February 1st-2nd Godzilla, Part III: 1st Call Snow Map

21.5/14. Great overrunning surface.

TheAresian wrote:Am I reading the 500mb anomaly map right when I think I see the closed low a bit NE of where it was last run?

Yes. More consolidated too.

rb924119 wrote:Uh oh. NAM is about do a NAM thing. 12 hours into the run, already noticeable changes versus 06z.

It better not do TOO much its NAM thing because its the last run I was waiting on before posting my Final call snow map. lol

Less confluence. Higher heights. I like this. Big run incoming me thinks.

RB. Bernie Rayno convinced it rains in NYC. Thoughts ?

New H5 circulation should pop over Philly or just north of there in their frame or two. Let’s see.

oh. those 500 mb heights did jump a bit. lol.

dsix85 wrote:RB. Bernie Rayno convinced it rains in NYC. Thoughts ?

Agree, but that is admittedly because I’m biased toward my original thoughts right now, at this moment lol so take that as you will lmao

And look at that 850 line circling SNJ from the west and east waiting to pounce. lol

GreyBeard wrote:What's the ETA on this thing? Radar looks like it is ready to hit south jersey already.

Time frame for south Jersey is as early as 1pm start, but the good stuff won't start until around 3pm. (Ocean county).

He 24.....woah.

12z NAM at 7pm today. Looks like this storm will start earlier than I thought, and the current observations suggest that too.

One thing is for sure, the NAM is all in on the slop fest, rain, sleet, snow south of I-195.

My goodness. Wayyyyyyyyy more curvature out front. This is gonna be high and tight folks.

10am tomorrow...

Frank_Wx wrote:10am tomorrow...

Yes. NAM starting to come in line with other guidance. More consolidate storm and better CCB.

12z NAM already has 10-12 inches on the ground by 1pm tomorrow across NYC Metro

larryrock72 wrote:

GreyBeard wrote:What's the ETA on this thing? Radar looks like it is ready to hit south jersey already.

Time frame for south Jersey is as  early as 1pm start, but the good stuff won't start until around 3pm. (Ocean county).

All things considered, a 1-8 pm storm with a large thump from 3 pm on, can make for a salvageable event. But only, "all things considered" lol.

Trip update: ALL INDOOR POOLS IN NJ HOTELS ARE CLOSED. Major trip inhibitor, as per General Mommy anyways.

We might be making lemonade down here rather than seeking snowier skies, not sure yet though.

blizzard conditions for NE NJ, NYC, LI on NAM

morning everybody hempstead weather guy is here and ready.....lets go

That NAM is a thing of beauty right now for me in Kings Park.

well rb the H5 is actually popping just west of Philly.

If you’re north of I-78 here, it’s been nice knowing ya. See you in Spring for the thaw lol

This might be the greatest NAM run I’ve ever seen

heehaw453 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:10am tomorrow...

Yes.  NAM starting to come in line with other guidance.  More consolidate storm and better CCB.

Those dark CCB lines are right over CNJ.

While I'm still cheering for you guys, I'd be less than honest if I said I wasn't also getting a little envious.

Frank_Wx wrote:This might be the greatest NAM run I’ve ever seen

looks like it, 2 ft incoming i think for many.