January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions

Some NJ schools are already closing. I swear, all you have to say to Jersey is "boo" and the schools close

Actually the schools in ocean county hardly ever close. They will not close for this either

aiannone wrote:It seem's  no one knows about this storm. Every time i mention to someone that a big storm is coming they respond with "what storm" and "ohh it's just rain"......

There has been serious under-reporting of this storm. Now, I concede that if the winds don't fully pan out, this will ultimately be a windy rain with some coastal flooding. But, IF, the winds are as strong as forecast, there will absolutely be power outages, road closures and wind damage. We just don't get prolonged 20-40 mph winds with 60-plus mph gusts over several hours all that frequently, even in strong nor'easter's.

Alex that wasn't nice about the Jersey folks. How can they have school when they might get wet

syosnow94 wrote:Alex that wasn't nice about the Jersey folks. How can they have school when they might get wet

LOL! I always remember back in high school when we would get 2" of snow and not one LI school would have a delay/closing, but dozens of NJ schools would scroll across the screen lol. Used to piss me off haha

track17 wrote:Is this still looking like it will have any impact on jersey? Because the past hour or so people are only talking about Nyc and north

We are going to see huge impacts on the Jersey coast. Take a look down south it's bad and it's coming this way.

Winds are Definetly picking up.

winds picking up by me as well

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Look at the moisture it's sucking out of the Gulf, wow.

Their was a gust already in seaside heights of 35mph.

With the 0z model runs approaching, I'm hoping for another 50-75 mile jog east with this storm. That would put NYC metro in a more predominate sleet/snow event.

billg315 wrote:

sroc4 wrote:

weatherwatchermom wrote:

sroc4 wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

sroc4 wrote:Where is the 850 closed low?

Tracks just off the NJ coast. Again, this is east of last night, which had it over NJ. Huge changes. I knew modeling didn't look right trying to ram this thing head on into that block aha

I am so behind on this system.  I haven't looked at any details on actual models at all.  Ive only been following the forum.  Ive been so under the weather, no pun intended, since Thursday.  Keep up the good job all.  

Hope you feel better soon!!

Thank You...me too.  

Feel better man. It's tough tracking a storm like this without your insight. Very much has been missed, but we're trying to hold down the fort here. Look forward to your return in full health!

Thanks Mugs and Bill.

starting to get windy out of the ene

I really think winds are going to gust to 70mph along immediate coast already seeing 20s and 35mph and we have a long long way to go

The center of the Low appears to be near Calhoun, GA right now from the radar motion. The pressure there is 29.14 (987 mb) and falling. 20 mph winds with heavy rain.

45.7 and waiting on the Sleeticane.

East/Northeast winds are already consistently strong here on the beach. They don't seem to be very gusty at this point, but sustained and considerable.

Any chance of another group chat for this storm?

Alright. What's happening.

Frank_Wx wrote:Alright. What's happening.

I've been wondering where you and RB has been. Huge NAM run to start in a few minutes.

48 degrees out and so far quiet with the wind. I see others have posted that this storm is being under reported. Channel 7 weather report has no video to load. Local papers are silent on the storm. So by tomorrow I guess we will see how bad the storm is getting and start seeing the local newspapers get jiggy with it. Has anyone noticed that the Upton forecast for tomorrow and Tuesday are not congruent with what is being stated in the warning? There are two different forecasts. The report from the seven day forecasts is much more conservative than what is being stated in the warnings. I guess that is why they call it weather. Or maybe it is whether or not. Or maybe it comes down to being a wether.

Am I getting this right that the worst of this storm will be from Monday afternoon to Tuesday morning? I would love to have snow from this storm but if there is a choice between sleet/ice and rain then I choose rain. CBS just had a commercial teaser about Noreaster coming tomorrow. If the HP can just move in quicker and the storm slower then maybe we are in business. Then the storm can suck in the cold air aloft from the North.

Yeah right now the worst of the storm seems to set in after noon tomorrow and continue until about dawn Tuesday.

So bling wind or rain really won't be an issue tomorrow morning then? I am safe until the ride home ?

The nam is slower by any 2 to 3 hours slower which means longer duration of wind

NAM shows things being particularly nasty after about 7 p.m. It looks like at hour 30 (around 1 a.m. Tue.) some cold air tries to poke into N. Jersey. Maybe we get some sleet around that time.