Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

by **aiannone** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:39 pm

I’m ready. Set up is up and running

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by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:39 pm

The "main" event transpires when we see the current 500mb, 700mb, & 850mb troughs, shift towards the Atlantic (off Delmarva), tilt, and "close-off", as it captures the surface cyclone. THAT, is when things get serious, and dynamics really show off (not *all* will be winners) pic.twitter.com/4lkaHTZ4QX
— A ☈ mando ϟalvadore (@KaptMands) January 31, 2021

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:39 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Anyone live under the small blue dot?

actually its a green dot frank 24-36. at first i saw it blue but i zoomed in and its green.

by AMD95 Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:40 pm

I live a little SE of that green dot in North Rockland. Great job by all on this board. I really enjoy reading all your posts.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:43 pm

aiannone wrote:I’m ready. Set up is up and running

What radar is that? You hiding it from us??

by **1190ftalt** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:43 pm

Reporting from Stillwater NJ at 1190 feet altitude. Been snowing for 1 hour and a half, coming down fine and steady, had 1/2 inch of frozen snow before it started so 1 inch and a half has fell of new snow, salt trucks came in Twice, 17 degrees and NO wind which I think means it has not officially started. Pretty sure when the wind picks up our eyes are going to be more wide open!
Good Luck !

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by **heehaw453** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:46 pm

Real battle of the air masses at the 850's. Lot's of cold air funneling down. That is key.

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by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:47 pm

@1190ftalt thank you checking in!! Great pics

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:48 pm

Already a 25 dbz band stationed across CNJ working its way north

by **rb924119** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:50 pm

Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( white flag

At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:51 pm

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:51 pm

I just measured we are at 2.25 inches. Current 26*

by **heehaw453** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:52 pm

20.8/19 moderate to heavy snow. About 3.5" otg.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:52 pm

rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol

Wow

dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12

by **billg315** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:53 pm

The front-end thump from this storm is, at least on radar and what I can eyeball at my location, much more impressive than I expected. I'm always skeptical of the over-running. Word of caution to those observing, it is not unheard of for a brief lull to occur as the transfer to the coastal takes place, so don't panic if that happens at some point overnight.

by **rb924119** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:53 pm

Nice map, too, Frank!!! Just catching up now. I can’t wait to see how it works out and dissect the results on.......WEDNESDAY!!! Hahaha

by **heehaw453** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:53 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol

Wow

dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12

The mid-levels seem plenty cold to support snow now. I'm shocked you'd be raining.

by **aiannone** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:55 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
aiannone wrote:I’m ready. Set up is up and running

What radar is that? You hiding it from us??

I may or may not have GR2Analyist Wink

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:55 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Already a 25 dbz band stationed across CNJ working its way north

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 655840837_RAD_KDIX_NCR_ANI(10).gif.f0e734a269612d2256e8281494cecf6c

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:56 pm

by **rb924119** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:56 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol

Wow

dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12

Yeah. But an east wind off a warm ocean does magical things lol

by **heehaw453** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:56 pm

billg315 wrote:The front-end thump from this storm is, at least on radar and what I can eyeball at my location, much more impressive than I expected. I'm always skeptical of the over-running. Word of caution to those observing, it is not unheard of for a brief lull to occur as the transfer to the coastal takes place, so don't panic if that happens at some point overnight.

I think for the most part mid-levels should stay cold enough until the coastal takes over for all snow from CNJ on north, but cannot rule out some sleet below I78 in NJ.

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:56 pm

I am not concerned about a lull as theres nothing coming down yet....but I will trust you Frank that this isn't bad as you posted earlier. Though bands are coming through so I dunno where the snow is.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:57 pm

Not that it matter at this point but the 18z EURO just printed out even higher snow amounts than 12z

by **rb924119** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:57 pm

heehaw453 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol

Wow

dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12

The mid-levels seem plenty cold to support snow now. I'm shocked you'd be raining.

Low-level warmth. Strong onshore fetch off a warm ocean doesn’t take long.

by **billg315** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:58 pm

rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol

Just brutal. I feel for you. As much as I love it down there even when I’m there in the winter the NJ barrier islands are no place for a snow lover, that’s for sure. lol.

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by **heehaw453** Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:59 pm

rb924119 wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol

Wow

dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12

The mid-levels seem plenty cold to support snow now. I'm shocked you'd be raining.

Low-level warmth. Strong onshore fetch off a warm ocean doesn’t take long.

What's your surface temp?

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