no accumulation.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Jan 11, 2016 5:28 pm

1-2 inches in my area. I'm concerned about roof collapses. I'm hoping people shovel their roofs.

by **snow247** Mon Jan 11, 2016 5:31 pm

I'm right on the border of 1 inch or less and 1-2. Good enough I suppose.

Better than nothing at all.

by **snow247** Mon Jan 11, 2016 6:32 pm

If only this came in a bit later at night. My low is supposed to be 18.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:19 pm

18z RGEM

01/12 Arctic Front Observations - Page 3 PT_PN_030_0000

01/12 Arctic Front Observations - Page 3 PT_PN_033_0000

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:22 pm

4k NAM thinks there will be intense snow squalls

01/12 Arctic Front Observations - Page 3 NAM-HIRES_Radar_ne_f26

by **snow247** Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:22 pm

Feel like this will have some surprises.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:33 pm

snow247 wrote:Feel like this will have some surprises.

Maybe, I wish the transfer would happen at our latitude. Perhaps the squall line surprises us with blizzard-like conditions for those lucky enough to be under those cells.

by **hyde345** Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:37 pm

Hoping for 1-2" in the mid-Hudson valley.

by **snow247** Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:40 pm

hyde345 wrote:Hoping for 1-2" in the mid-Hudson valley.

Possible for anyone north of the Rockland/Westchester snow hole imo. We'll see.

by **snow247** Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:40 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
snow247 wrote:Feel like this will have some surprises.

Maybe, I wish the transfer would happen at our latitude. Perhaps the squall line surprises us with blizzard-like conditions for those lucky enough to be under those cells.

Any chance that it still could? Probably not right?

by **amugs** Mon Jan 11, 2016 9:57 pm

This could be an awesome 29 minutes for some, trending looks good so far for this light event.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 11, 2016 10:22 pm

snow247 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
snow247 wrote:Feel like this will have some surprises.

Maybe, I wish the transfer would happen at our latitude. Perhaps the squall line surprises us with blizzard-like conditions for those lucky enough to be under those cells.

Any chance that it still could? Probably not right?

Not enough digging. The PV is in total control of any vort that breaks off from it.

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