Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Cone did a shift east of about 50 miles

Laura into Texas now

looking at Africa/weatherunderground)there's at least 5 open waves right now."it ain't over till it's over"

YUP ^^^ We are in for the long haul everybody and MJO going into phase 2 & 3 in about a 5 days then the east coast is at play until we get to phase 4.

Amazing it appears NHC believes Laura might redevelop into a subtropical system as she emerges around south to central NJ, thats crazy after traversing half the US.

Ummm Houston .........WE HAVE A PROBLEM!!
About 48 hours from now and they get Laura, Matthew's cousin!! She is going to intensify wit low shear, warm bath waters and scarce dry air.

It wont be long before upgraded to a cane. She has great structure with strong convection firing over top the LLC. The mid and low level centers are starting to align quite nicely.

RI = rapid intensification needs to watched closely here. Latest model run track. About 36 hours till landfall, preparations for rhe coast in this come are imperative at this juncture.

Her cone

amugs wrote:Her cone

Thats gotta be the longest cone I have ever seen....wow that sounded bad.

90mph 978millibars 11pm update

Check out this site for wind gusts - saying 150 knots = 173 mph at landfall in some spots - YIKES!! I say possible but not likely!

https://www.windy.com/-Show---add-more-layers/overlays?gust,2020-08-27-06,28.305,-89.845,7,m:etGadyr

Storm Surge - MOMMA MIA!!

110mph 973 MB at 5am continued intensification expected

wow cat 3 already RI happening, I think her inteinsity will be increased I do not think strong cat 3 maybe 4 are out of the question.

jmanley32 wrote:wow cat 3 already RI happening, I think her inteinsity will be increased I do not think strong cat 3 maybe 4 are out of the question.

Pressure is still dropping very rapidly, definitely think we see a cat 4 hurricane this afternoon. I'll be interested in seeing the 11am advisory as I think it's pretty close right now

Pressure down to 956mb, winds up to 125mph. Very close to a cat 4 already and NHC forecasting 145mph winds nearing landfall

Sanchize06 wrote:Pressure down to 956mb, winds up to 125mph. Very close to a cat 4 already and NHC forecasting 145mph winds nearing landfall

This is not good at all, might see Cat 5 at this pt. I mean 970s to 956 in a matter of hours thats like bombogenesis with a noreaster.

I also find it intersting that she is being tracked across the entire US and off our coast even as a subtropical storm. NHC mentions this in their discussion that she may reintensify off the midatlantic but looks to move near due east.

Even cattle being evacuated, this is going to be soooo bad

https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu/status/1298623289154244610?s=20

Dunnzoo wrote:Even cattle being evacuated, this is going to be soooo bad

https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu/status/1298623289154244610?s=20

I hate to see helpless animals die in storms so this is very good, they do not have a lot of time though, TS winds are already making it onshore, this is going to be a catastrophe.

WOW


...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, EXTREME WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST TONIGHT... ...LITTLE TIME REMAINS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY...
1:00 PM CDT Wed Aug 26
Location: 27.3°N 92.5°W
Moving: NW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 952 mb
Max sustained: 140 mph

16 mph is a good forward speed for a hcane and she is intensifying this is going to be catastrophic - I have learned from mets that I know that a weakening system is less worrisome as it approaches land than a strengthening system - the wildcard variables to strengthening system are no bueno!!

From Twitter She is a CAT 4 and strengthening with 12 hours till landfall

Image

Windy.com saying 159 knot wind gusts = 183 mph - catastrophic and she is strengthening from all reports on buoys, radar and recon flights

https://www.usa-wx.com/forum/topic/7303-hurricane-laura-category-3-956mb-125mph/page/26/?tab=comments#comment-1172485

Not to be the bearer of more bad news but the euro has her get down to 939mb just before landfall; then just as it comes ashore it drops to 943 then 946. Levi has made mention of a little bit of shear right as it nears shore but unfort that will likely have little efect on impacts with this system. Hopefully in the next 12 hours it undergoes an ERC (eyewall replacement cycle) such that it weakens at least a little before landfall. Either way it will be catastrophic.

God's speed to those that do not heed warning and leave.

jmanley32 wrote:I also find it intersting that she is being tracked across the entire US and off our coast even as a subtropical storm. NHC mentions this in their discussion that she may reintensify off the midatlantic but looks to move near due east.

According to this map,the remnants of Laura reach all the way up to Newfoundland monday morning as a tropical storm. Unbelievable after spending so much time over land. Looks like she comes back over the ocean at the south tip of New Jersey and regains tropical storm status.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/severeweather/hurricanes?ocid=SK2HDHP

Pressures now down to the mid 940's according to the current recon flight. Yikes!