Re: January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 22, 2017 5:57 am

Yes I know I don't sleep lol, holy 06z 4km NAM!

Snow/sleet/frz?

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 9 Hires_10

total precip!

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 9 Hires_11

WINDS 900hpa sustained! That white area offshore is 97mph winds! Take 55% thats 53mph sustained.

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 9 Hires_12

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 9 Hires_12

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 22, 2017 6:00 am

Warnings going up in NJ already.

NJZ012>014-222145-
/O.UPG.KPHI.HW.A.0001.170123T0700Z-170124T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.HW.W.0001.170123T0800Z-170124T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.FG.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170122T1500Z/
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NEW BRUNSWICK, FREEHOLD, AND SANDY HOOK
344 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 PM EST MONDAY.
THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* WINDS...EAST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING THE
DAY MONDAY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING.

* WIND IMPACTS...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL
BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* FOG IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT
EARLY THIS MORNING. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...TURN YOUR LIGHTS
ON...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM IN FRONT OF YOU.

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 22, 2017 7:02 am

High wind warning just issued city li coastal ct. Stronger than the one for jersey coast surprisingly. 60 to 70mph gusts! And something I've never seen off shore of li a hurricane fore wind warning 75 kts! This wind is real Upton issuing nearly 24 hrs in advance. This will last 24 hrs highest monday afternoon night there's going to b a lot powe outages b prepared.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:28 am

455 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HIGH WIND
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 60 TO 70 MPH. THE
STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS LONG ISLAND...AND ESPECIALLY
IN AREAS WITH EASTERN EXPOSURE.

* TIMING...WINDS COULD BEGIN GUSTING AS HIGH AS 45 MPH JUST
BEFORE DAYBREAK MONDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* HIGH WIND IMPACTS...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND
POWER LINES. NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED. TRAVEL WILL BE
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND ON ELEVATED
ROADWAY AND BRIDGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:30 am

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:30 am

Click your county

http://wx.aerisweather.com/maps/severe/warnings/all/usnj.html

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:36 am

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:37 am

http://tempest.aos.wisc.edu/radar/ma3compjs.html

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:38 am

Check out the spin over Oklahoma and convection developing ahead of it. Heavy rain certainly on the way

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 9 Rb-animated

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 9 Rb-animated

by Guest Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:43 am

This is all a maybe still but.......So waking up this morning and checking in it looks like this will not be your typical strong nor'easter like I posted last night. If we actually do get gusts to 65 mph then there will be tons of damage and power outages. Jman you look like you were right harping this all along.

As far as the Jersey shore not having dunes up 4 years after Sandy that is inexcusable. What the hell goes on down there with those tax dollars

by track17 Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:47 am

Syo as someone who has lived at the jersey shore for yrs our state is the worst run state you can find. No matter what political party takes over they waste money and do nothing. They just had to close the bridge between the jersey and pa turnpike because it was in such a state of disrepair.

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:49 am

Glad I was able to heed the warning and people that I know FB ect are aware. latest briefing, everything was increased winds and rainfall and a "hurricane force wind warning" for gusts to over 75 kts over the oceans waters adjacent to coastal southern LI, thats the first time I have heard of that.

http://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Briefings/CoastalStormBriefing.pdf

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:50 am

I wonder if the bridges will be restricted or even closed at the height of the storm, usually when winds reach these levels they do so. MTA will also not run above ground with winds sustained 35mph or faster.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:55 am

HRRR wind gusts

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 9 Gust_t310m_f32

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:55 am

by **billg315** Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:55 am

Well they actually have built dunes in a lot of shore towns -including the one I spend my summer in. Some local residents in some towns fought the government to stop dune projects in their town because it would ruin their view and channel beach access around their property. I wouldn't blame the government for that.

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 22, 2017 10:59 am

Frank_Wx wrote:HRRR wind gusts

wow and thats kts and not even close to the height of the storm, thats 12pm 17:00 UTC. I believe.

by **skinsfan1177** Sun Jan 22, 2017 11:07 am

billg315 wrote:Well they actually have built dunes in a lot of shore towns -including the one I spend my summer in. Some local residents in some towns fought the government to stop dune projects in their town because it would ruin their view and channel beach access around their property. I wouldn't blame the government for that.

No dunes in point pleasant beach

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sun Jan 22, 2017 11:09 am

jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:HRRR wind gusts

wow and thats kts and not even close to the height of the storm, thats 12pm 17:00 UTC. I believe.

You're correct

It's a 5 hour difference so this time of year just subtract 5 hours from the time posted.

by **billg315** Sun Jan 22, 2017 11:09 am

I don't know if these winds will verify as they do often fall short of forecast, but if they do, anyone who thinks this storm with sustained 30-40 mph winds and frequent gusts of 70 mph is just a typical rain event along the coast is in for a surprise. Because it is not.

by **rb924119** Sun Jan 22, 2017 11:14 am

HO LY NAM

by **billg315** Sun Jan 22, 2017 11:16 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Well they actually have built dunes in a lot of shore towns -including the one I spend my summer in. Some local residents in some towns fought the government to stop dune projects in their town because it would ruin their view and channel beach access around their property. I wouldn't blame the government for that.

No dunes in point pleasant beach

Exactly. Due to costly litigation by homeowners:
http://www.app.com/story/news/local/ocean-county/sandy-recovery/2016/08/01/legal-fees-dune-battle/87905484/
as elsewhere, where residents who lost their first lawsuit to stop the dunes this summer continue to tie it up with nonsense like this:
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/n-sand-dune-opponents-invoke-zika-fears-bid-stop-project-article-1.2906966

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 22, 2017 11:16 am

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 9 5884be91beffc

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 9 5884beb544c7c

We're in trouble

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 22, 2017 11:18 am

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 22, 2017 11:19 am

Frank_Wx wrote:

We're in trouble

jeeze that's some heavy precip why does nam keep show snow even into nyc. Coupled with the winds visibility will b nill. I think there will b restrictions or closures to the main bridges. Will b bad if u gotta commute to nj from nyc.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 22, 2017 11:20 am

by obsessedwithweather Sun Jan 22, 2017 11:22 am

Interesting to note..

I live in smithtown, long island. I have been to hauppauge and commack already this morning running errands. No one is getting gas (but me) and the Shop Rite is empty.

I pray that I'm just overly cautious otherwise a lot of people are going to be in for a surprise.

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