Re: January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions

by **aiannone** Mon Jan 23, 2017 12:47 pm

Just got back from a 2 hour cinema class..... kill me now lol.... anything big change?

by **Math23x7** Mon Jan 23, 2017 12:48 pm

I took a brief step outside while at work. It is quite chilly. With plain rain approaching, wind chills are sub-freezing...

by **aiannone** Mon Jan 23, 2017 12:50 pm

January 22nd-24th Nor'easter Observations & Discussions - Page 27 16231110

Temps wont be all that cold and precip will be heavy, i think that is likely going to be sleet and not ZR. Also ground is warm. It was 56 the last 2 days and it's currently 40

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 23, 2017 12:50 pm

aiannone wrote:Just got back from a 2 hour cinema class..... kill me now lol.... anything big change?

In general, the colder trend in the modeling has continued, and the latest UKMET decided to drop a nuke on the Northeast lol nothing major though ahahaha

by **aiannone** Mon Jan 23, 2017 12:54 pm

rb924119 wrote:
aiannone wrote:Just got back from a 2 hour cinema class..... kill me now lol.... anything big change?

In general, the colder trend in the modeling has continued, and the latest UKMET decided to drop a nuke on the Northeast lol nothing major though ahahaha

Ahh gotcha. Well looking at SPC Meso, across all of the NYC Metro and LI all layers (925, 700) are below freezing besides 850. Might indicate sleet is on the way. Temps on LI are actually colder than up in Binghamton right now lol

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jan 23, 2017 12:56 pm

Madonne, it's really howling out there.

by **nutleyblizzard** Mon Jan 23, 2017 12:58 pm

aiannone wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
aiannone wrote:Just got back from a 2 hour cinema class..... kill me now lol.... anything big change?

In general, the colder trend in the modeling has continued, and the latest UKMET decided to drop a nuke on the Northeast lol nothing major though ahahaha

Ahh gotcha. Well looking at SPC Meso, across all of the NYC Metro and LI all layers (925, 700) are below freezing besides 850. Might indicate sleet is on the way. Temps on LI are actually colder than up in Binghamton right now lol

Interesting developments. EURO may follow suit, since it usually agrees with UKMET.

by **SoulSingMG** Mon Jan 23, 2017 12:59 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:Emergency sand dunes now being constructed along parts of the Jersey Shore. Emergency crews on "standby" in NYC, expecting a "3-5 foot" storm surge tonight.

Why do they wait until the day of the storm when this has been modeled for at least 4 days.

It's very bizarre and disconcerting to say the least, especially for the Shore. I'm not sure if there's some sort of post-Sandy numbness now or something, but a 4-5 foot surge can be quite damaging to certain communities.

by **billg315** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:01 pm

down to 39* here as it starts raining. sustained winds are 20 mph with the aforementioned 40 mph gusts. What is somewhat concerning is how much wind has kicked up already, hours before the worst of this storm. I suspect people who will be leaving work around 4-6 pm (like myself) will be dealing with quite the mess when they walk out the door.

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:06 pm

EURO is disappointing. Warm wedge gets pretty far northwest, almost back to Aresian country, but not quite.

by **weatherwatchermom** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:11 pm

Jman..needed your wind meter...after getting my son from school(1/2 day-we have conferences) it was hard to stand on the beach...and the sand was pelting us...the bay was rough and you could see it pushing in...our flood gates are closed..high tide at 4:30 so we won't have the highest winds at high tide...

by **hyde345** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:12 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:The experiment continues, soundings for Teterboro, Caldwell and White Plains show the warm nose continuing at the 700-850 layer..... I want to get as many obs from these areas as possible to see how the sounding forecasts went. They don't match the snow maps for sure.

Can you check Poughkeepsie also? I'll let you know how it goes here.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:14 pm

rb924119 wrote:EURO is disappointing. Warm wedge gets pretty far northwest, almost back to Aresian country, but not quite.

F the Euro.

I've always hated that model, except when it gives me the output I want.

by Guest Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:21 pm

HRRR has it dry until around 7 here. After that, it's not long before it turns to some form of frozen precip.

So much for that. Light rain started.

by **SoulSingMG** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:24 pm

59 mph wind gust in Seaside, NJ, last hour. That's when sh*t starts snapping... Shocked

by Guest Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:36 pm

I know this is kinda banter-ish, but am I only one that gets antsy when a few minutes pass and nobody has posted anything?

by **Vinnydula** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:39 pm

Snow sleet

by **Grselig** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:45 pm

TheAresian wrote:I know this is kinda banter-ish, but am I only one that gets antsy when a few minutes pass and nobody has posted anything?

No, when that happens I feel like it just went OTS.

by **Dtone** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:48 pm

Light sleet at work in dobbs ferry.
Winds here so far much calmer than 12 miles away in bx.

by **Grselig** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:49 pm

Just light rain here. No sleet.

by **nutleyblizzard** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:49 pm

I'm at work in Fair Lawn up in Bergen County. Sleet has commenced.

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:49 pm

Grselig wrote:
TheAresian wrote:I know this is kinda banter-ish, but am I only one that gets antsy when a few minutes pass and nobody has posted anything?

No, when that happens I feel like it just went OTS.

THIS ONE ISNT GOING OUT TO SEA lmfao the radar imagery is crazy right now

by **Grselig** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:50 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:I'm at work in Fair Lawn up in Bergen County. Sleet has commenced.

Weird, I thought that a little north and west in Wayne would get sleet before Fair Lawn. I WANT SLEET. At least something frozen.

by **Grselig** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:51 pm

rb924119 wrote:
Grselig wrote:
TheAresian wrote:I know this is kinda banter-ish, but am I only one that gets antsy when a few minutes pass and nobody has posted anything?

No, when that happens I feel like it just went OTS.

THIS ONE ISNT GOING OUT TO SEA lmfao the radar imagery is crazy right now

Yeah, it my neurosis!!!! It does not understand facts

by **weatherwatchermom** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:51 pm

Grselig wrote:
TheAresian wrote:I know this is kinda banter-ish, but am I only one that gets antsy when a few minutes pass and nobody has posted anything?

No, when that happens I feel like it just went OTS.

me too...

by **weatherwatchermom** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:52 pm

rb924119 wrote:
Grselig wrote:
TheAresian wrote:I know this is kinda banter-ish, but am I only one that gets antsy when a few minutes pass and nobody has posted anything?

No, when that happens I feel like it just went OTS.

THIS ONE ISNT GOING OUT TO SEA lmfao the radar imagery is crazy right now

what radar site should we look at... we just had some really strong gusts go thru 39 mph

by **rb924119** Mon Jan 23, 2017 1:55 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
Grselig wrote:
TheAresian wrote:I know this is kinda banter-ish, but am I only one that gets antsy when a few minutes pass and nobody has posted anything?

No, when that happens I feel like it just went OTS.

THIS ONE ISNT GOING OUT TO SEA lmfao the radar imagery is crazy right now

what radar site should we look at... we just had some really strong gusts go thru 39 mph

They're all about the same, it just depends what color scale you like and if you like ones that include precipitation types.

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