March 2021 Observations and Discussions
+21
algae888
SENJsnowman
richb521
billg315
skinsfan1177
Dunnzoo
essexcountypete
aiannone
weatherwatchermom
dsix85
kalleg
GreyBeard
sroc4
docstox12
dkodgis
Radz
frank 638
amugs
heehaw453
Frank_Wx
CPcantmeasuresnow
25 posters
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
No new snow here at all. Although I still have piles of it in my front yard.
brownie- Posts : 397
Join date : 2013-11-10
Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
I love the snow and cold I hate to say this but let’s just MoveOn to spring and summer at least things are starting to open up at least we can attend to Yankee and mets game beach fishing bbq and moresroc4 wrote:So let it be written, so let it be done.
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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sroc4 likes this post
Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
Low was 26* and a high of 56*
May not hit that low temp until October or November.
56* felt like mid 60's in the sun working on my 4 vegetable garden beds
May not hit that low temp until October or November.
56* felt like mid 60's in the sun working on my 4 vegetable garden beds
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
Hit 26* this morning, sucks after being in 80* weather! I may need to buy a place in Florida. Well at least the days will be warmer.
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
Enjoy the weather! Sunshine and 60's for the next couple of days.
We're entering somewhat of a dry spell
We're entering somewhat of a dry spell
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
Curse you old man winter for this MJO wave entering the not so freindly phases on this oscillation!! This would mean a trough and colder weather in our region.
![March 2021 Observations and Discussions - Page 5 Image.png.6f7fbad89d04777d9cd8bb7cddcebfda](https://33andrain.s3.amazonaws.com/monthly_2021_03/image.png.6f7fbad89d04777d9cd8bb7cddcebfda.png)
Gonna be a rainy day manana and Saturday.
![March 2021 Observations and Discussions - Page 5 Image.png.6f7fbad89d04777d9cd8bb7cddcebfda](https://33andrain.s3.amazonaws.com/monthly_2021_03/image.png.6f7fbad89d04777d9cd8bb7cddcebfda.png)
Gonna be a rainy day manana and Saturday.
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
Wind a'comin'. 50 mph gusts later today and tonight.
About five days ago, my gigantes started flowering. Crocuses are up. Buds are on the lilac bush. Spring cleanup commencing on the perennial beds. Out by the stream, skunk cabbage is starting to sprout up through the ground. In about six weeks, out go the over-wintered plants.
About five days ago, my gigantes started flowering. Crocuses are up. Buds are on the lilac bush. Spring cleanup commencing on the perennial beds. Out by the stream, skunk cabbage is starting to sprout up through the ground. In about six weeks, out go the over-wintered plants.
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
dkodgis wrote:Wind a'comin'. 50 mph gusts later today and tonight.
About five days ago, my gigantes started flowering. Crocuses are up. Buds are on the lilac bush. Spring cleanup commencing on the perennial beds. Out by the stream, skunk cabbage is starting to sprout up through the ground. In about six weeks, out go the over-wintered plants.
And just think Damian, thanks to our illustrious governor Cuomo, you can soon put a marijuana crop in one of your planting beds and grow some hudson valley wowi lol.
GreyBeard- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
79°F here, sunny, gusty, low humidity. What a gorgeous day! I’ll take another month of days like this, please! The last of my snow finally melted today.
brownie- Posts : 397
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
GreyBeard, I like how you think but it is 18 months after the first dispensary opens. Then people can grow. If I were to grow (I like the look of the plant), I would donate it to Doc, CP, and anyone else as I do not partake. Governor Cuomo has his share of difficulties as the moment. I think he might be growing some to ease his anxiety.
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
Should I even mention what the GFS is showing for Thursday (aka baseball opening day)?? I'll just pretend I don't see it for now, but of course, it wouldn't be the first time an opening day was disrupted by such . . . out of season, weather.
![Wink](https://2img.net/i/fa/i/smiles/icon_wink.gif)
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
I wasn't aware of the particulars of the legislation, so you might have to wait a while then. Alas, I do not partake either anymore, but I did back in the late 60's and 70's. It would definitely give your garden a distinct odor. Got a good laugh at your Cuomo comment.
Temps are low 70's here, but winds are starting to crank up. Not used to having such a warm wind. Great day to open up some windows and air out the house a bit.
Temps are low 70's here, but winds are starting to crank up. Not used to having such a warm wind. Great day to open up some windows and air out the house a bit.
