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January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:34 pm

sroc4 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:Where is the 850 closed low?

Tracks just off the NJ coast. Again, this is east of last night, which had it over NJ. Huge changes. I knew modeling didn't look right trying to ram this thing head on into that block aha

I am so behind on this system.  I haven't looked at any details on actual models at all.  Ive only been following the forum.  Ive been so under the weather, no pun intended, since Thursday.  Keep up the good job all.  

Hope you feel better soon!!

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Post by jake732 Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:35 pm

amugs wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
jake732 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:I'm really curios to see what the schools do here
/
skins u  really think they may close??

here is my understanding..if the police in our town say not safe to put kids on buses then no they will not....don't forget some kids leave district for vocational school, high tech...biotech...and also you can not have kids walking or waiting at the bus stop with that kind of wind...I do believe they will close ....lets see if I am right.
Jake u have kids? If not I can see why u question if u do my man why would u put ur flesh and blood at risk? Dude it is a very bad storm and u guys wil see sustained trop force winds with possible hcane gusts and u would think they would open school?

yes I have 2 kids. so u think I should just stay home as it will be to dangerous to drive. ok thanx

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Post by sabamfa Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:37 pm

Mugs/Everyone,

My fiancé teaches at NJCU in Jersey City on Monday nights. Do you think he should be cancelling class tomorrow? Any chance the university will close? How about K12 schools in Hudson County? That's his day job and I'm concerned about him driving home to Morris County tomorrow afternoon (230ish) or night 630-730ish).

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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:38 pm

amugs wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
jake732 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:I'm really curios to see what the schools do here
/
skins u  really think they may close??

here is my understanding..if the police in our town say not safe to put kids on buses then no they will not....don't forget some kids leave district for vocational school, high tech...biotech...and also you can not have kids walking or waiting at the bus stop with that kind of wind...I do believe they will close ....lets see if I am right.
Jake u have kids? If not I can see why u question if u do my man why would u put ur flesh and blood at risk? Dude it is a very bad storm and u guys wil see sustained trop force winds with possible hcane gusts and u would think they would open school?

I firmly believe they should not have school this is going to be devastating for the coast. I will be taking many pictures tommorrow and sharing them on here.
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Post by aiannone Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:40 pm

18z GFS coming in with a Binghamton Mauler lol

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Post by Guest Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:42 pm

Looks like it's pulling the snow east and I'm going to playing the role of Syo.

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Post by aiannone Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:43 pm

18z GFS is a Binghamton Mauler!!!!!!

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions  - Page 16 Usa_as11

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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:44 pm

Also it has been raining lightly here since noon the ground is soft and wet. I'm saying it if the winds verify which I think they will trees will be down.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:44 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
amugs wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
jake732 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:I'm really curios to see what the schools do here
/
skins u  really think they may close??

here is my understanding..if the police in our town say not safe to put kids on buses then no they will not....don't forget some kids leave district for vocational school, high tech...biotech...and also you can not have kids walking or waiting at the bus stop with that kind of wind...I do believe they will close ....lets see if I am right.
Jake u have kids? If not I can see why u question if u do my man why would u put ur flesh and blood at risk? Dude it is a very bad storm and u guys wil see sustained trop force winds with possible hcane gusts and u would think they would open school?

I firmly believe they should not have school this is going to be devastating for the coast. I will be taking many pictures tommorrow and sharing them
on here.

I totally agree with you!! I drive my son and don't want to go out..there are parents that let their kids walk in the rain...don't care..and some of those moms I know are home during the day...lets see...my gut says yes they cancel school!!

do you work tom?
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:50 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:
amugs wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
jake732 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:I'm really curios to see what the schools do here
/
skins u  really think they may close??

here is my understanding..if the police in our town say not safe to put kids on buses then no they will not....don't forget some kids leave district for vocational school, high tech...biotech...and also you can not have kids walking or waiting at the bus stop with that kind of wind...I do believe they will close ....lets see if I am right.
Jake u have kids? If not I can see why u question if u do my man why would u put ur flesh and blood at risk? Dude it is a very bad storm and u guys wil see sustained trop force winds with possible hcane gusts and u would think they would open school?

