Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

by **dkodgis** Thu May 18, 2017 8:46 am

I can't wait for 2019 and 2020 winters which according to the analyses will be very cold and dare I hope for...snowy? In the meantime, I can't bring myself to open the pool today because although it will be a scorcher, it goes back down to 70 or so for at least the next week. There is no point. Boo! Memorial Day weekend is shot poolwise!

by **algae888** Mon May 22, 2017 4:19 am

very early enso state and composite predictions for upcoming winter from eastern mass weather. enjoy!!

Finally, the latest monthly guidance was released yesterday, and has really converged on the idea of a weak el nino event for winter 2018, while reintroducing the notion of a warm ENSO neutral season and making a stronger ENSO event seem unlikely:
Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 39 MAY%2B2018%2BENSO

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 39 MAY%2B2018%2BENSO

(Courtesy IRI)
As we have demonstrated, guidance can be quite capricious and there is ample time and opportunity for change, but we here at Eastern Mass Weather asserted out case for a weak el nino to manifest for winter 2018. We will explore the potential winter 2018 implications for Eastern Mass, as well as the rest of the east coast in later installments of this blog pending future guidance. However here is a bit of a composite to whet you appetites:
https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ehfJUTXmlh4/WR9jrfpe3HI/AAAAAAAACYQ/u2AnLme9q-kOmPUK9R5M6TzwRpbX-MZCwCLcB/s640/D-M%2BWeak%2BNino%2BComp..png
Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 39 D-M%2BWeak%2BNino%2BComp.

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 39 D-M%2BWeak%2BNino%2BComp.

by **amugs** Mon May 22, 2017 8:20 am

^^^^^^^^^^^^
Razz

by **Frank_Wx** Mon May 22, 2017 9:55 am

by **sroc4** Wed May 24, 2017 9:03 am

Happy Birthday Frank!

by **Frank_Wx** Wed May 24, 2017 7:01 pm

Thank you sir

by **rb924119** Wed May 24, 2017 8:06 pm

HAPPY BIRTHDAY, OH FEARLESS LEADER!!! I hope you are enjoying yourself, buddy!!

by **dkodgis** Thu May 25, 2017 12:45 pm

Don Francesco, happy birthday.

And to banter a bit, I can't open the pool until next week based on forecast of high 60's up here and rain.

Sigh.

by **docstox12** Thu May 25, 2017 1:28 pm

If this cool, rainy, cloudy weather does not end soon, it's going to be a lousy season for tomatoes.Need hot and dry weather soon to get these plants going.

by **GreyBeard** Thu May 25, 2017 10:42 pm

Belated birthday greetings Frank. At least all the rain is good for the lawn. It's growing like crazy and is nice and green.

by **dkodgis** Mon May 29, 2017 8:01 am

I think it has to warm up a bit by June 21 but will it be cooler than usual?

Thanks to the weather, the grass is good, the electric bill is good, but the pool is still closed. Anyone who has one...no one is going in it.

by **amugs** Mon May 29, 2017 9:30 pm

Latest Nino readings - 1.2 falling like a rock and 3.4 steadily rising to weak Nino status. Modoki set up here - time will tell
Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 39 DBCXWdSUMAImoZW

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 39 DBCXWdSUMAImoZW

by **frank 638** Mon May 29, 2017 9:48 pm

Amugs is this good news for us snow lovers for a weak el Niño

by **amugs** Tue May 30, 2017 10:10 am

frank 638 wrote:Amugs is this good news for us snow lovers for a weak el Niño

Yes it would be if it holds/ comes to fruition

by EnyapWeather Tue May 30, 2017 11:44 am

Is there anybody that is willing to post a hurricane outlook for this hurricane season? I am really excited this year for the hurricanes. Laughing

by **nutleyblizzard** Tue May 30, 2017 1:09 pm

EnyapWeather wrote:Is there anybody that is willing to post a hurricane outlook for this hurricane season? I am really excited this year for the hurricanes.