GreyBeard- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
billg315 wrote:Should I even mention what the GFS is showing for Thursday (aka baseball opening day)?? I'll just pretend I don't see it for now, but of course, it wouldn't be the first time an opening day was disrupted by such . . . out of season, weather.![]()
If you're a Yankee fan, snow on opening day is a good omen. It could be the start of a new dynasty, like it was in '96. Ah, good times.
essexcountypete- Pro Enthusiast
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sroc4 likes this post
Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
I wish I had a way to measure the wind gusts because these winds are shaking my house and threatening some large trees. Can't wait to see the top mph for the gusts as they must be approaching 60mph.
Fededle22- Posts : 169
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Location : West Orange, NJ
essexcountypete likes this post
Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
March Weather Madness! 80 degrees and the freight train sound is just starting to die down. Very impressive.
Anybody else have that guy on their block that never rakes up his leaves in the fall? Leaves that mother nature evenly distributes throughout the neighborhood? I hate that guy right now.
Anybody else have that guy on their block that never rakes up his leaves in the fall? Leaves that mother nature evenly distributes throughout the neighborhood? I hate that guy right now.
essexcountypete- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
Wind Advisory? These winds are nuts, partial building collapse in yonkers. These are well over 45mph-55mph consistently, should have been a HWW. When we have a HWW we get WA criteria maybe when we have a advisory all hell breaks loose lol. My apartment is literally shaking and its a brick building!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
essexcountypete wrote:March Weather Madness! 80 degrees and the freight train sound is just starting to die down. Very impressive.
Anybody else have that guy on their block that never rakes up his leaves in the fall? Leaves that mother nature evenly distributes throughout the neighborhood? I hate that guy right now.
We get debris all winter after we clean up the fall mess. Days like today the debris in my front yard blows down the street, I have a clean front yard now!
![geek](https://2img.net/i/fa/i/smiles/icon_geek.png)
But... my backyard where the trees are is a mess!
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
Today was a beautiful day first time hitting 81 deg except for the wind howling
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
frank 638 wrote:Today was a beautiful day first time hitting 81 deg except for the wind howling
Hit 81.7* today, a record believe. Had all the windows open, wind blowing through the house, felt great!
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
yes it did I am looking forward for the beachDunnzoo wrote:frank 638 wrote:Today was a beautiful day first time hitting 81 deg except for the wind howling
Hit 81.7* today, a record believe. Had all the windows open, wind blowing through the house, felt great!
![:beach: 🏖](https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/emojione/assets/png/1f3d6.png?v=2.2.7)
I know we have a long road ahead of us but we are making progress
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
dkodgis wrote:GreyBeard, I like how you think but it is 18 months after the first dispensary opens. Then people can grow. If I were to grow (I like the look of the plant), I would donate it to Doc, CP, and anyone else as I do not partake. Governor Cuomo has his share of difficulties as the moment. I think he might be growing some to ease his anxiety.
LOL, thanks, Damian, but it's been a quarter century or more since I did a "doobie".Don't be so sure the "Peoples Republik Of New York" will allow anybody to grow it.They want their cut of taxes,LOL.As far as Cuomo goes, I want to see him in an orange jumpsuit,LOL.
Howling winds seem to have died down on this cooler morning.Looked way ahead on NWS , and cooler temps at the end of the coming week.Last bit of snow from big pile my snowplow guy left melted away the other day.Saw a few "snirt" piles still in town yesterday morning.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
On a side note, the electric co just emailed. They said they are preparing for a major storm. Will tomorrow be that intense?
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
dkodgis wrote:On a side note, the electric co just emailed. They said they are preparing for a major storm. Will tomorrow be that intense?
Looks that way, NWS Upton discussion:
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
MONDAY...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Wind Advisory.
In addition, a line of showers and embedded thunderstorms
approaching into this evening ahead of a cold front has some
potential to produce isolated damaging wind gusts. The probability
for widespread hazardous weather that would meet NWS warning criteria
is low.
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
NW NJ aint done yet LOL!
An impactful system is expected to move through the region on
Wednesday and Thursday, with much colder and breezy conditions
expected to close the week.
Deterministic model solutions have noticeably converged
regarding the Wednesday/Thursday system evolution. However,
critical differences remain, particularly with the track of the
developing wave of low pressure along the advancing front in the
southeastern U.S. Tuesday into Wednesday morning. The 00z ECMWF
and CMC remain noticeably slower with the advancing trough and
continue to be preferred owing to the developing high-amplitude
ridging downstream. The 00z GFS has trended closer to the tracks
of the ECMWF/CMC with tonight`s output, increasing confidence
somewhat. Nevertheless, the GFS continues to be more
progressive and drier with the precipitation from the system
during this period, an important caveat to the discussion below.