I firmly believe they should not have school this is going to be devastating for the coast. I will be taking many pictures tommorrow and sharing them
on here.

I totally agree with you!! I drive my son and don't want to go out..there are parents that let their kids walk in the rain...don't care..and some of those moms I know are home during the day...lets see...my gut says yes they cancel school!!

do you work tom?

Yes I do I go in at 6am and I think we may be working awhile if this storm verifys. Probably lots of trees down and DPW will be the first hitting the streets
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:51 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:
amugs wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
jake732 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:I'm really curios to see what the schools do here
/
skins u  really think they may close??

here is my understanding..if the police in our town say not safe to put kids on buses then no they will not....don't forget some kids leave district for vocational school, high tech...biotech...and also you can not have kids walking or waiting at the bus stop with that kind of wind...I do believe they will close ....lets see if I am right.
Jake u have kids? If not I can see why u question if u do my man why would u put ur flesh and blood at risk? Dude it is a very bad storm and u guys wil see sustained trop force winds with possible hcane gusts and u would think they would open school?

I firmly believe they should not have school this is going to be devastating for the coast. I will be taking many pictures tommorrow and sharing them
on here.

I totally agree with you!! I drive my son and don't want to go out..there are parents that let their kids walk in the rain...don't care..and some of those moms I know are home during the day...lets see...my gut says yes they cancel school!!

do you work tom?

Yes I do I go in at 6am and I think we may be working awhile if this storm verifys. Probably lots of trees down and DPW will be the first hitting the streets

stay safe and take those pics...
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Post by amugs Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:52 pm

jake732 wrote:
amugs wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
jake732 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:I'm really curios to see what the schools do here
/
skins u  really think they may close??

here is my understanding..if the police in our town say not safe to put kids on buses then no they will not....don't forget some kids leave district for vocational school, high tech...biotech...and also you can not have kids walking or waiting at the bus stop with that kind of wind...I do believe they will close ....lets see if I am right.
Jake u have kids? If not I can see why u question if u do my man why would u put ur flesh and blood at risk? Dude it is a very bad storm and u guys wil see sustained trop force winds with possible hcane gusts and u would think they would open school?

yes I have 2 kids. so u think I should just stay home as it will be to dangerous to drive. ok thanx
Jake,
I was not trying to be rude but I would keep them home. It is only one day and u can have some quality family time and enjoy nature's beauty!!

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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Post by amugs Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:54 pm

sabamfa wrote:Mugs/Everyone,

My fiancé teaches at NJCU in Jersey City on Monday nights. Do you think he should be cancelling class tomorrow? Any chance the university will close? How about K12 schools in Hudson County? That's his day job and I'm concerned about him driving home to Morris County tomorrow afternoon (230ish) or night 630-730ish).
Cancel class and I would stay home as I did in '92 Nor'easter when I worked in JERSEY CITY PS 14 SCHOOL. I would not have made it home that day living in Passaic County!! Play it safe again it is one day.
HC probably will not close too many kids rely on the schools for services and meals.


Last edited by amugs on Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:56 pm; edited 1 time in total

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jake732 Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:55 pm

when do the winds start? do I keep them home tomorrow or Tuesday?
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:56 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:
amugs wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
jake732 wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:I'm really curios to see what the schools do here
/
skins u  really think they may close??

here is my understanding..if the police in our town say not safe to put kids on buses then no they will not....don't forget some kids leave district for vocational school, high tech...biotech...and also you can not have kids walking or waiting at the bus stop with that kind of wind...I do believe they will close ....lets see if I am right.
Jake u have kids? If not I can see why u question if u do my man why would u put ur flesh and blood at risk? Dude it is a very bad storm and u guys wil see sustained trop force winds with possible hcane gusts and u would think they would open school?

