Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:09 pm

144 is 894 omg...

by **mikeypizano** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:12 pm

150 is 886!

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:12 pm

the bahamas have 2-3 days of a cat 5 wth!! down to 886mb!

by Guest Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:15 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
sabamfa wrote:I'm not near the coast. I'm worried about the winds after Sandy. We had tree after tree after tree come down in my neighborhood, including one next to my house that also pulled down all the wires and a telephone pole with sparks flying everywhere. Cop that responded later responded to a house a half mile away and a tree fell on his car. I'm pretty traumatized by winds at this point. :/

During Sandy a tornado spun up and went right down my block. Trees and utility poles snapped in half. Had no power for 13 days. Lost 2 trees and my fence. Basement flooded. Trust me I've been there. I think you can look up the tornado still on the internet. It was cool
Dang syo i always wanted see a tornado, i dunno bout that close though u were lucky.

Juan. Tornado was at 2:38 am. All I remember was a lot of blue colored lightning and snapping trees. Never actually "saw" it but the NWS sent people in many days later who surveyed the damage.

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:16 pm

Gracias lol, not spanish but ok lol

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:21 pm

Is it just me or is it moving a bit NE now at 180?

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:24 pm

Further east by alot at 192.
Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 17 Gfs_ms22

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:27 pm

NC landfall further north, here we go, now people go say its trending north, looks like its still go curve west and spare us.

by **hyde345** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:40 pm

It really is hard to believe that this could be 880mb or so before landfall. That would be incredibly destructive.

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:42 pm

Does the sudden curve to the west have alot of merit? or does it still have chance of coming all way up, i see the HP over top thats whats block it correct? That feature wasnt there before.

by **Dunnzoo** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:49 pm

It is also slower...

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:50 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:It is also slower...

Your not kidding now its still 10 days away. IF the model is correct that is which so far we have seen as Frank said lost.

by Disneyprincess1592 Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:53 pm

I'm still really confused I know it's still far out but is Florida out of the clear or is it moving west to hit the coast of FL?

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:56 pm

Disneyprincess1592 wrote:I'm still really confused I know it's still far out but is Florida out of the clear or is it moving west to hit the coast of FL?

FL nor anyone one EC is in cleanr, FL is so close to a landfall but it turns north just in time but gives eastern side some effects, beaches would be trashed though just by the sheer power.

by Guest Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:57 pm

That block is still keeping it fairly south.Only time will tell if it stays like that though.

by **hyde345** Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:59 pm

Florida is not in the clear yet. It's still early and there is no consensus as to if or where Irma will make US landfall.

by Disneyprincess1592 Sun Sep 03, 2017 7:11 pm

Thanks everyone Smile

I'm in central Florida so I'm thinking the most is gonna be some wind and rain but I'm hoping it takes that North track

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 03, 2017 7:21 pm

HH found 960mb, 7mb deeper than the 5pm advisory. I am assuming the 11pm will include their data.

by **sroc4** Sun Sep 03, 2017 7:24 pm

Fla to OTS past Cape Cod is still in play. Recon data plus energy in PAC coming over land in better sampled areas are still need for models to digest. Tuesday the earliest maybe Wednesday before we can really narrow things down. The spread in the euro ensembles Frank posted above says it all.

by EnyapWeather Sun Sep 03, 2017 7:37 pm

So up here in NNJ, we are still in the picture?

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 03, 2017 7:38 pm

NHC did a 8pm update, the windfield cone now includes tip of FL and all bahamas. The northern leeward islands have a hurricane watch.

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 03, 2017 7:39 pm

EnyapWeather wrote:So up here in NNJ, we are still in the picture?

Sroc just said FL to east of cape cod, so that would be entire eastern seaboard. Yes NJ included.

by **SoulSingMG** Sun Sep 03, 2017 8:09 pm

GFS has us officially out of the woods after having us in the bullseye yesterday am? Wonder if it windshield-wiper's back.

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 03, 2017 8:13 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:GFS has us officially out of the woods after having us in the bullseye yesterday am? Wonder if it windshield-wiper's back.

I am almost counting on it cuz thats what the models do, and it still has time to go back south again after that. LOL

by **SoulSingMG** Sun Sep 03, 2017 8:17 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:GFS has us officially out of the woods after having us in the bullseye yesterday am? Wonder if it windshield-wiper's back.
I am almost counting on it cuz thats what the models do, and it still has time to go back south again after that. LOL

Us WX folks are tortured souls. (Get it? SOULS?) Laughing

by **Math23x7** Sun Sep 03, 2017 8:57 pm

Dave Tolleris (DT) thinks that once Irma ends it's current southwest movement and begins to go northwest in a couple of days, the models will correct themselves and shift Irma's track east and out to sea.

by **amugs** Sun Sep 03, 2017 9:01 pm

Math23x7 wrote:Dave Tolleris (DT) thinks that once Irma ends it's current southwest movement and begins to go northwest in a couple of days, the models will correct themselves and shift Irma's track east and out to sea.

He hugs the Euro and EPS. Explain what mechanism is going to kick her through the Block setting up?

Meantime
Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 17 DI1yNI3WAAAHj3r

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 17 DI1yNI3WAAAHj3r

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