As the low approaches the CWA Wednesday afternoon and evening,
considerable large-scale lift will be in place via right-
entrance region upper divergence from a favorably positioned
250-mb jet streak, strong differential cyclonic vorticity
advection downstream of the advancing, more neutrally-tilted
trough, and substantial warm/moist advection on the northern
periphery of a poleward-advancing warm sector. Models indicate
widespread precipitation developing in this regime, convectively
enhanced near the approaching front and in vicinity of the
intensifying surface low. Model soundings do indicate some
instability in the pre-frontal warm sector, especially if the
surface low tracks farther west. Have added thunder to the
forecast for much of the region Wednesday afternoon and evening.
Heavy rainfall is quite possible with this setup, especially
since upper-level flow will become oriented mostly parallel to
the approaching front (thanks in large part to the high-
amplitude ridging downstream). QPF of 1-2+ inches is depicted
with the CMC/ECMWF (50+ percent less in the GFS/ICON). Given the
potential convective enhancement of the precipitation and a
couple of antecedent soaking rain events, this seems like a
setup that favors some flooding potential. Will monitor this
closely as the event approaches.
In addition, very strong cold advection will occur on the
upstream side of the cold front, with temperatures dropping
10-20 degrees in a matter of a few hours after frontal passage.
The cold conveyor belt of the intensifying surface low, along
with favorable frontogenetical forcing/deformation, may produce
a band of precipitation on the west/northwest side of the low
that lingers for several hours. Thermal profiles would favor a
switchover to snow for the southern Poconos and far northwest
New Jersey, perhaps resulting in some accumulations Thursday
morning. (Much heavier snow may occur to our north/northwest,
notably.) Will be monitoring this potential as well in the
coming days.
An impactful system is expected to move through the region on
Wednesday and Thursday, with much colder and breezy conditions
expected to close the week.
Deterministic model solutions have noticeably converged
regarding the Wednesday/Thursday system evolution. However,
critical differences remain, particularly with the track of the
developing wave of low pressure along the advancing front in the
southeastern U.S. Tuesday into Wednesday morning. The 00z ECMWF
and CMC remain noticeably slower with the advancing trough and
continue to be preferred owing to the developing high-amplitude
ridging downstream. The 00z GFS has trended closer to the tracks
of the ECMWF/CMC with tonight`s output, increasing confidence
somewhat. Nevertheless, the GFS continues to be more
progressive and drier with the precipitation from the system
during this period, an important caveat to the discussion below.
As the low approaches the CWA Wednesday afternoon and evening,
considerable large-scale lift will be in place via right-
entrance region upper divergence from a favorably positioned
250-mb jet streak, strong differential cyclonic vorticity
advection downstream of the advancing, more neutrally-tilted
trough, and substantial warm/moist advection on the northern
periphery of a poleward-advancing warm sector. Models indicate
widespread precipitation developing in this regime, convectively
enhanced near the approaching front and in vicinity of the
intensifying surface low. Model soundings do indicate some
instability in the pre-frontal warm sector, especially if the
surface low tracks farther west. Have added thunder to the
forecast for much of the region Wednesday afternoon and evening.
Heavy rainfall is quite possible with this setup, especially
since upper-level flow will become oriented mostly parallel to
the approaching front (thanks in large part to the high-
amplitude ridging downstream). QPF of 1-2+ inches is depicted
with the CMC/ECMWF (50+ percent less in the GFS/ICON). Given the
potential convective enhancement of the precipitation and a
couple of antecedent soaking rain events, this seems like a
setup that favors some flooding potential. Will monitor this
closely as the event approaches.
In addition, very strong cold advection will occur on the
upstream side of the cold front, with temperatures dropping
10-20 degrees in a matter of a few hours after frontal passage.
The cold conveyor belt of the intensifying surface low, along
with favorable frontogenetical forcing/deformation, may produce
a band of precipitation on the west/northwest side of the low
that lingers for several hours. Thermal profiles would favor a
switchover to snow for the southern Poconos and far northwest
New Jersey, perhaps resulting in some accumulations Thursday
morning. (Much heavier snow may occur to our north/northwest,
notably.) Will be monitoring this potential as well in the
coming days.
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
Severe T’Storm Warning just issued for parts of NJ. Line of severe storms moving in now from PA.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
The remaining light is eerie. Still air. It is really dropping fast into darkness especially considering sunset is right about now. Should be a good show based on the radar.
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: March 2021 Observations and Discussions
Just had a squall line Go to room nothing crazy just heavy rain no lighting no wind thank God
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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