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Long Range Thread 12.0

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StatenWx
Dunnzoo
weatherwatchermom
Quietace
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mwilli5783
jrollins628
devsman
skinsfan1177
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Snow88
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Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 12.0

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Dec 11, 2016 11:25 am

The EURO Weeklies are worth dirt. Very very unreliable. The EURO, since it's upgrade, has never been the same model either.

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Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 12.0

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Dec 11, 2016 1:34 pm

At this point, I'm confident in saying New years and early January will be very warm.

Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 U_65N_10hpa.png.357e81b3555ae9174d70a1d3d61f21e0

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Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 12.0

Post by frank 638 Sun Dec 11, 2016 1:57 pm

Noooooooo

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Post by frank 638 Sun Dec 11, 2016 1:58 pm

Will we have a better Xmas weather at least any snow chances

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Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 12.0

Post by jmanley32 Sun Dec 11, 2016 3:28 pm

When frank says he is confident I'm sold. Which stinks especially since it's jan. Will tgat hold for all of jan?
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Dec 11, 2016 4:02 pm

jmanley32 wrote:When frank says he is confident I'm sold. Which stinks especially since it's jan. Will tgat hold for all of jan?

If tropical forcing, or a sudden stratospheric warming event occurs, last half of January may be salvaged. We'll see.

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Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 12.0

Post by algae888 Sun Dec 11, 2016 4:23 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:When frank says he is confident I'm sold. Which stinks especially since it's jan. Will tgat hold for all of jan?

If tropical forcing, or a sudden stratospheric warming event occurs, last half of January may be salvaged. We'll see.
If there's a month we can get away with positive temperature departures it's January as long as the pattern is active. Unless you're of course you're talking about temperature departures like last December.
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Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 12.0

Post by Snow88 Sun Dec 11, 2016 5:47 pm

GFS lost the cutter for this weekend

Better front end

Arctic squalls possible on Thursday
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Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 12.0

Post by algae888 Sun Dec 11, 2016 6:25 pm

this for coastal areas..
Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Gfsp_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_15
Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_12
Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_15
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Dec 11, 2016 6:59 pm

Thanks algae I hope so I'll be watching as we get closer
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Post by Snow88 Sun Dec 11, 2016 7:17 pm

Small PNA spike for next weekend

Might help us with the storm
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Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 12.0

Post by Snow88 Sun Dec 11, 2016 7:37 pm

NWS Twitter Page

Snowfall for the 6 climate sites so far:
NYC: 0.4"
LGA: 0.4"
JFK: 0.2"
EWR: 0.3"
ISP: T
BDR: T
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Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 12.0

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Dec 11, 2016 8:02 pm

Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Xmas10

The Euro Ensembles say we may be able to BBQ on Christmas.


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Post by frank 638 Sun Dec 11, 2016 8:09 pm

Not again

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Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 12.0

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Dec 11, 2016 8:10 pm

frank 638 wrote:Not again

Mad Mad Mad

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Post by track17 Sun Dec 11, 2016 8:27 pm

At least Thursday looks good for us at the coast

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Dec 11, 2016 8:29 pm

track17 wrote:At least Thursday looks good for us at the coast

Yea the 15th to 18th presents a couple chances for snow. We'll see what happens with modeling tomorrow. Right now, I don't think it will amount to much.

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Post by HectorO Sun Dec 11, 2016 8:50 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
track17 wrote:At least Thursday looks good for us at the coast

Yea the 15th to 18th presents a couple chances for snow. We'll see what happens with modeling tomorrow. Right now, I don't think it will amount to much.

A little something is a little something. Do you see the temps staying somewhat cold until Christmas at least? I know we're getting a big arctic blast this week?
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Dec 11, 2016 9:15 pm

HectorO wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
track17 wrote:At least Thursday looks good for us at the coast

Yea the 15th to 18th presents a couple chances for snow. We'll see what happens with modeling tomorrow. Right now, I don't think it will amount to much.

A little something is  a little something. Do you see the temps staying somewhat cold until Christmas at least? I know we're getting a big arctic blast this week?

No, it will warm up by the 21st or thereabouts.

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Post by HectorO Sun Dec 11, 2016 9:18 pm

Thought the blast would last longer, looks to be only 2 days. Don't even know if Saturday will be cold enough to see snow. lows are close to 40s
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Dec 11, 2016 9:35 pm

HectorO wrote:Thought the blast would last longer, looks to be only 2 days. Don't even know if Saturday will be cold enough to see snow. lows are close to 40s

It's going to be in the 30's Wednesday then 20's Thursday through Saturday. It will warm up ahead of a front Saturday night then more cold possible 19th-20th. Snow possible during the day Saturday. We'll see.

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Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Empty Re: Long Range Thread 12.0

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Dec 12, 2016 12:48 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Long Range Thread 12.0 - Page 36 Xmas10

The Euro Ensembles say we may be able to BBQ on Christmas.


Very Disturbing News!!!

Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad
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Post by track17 Mon Dec 12, 2016 6:11 am

Do the coastal areas still have a chance of something small for Thursday

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Dec 12, 2016 6:47 am

track17 wrote:Do the coastal areas still have a chance of something small for Thursday

Maybe a little something
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Post by Quietace Mon Dec 12, 2016 6:57 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:
track17 wrote:Do the coastal areas still have a chance of something small for Thursday

Maybe a little something
I will be home so the answer is a obvious yes.
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Post by Guest Mon Dec 12, 2016 8:07 am

Barbecue and TIKI party at CP's for Christmas. Whose in? Wink Wink Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad

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Post by docstox12 Mon Dec 12, 2016 8:29 am

syosnow94 wrote:Barbecue and TIKI party at CP's for Christmas.  Whose in? Wink Wink Evil or Very Mad Evil or Very Mad

LOL, like the way you think, Jimmy.When they hand you lemons, make lemonade!!!

Oh, CP will be in the OTI Sanitarium after last December and if we get a Christmas torch this year,lol.
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