Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

by **amugs** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:03 pm

GEFS go a tad south by about 20 miles this run.

by **amugs** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:03 pm

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:05 pm

mako460 wrote:Soul...u just made Jman's day! LOL

He hasn't seen this yet, but when he does..... Lol

by **hyde345** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:07 pm

I'm pretty much resigned to getting nothing to very little in HV. NONE of the runs today have given me any confidence of a northward jog. The fat lady isn't singing yet in Poughkeepsie but she is clearing her throat and will be belting out some tunes if nothing has changed after 12z runs tomorrow.

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:14 pm

mako460 wrote:Soul...u just made Jman's day! LOL

Not necessarily nyc has had b warnings while I have a wsw just 5 miles north.

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:15 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
mako460 wrote:Soul...u just made Jman's day! LOL

He hasn't seen this yet, but when he does..... Lol

I'll believe it when I see it really 6pm fri wow that's late in game. Hoping it includes southern wc. Can u ask.

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:15 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
mako460 wrote:Soul...u just made Jman's day! LOL
Not necessarily nyc has had b warnings while I have a wsw just 5 miles north.

You're in the Bronx, right?

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:17 pm

I think I'm gonna take tonight off. Hopefully things remain the same for all of you flat landers (hehe) so you can walk away with a Godzilla under your belts, but I'm honestly just burned out. I might check in periodically but I won't be narrating. Enjoy and best of luck everybody!!! May the snow fall in your favor!!

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:19 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
mako460 wrote:Soul...u just made Jman's day! LOL
Not necessarily nyc has had b warnings while I have a wsw just 5 miles north.

You're in the Bronx, right?

no yonkers but I can walk to bx in 5 min. Look at my location lol

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:19 pm

rb924119 wrote:I think I'm gonna take tonight off. Hopefully things remain the same for all of you flat landers (hehe) so you can walk away with a Godzilla under your belts, but I'm honestly just burned out. I might check in periodically but I won't be narrating. Enjoy and best of luck everybody!!! May the snow fall in your favor!!

ha hunger games.

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:20 pm

But like Juno we did have blizzard warning. It's really a matter of logistics the fact I border the county. I usually have same effects as city.

by **SNOW MAN** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:20 pm

rb924119 wrote:I think I'm gonna take tonight off. Hopefully things remain the same for all of you flat landers (hehe) so you can walk away with a Godzilla under your belts, but I'm honestly just burned out. I might check in periodically but I won't be narrating. Enjoy and best of luck everybody!!! May the snow fall in your favor!!

Rb. you can go to the OTI and sulk with the rest of us snowless losers. Sad

Have a goodnight.

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:23 pm

Just watched Lee golberg on channel 7 showed their map and mentioned best chances for 12+ amounts Cnj and southwest. All of Monmouth and just about all of ocean county in 12+. Mention Jersey shore will see the brunt of the winds and tidal surge. Wowzaa

by **NjWeatherGuy** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:24 pm

Its not a great model, but it should be noted, past runs showed almost no precip north of philly, 18z NAVGEM (basically new NOGAPS)...

https://i.imgur.com/V6BHgnB.png

by **NjWeatherGuy** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:25 pm

12z

https://i.imgur.com/pj2PMAe.png

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:26 pm

rb924119 wrote:I think I'm gonna take tonight off. Hopefully things remain the same for all of you flat landers (hehe) so you can walk away with a Godzilla under your belts, but I'm honestly just burned out. I might check in periodically but I won't be narrating. Enjoy and best of luck everybody!!! May the snow fall in your favor!!

You're awesome. Thanks for allllll of your in-depth analysis the past few days!

by **Dtone** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:33 pm

To top it off DC is getting light snow now, a warm up for the main event.

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:35 pm

Watching weather underground on TWC they hard.c. in 2 ft and Cnj in 12-18

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:45 pm

Apparently the 18z NAVGEM shifted 100 miles NW..........

by **RJB8525** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:51 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Apparently the 18z NAVGEM shifted 100 miles NW..........

LOL is that even possible that much of a shift in 1 run?

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:53 pm

Patiently waiting for Frank's first call snow map

by **snow247** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:55 pm

Hearing the 18z JMA looks decent.

by Biggin23 Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:56 pm

Did anyone post the CMC? Looked pretty solid from what I can tell on mobile.

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:57 pm

Is their a chat tonight

by **frank 638** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:58 pm

1010 wins still saying foot for the city and long island 12 to 18 south and 4 to 8 in north with strong winds .i wonder when our area will see winter storm watches or blizzard watches

by **Dtone** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:58 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:Patiently waiting for Frank's first call snow map

Tough call. I dont envy it lol.

by **snow247** Wed Jan 20, 2016 6:59 pm

18z JMA

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 34 Image.gif.cbedf9f2fe1d3b73a4b2f652072ba15d

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