I firmly believe they should not have school this is going to be devastating for the coast. I will be taking many pictures tommorrow and sharing them
on here.

I totally agree with you!! I drive my son and don't want to go out..there are parents that let their kids walk in the rain...don't care..and some of those moms I know are home during the day...lets see...my gut says yes they cancel school!!

do you work tom?

Yes I do I go in at 6am and I think we may be working awhile if this storm verifys. Probably lots of trees down and DPW will be the first hitting the streets

stay safe and take those pics...

Thank you and I will Very Happy
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Post by sabamfa Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:58 pm

amugs wrote:
Cancel class and I would stay home as I did in '92 Nor'easter when I worked in JERSEY CITY PS 14 SCHOOL. I would not have made it home that day living in Passaic County!! Play it safe again it is one day.
HC probably will not close too many kids rely on the schools for services and meals.

Thanks, Mugs. Will talk to him about cancelling the college class. Staying home during the day not an option - gets almost zero days. :/

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Post by algae888 Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:58 pm

Latest forecast for Rockland County one to three inches of snow and sleet Western Bergen County 1 to 2 inches of snow and sleet Eastern Bergen County and Southern Westchester rain and sleet mix from 1 p.m. to 10 p.m. tomorrow. Mugs just another tick and it's going to be wild tomorrow
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Post by amugs Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:58 pm

jake732 wrote:when do the winds start? do I keep them home tomorrow or Tuesday?
Early like  2-3am and really pick up as the day progresses.

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Post by algae888 Sun Jan 22, 2017 2:59 pm

amugs wrote:
jake732 wrote:when do the winds start? do I keep them home tomorrow or Tuesday?
Early like  2-3am and really pick up as the day progresses.
Yes the winds will start early the heavy precipitation should come in after 4 p.m. tomorrow according to the latest models
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Post by frank 638 Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:07 pm

do you think the bridges will shut down tom due to the high winds i am driving to work tom to jfk

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Post by track17 Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:07 pm

Guys if the heavy stuff won't be here until late tomorrow there is no way they should close schools. I agree they should but there is no way any of the ocean county schools do without heavy rain and just wind.

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Post by Guest Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:07 pm

Time to see which model is better:

The GFS

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions  - Page 16 Gfs_as11

or the NAM

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions  - Page 16 Nam3km10

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Post by amugs Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:12 pm

sabamfa wrote:
amugs wrote:
Cancel class and I would stay home as I did in '92 Nor'easter when I worked in JERSEY CITY PS 14 SCHOOL. I would not have made it home that day living in Passaic County!! Play it safe again it is one day.
HC probably will not close too many kids rely on the schools for services and meals.

Thanks, Mugs. Will talk to him about cancelling the college class. Staying home during the day not an option - gets almost zero days. :/
Sorry to say about the lack of sick days for ur hubby hopefully they will call school.
Definitely without question call school tomorrow night. Or else he could be sleeping there! ! Evil or Very Mad

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Post by nutleyblizzard Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:15 pm

TheAresian wrote:Time to see which model is better:

The GFS

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions  - Page 16 Gfs_as11

or the NAM

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions  - Page 16 Nam3km10
Actually neither. Follow the RGEM. Its usually an accurate short range model. I'll follow the other models for trends only.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:18 pm

Mugs southern westchester go get it good with the wind right? 60mph gusts maybe higher? Any chance we see at least sleet? Yeah I think there go b a lot power outages in westchester always are even with 40mph wing gusts.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:20 pm

Yeah someone including me asked about bridges. With those kinda winds I see bridges and above ground mta halting.
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Post by billg315 Sun Jan 22, 2017 3:20 pm

aiannone wrote:18z GFS is a Binghamton Mauler!!!!!!

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions  - Page 16 Usa_as11

I really wish it would keep coming east and give me that snow. lol. But you deserve a good storm up in Binghamton my man, so I hope you get a foot out of this.
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