You should be excited. With all the troughs we've been having and expected to continue, it certainly gives the opportunity for east coast landfalls.

by **amugs** Tue May 30, 2017 1:16 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:
EnyapWeather wrote:Is there anybody that is willing to post a hurricane outlook for this hurricane season? I am really excited this year for the hurricanes.
You should be excited. With all the troughs we've been having and expected to continue, it certainly gives the opportunity for east coast landfalls.

And the fact we have a very weak albeit Nino state with 1.2 in the tank now there is relatively low to no wind shear which should allow these beasts to form and hold as well as an MDR region that is warm - a good breeding ground for h'canes to form.

Now Enyap finish your CAD 1 Final Exam drawings before I ban you from posting Laughing

!!

by EnyapWeather Tue May 30, 2017 2:09 pm

amugs wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:
EnyapWeather wrote:Is there anybody that is willing to post a hurricane outlook for this hurricane season? I am really excited this year for the hurricanes.
You should be excited. With all the troughs we've been having and expected to continue, it certainly gives the opportunity for east coast landfalls.

And the fact we have a very weak albeit Nino state with 1.2 in the tank now there is relatively low to no wind shear which should allow these beasts to form and hold as well as an MDR region that is warm - a good breeding ground for h'canes to form.

Now Enyap finish your CAD 1 Final Exam drawings before I ban you from posting !!

Hey now, I posted that during period 7. I guess I just have more interest in hurricanes:lol: Laughing

.

by **amugs** Tue May 30, 2017 5:24 pm

Enyap, okay I will let this slide.
You asked for a Hcane and look at what is in the Gulf next week.or end of this week. Shocked

by **jmanley32** Tue May 30, 2017 5:38 pm

thats not on the operational so thats interesring. from what i hear somewhat above average season but with increased threat to carolinas gom and new england no particular order. its interesting that it seems tropucal systems are becoming nore if a concern up here than they used to. most never really thought about it when i was grow up thpugh i did see a few gloria bob floyd irene sandy to those that i remember. what cincerns me is that the li express was a cat 3. will that happen again in our lifetime? it woyld be terrible but the tracking man no one would sleep at all.

by **amugs** Tue May 30, 2017 5:38 pm

From Dr. Maue

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 39 Img_2050

by **jmanley32** Tue May 30, 2017 5:41 pm

amugs wrote:From Dr. Maue

might be a rare june gom system. on that trajectory could eventually pose a threat down the road to ec after crossing over from gom if that were to happen. this year certainly has not been to nice ok keeping dry warm weekends.

by **amugs** Thu Jun 01, 2017 3:00 pm

From Ed Vallee on twitter

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 39 DBQXpQHWsAAuH0d

by **amugs** Mon Jun 05, 2017 9:17 pm

This is a LOOONNNGGG WAYS OUT BUT Sniffing out Modoki Nino here

Jamstec and CFSV2 , they like u follow me

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 39 IMG_20170605_202558.jpg.7354bcbc9e4827e0c6eff325715cf901

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 39 IMG_20170605_202558.jpg.7354bcbc9e4827e0c6eff325715cf901

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 39 IMG_20170605_202602.jpg.582e06a054224d0066c3a6989138468a

by **dkodgis** Tue Jun 06, 2017 4:46 pm

I believe there is one landscaper in the membership. What does he think of this?

jhttp://abcnews.go.com/Lifestyle/gripping-photo-shows-man-mowing-lawn-tornado-funnel/story?id=47838907

by **nutleyblizzard** Wed Jun 14, 2017 1:28 pm

Wow this board is dead! Only 168 days till meteorological winter. I have a newly installed above ground pool in my backyard... hoping for some consistent hot weather to settle in so me and the wife can some good use of it. Way too soon to make a guess on how winter 2017/18 will unfold. If I had to make a guess I would say neutral enso. Until then, everybody enjoy the summer and be safe!

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Jun 19, 2017 8:25 am

Washington D.C. was a blast. Amazing how much history stares you in the face every corner you take. SOOO much walking my legs feel like spaghetti. WWII Memorial, Holocaust Museum and Lincoln Memorial...my favorite places. Georgetown was nice too.

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