February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

I'm just south of Princeton, NJ...been sleeting since about 6 am. Brief transitions to snow, but predominantly sleet. ~8" on the ground from last night mostly. Pretty bummed because of the craziness just to my north!

heehaw453 wrote:

billg315 wrote:Wonder if the car on the right is going anywhere soon?

That looks to be over a foot bill.  

I haven't done an official measurement, but I'd be shocked if we're not over a foot.

Frank- are we in the worst part of the storm?

Accu weather now 18-24 in nyc

WeatherBob wrote:Accu weather now 18-24 in nyc

is that total or in addition?

Frank_Wx wrote:Man, I do feel for the folks in SW NJ/SE PA. Models by this point had them changeover, but one theory I am banking on is this storm is taking longer to develop than planned. Once the secondary gets going hoping temps in those places crash.

Frank you're spot on.  That is minutia that breaks hearts with these storms, however they'll get good snow as this pivots and the CCB slopes downward.  I had mixing until around 10:30 when the column crashed.  850's are well below zero, but there is a warm nose probably around 800 mb or so.

It’s blitzing I n Brooklyn Flatbush

billg315 wrote:

heehaw453 wrote:

billg315 wrote:Wonder if the car on the right is going anywhere soon?

That looks to be over a foot bill.  

I haven't done an official measurement, but I'd be shocked if we're not over a foot.

Update: A co-worker's husband who lives just a ways up the road from me just did a measurement. Based on that, we have 15" in this neck of the woods. I would normally doubt a measurement that high, but not based on what I see out my door.

heehaw453 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Man, I do feel for the folks in SW NJ/SE PA. Models by this point had them changeover, but one theory I am banking on is this storm is taking longer to develop than planned. Once the secondary gets going hoping temps in those places crash.

Frank you're spot on.  That is minutia that breaks hearts with these storms, however they'll get good snow as this pivots and the CCB slopes downward.  I had mixing until around 10:30 when the column crashed.  850's are well below zero, but there is a warm nose probably around 800 mb or so.

Does a longer than expected development mean more snow for the board?

Almost 11 inches for me The intensity of the snow has backed off for now .

Just crossed 16 inches here in Hopatcong! Unreal.

At 12 noon...BOOM. Heavy snow started, visibility dropping wind picking up. 21 degrees.

Went out to do round one of shoveling with my husband. By the time we got the driveway done, the steps and walkways were completely covered again. Not sure if it’s even worth it. Looking forward to whenever we can take the dog out though!!!

Al you in a big lull now? Almost stopped here just a very fine snow right now pretty light. Hoping it picks up again soon.

frank 638 wrote:Almost 11 inches for me The intensity of the snow has backed off for now .

we are in between bands, kinda stinks but its go blast again once that band over LI rotates in but that could be a hour or so I dunno.

Frank I just trudged to my official spot have 13 inches and then went to take my pics..all of a sudden it was like a hail storm was hitting, instantly gone is the fluffy snow..it hurt as it was hitting my face and right now it's pouring whatever that is ..is that the warm nose you were talking about??

Clifton, NJ. Sort of near where Essex and eastern Passaic counties meet. 13.5”. Think I’m in between the two big bands currently. Expect a pick up again shortly.

Sleet now getting into mommouth county, NYC and WLO

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12

This too should revert back to snow. We just have to be patient for this pivot to happen

NWS Mt Holly Special Weather Statement:
...INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES CONTINUE RESULTING IN DANGEROUSCONDITIONS... As of 1230 PM, radar and spotter reports indicate an intense band of snow across much of eastern Pennsylvania, just north and west of Philadelphia, to northern New Jersey. Snowfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour are common within the core of this band. The leading edge of this band however down into Chester County is heavy sleet and this will tend to change to heavy snow this afternoon. The band of intense snow should pivot or expand some across the Interstate 95 area into the western portions of southern New Jersey from Burlington to Camden counties from about the New Jersey Turnpike westward. The movement of this band however will greatly determine how much snow accumulates this afternoon and this evening. The intense snowfall rates combined with gusty winds are significantly reducing the visibilities to one quarter mile or less. This is resulting in dangerous traveling conditions, and therefore travel is not recommended across the areas being significantly impacted by this intense snowfall.

jmanley32 wrote:Al you in a big lull now? Almost stopped here just a very fine snow right now pretty light.  Hoping it picks up again soon.

starting The Intensity of the snow is picking up before it was light now it’s getting darker Also I noticed the wind has backing down it is not as windy as before

Mid-level warmth poorly modeled, that is for sure.

Frank_Wx wrote:I think we know who might jackpot...



The RGEM's idea of 30-40 inches may not be far off

Someone's getting 3' around here. Somerset County maybe. Somerville, Bridgewater.

Been sleeting/raining her for awhile a few snowflakes in between but mostly sleet in Eatontown Monmouth County

There is sleet in those red bands by Reading. I believe the on says mixed precip

On the Reading ob

jmanley32 wrote:

frank 638 wrote:Almost 11 inches for me The intensity of the snow has backed off for now .

we are in between bands, kinda stinks but its go blast again once that band over LI rotates in but that could be a hour or so I dunno.

Had  20 min lull. Ripping again with next band. What a storm!