February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Frank_Wx likes this post
Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
The "main" event transpires when we see the current 500mb, 700mb, & 850mb troughs, shift towards the Atlantic (off Delmarva), tilt, and "close-off", as it captures the surface cyclone. THAT, is when things get serious, and dynamics really show off (not *all* will be winners)
— A ☈ mando ϟalvadore (@KaptMands) January 31, 2021pic.twitter.com/4lkaHTZ4QX
Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
actually its a green dot frank 24-36. at first i saw it blue but i zoomed in and its green.Frank_Wx wrote:Anyone live under the small blue dot?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
I live a little SE of that green dot in North Rockland. Great job by all on this board. I really enjoy reading all your posts.
AMD95- Posts : 10
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
_________________
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oldtimer likes this post
Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
Reporting from Stillwater NJ at 1190 feet altitude. Been snowing for 1 hour and a half, coming down fine and steady, had 1/2 inch of frozen snow before it started so 1 inch and a half has fell of new snow, salt trucks came in Twice, 17 degrees and NO wind which I think means it has not officially started. Pretty sure when the wind picks up our eyes are going to be more wide open!
Good Luck !![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 Cda47910](https://i.servimg.com/u/f68/18/88/63/92/cda47910.jpg)
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 62577a10](https://i.servimg.com/u/f68/18/88/63/92/62577a10.jpg)
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 C5b20310](https://i.servimg.com/u/f68/18/88/63/92/c5b20310.jpg)
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 Cda47910](https://i.servimg.com/u/f68/18/88/63/92/cda47910.jpg)
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 62577a10](https://i.servimg.com/u/f68/18/88/63/92/62577a10.jpg)
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 C5b20310](https://i.servimg.com/u/f68/18/88/63/92/c5b20310.jpg)
Good Luck !
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 Cda47910](https://i.servimg.com/u/f68/18/88/63/92/cda47910.jpg)
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 62577a10](https://i.servimg.com/u/f68/18/88/63/92/62577a10.jpg)
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 C5b20310](https://i.servimg.com/u/f68/18/88/63/92/c5b20310.jpg)
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 Cda47910](https://i.servimg.com/u/f68/18/88/63/92/cda47910.jpg)
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 62577a10](https://i.servimg.com/u/f68/18/88/63/92/62577a10.jpg)
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 C5b20310](https://i.servimg.com/u/f68/18/88/63/92/c5b20310.jpg)
1190ftalt- Pro Enthusiast
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Frank_Wx, kalleg, essexcountypete and weatherwatchermom like this post
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
@1190ftalt thank you checking in!! Great pics
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
Already a 25 dbz band stationed across CNJ working its way north
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map](http://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map.y=240¢erx=400¢ery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&smooth=0)
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:(
At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
![white flag](/users/3017/35/58/46/smiles/4157233456.gif)
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 6](https://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv/6.jpg)
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
I just measured we are at 2.25 inches. Current 26*
Last edited by weatherwatchermom on Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:57 pm; edited 1 time in total
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
20.8/19 moderate to heavy snow. About 3.5" otg.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:(At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Wow
dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
The front-end thump from this storm is, at least on radar and what I can eyeball at my location, much more impressive than I expected. I'm always skeptical of the over-running. Word of caution to those observing, it is not unheard of for a brief lull to occur as the transfer to the coastal takes place, so don't panic if that happens at some point overnight.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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weatherwatchermom likes this post
Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
Nice map, too, Frank!!! Just catching up now. I can’t wait to see how it works out and dissect the results on.......WEDNESDAY!!! Hahaha
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
Frank_Wx wrote:rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:(At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Wow
dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12
The mid-levels seem plenty cold to support snow now. I'm shocked you'd be raining.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Frank_Wx and Joe Snow like this post
Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
Frank_Wx wrote:Already a 25 dbz band stationed across CNJ working its way north
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 655840837_RAD_KDIX_NCR_ANI(10).gif.f0e734a269612d2256e8281494cecf6c](https://33andrain.s3.amazonaws.com/monthly_2021_01/655840837_RAD_KDIX_NCR_ANI(10).gif.f0e734a269612d2256e8281494cecf6c.gif)
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 Image-thumb-gif-c0e332015f0cf40ff030573832b72733](https://i.postimg.cc/ydbvDTwm/image-thumb-gif-c0e332015f0cf40ff030573832b72733.gif)
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
Frank_Wx wrote:rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:(At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Wow
dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12
Yeah. But an east wind off a warm ocean does magical things lol
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
billg315 wrote:The front-end thump from this storm is, at least on radar and what I can eyeball at my location, much more impressive than I expected. I'm always skeptical of the over-running. Word of caution to those observing, it is not unheard of for a brief lull to occur as the transfer to the coastal takes place, so don't panic if that happens at some point overnight.
I think for the most part mid-levels should stay cold enough until the coastal takes over for all snow from CNJ on north, but cannot rule out some sleet below I78 in NJ.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
I am not concerned about a lull as theres nothing coming down yet....but I will trust you Frank that this isn't bad as you posted earlier. Though bands are coming through so I dunno where the snow is.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
Not that it matter at this point but the 18z EURO just printed out even higher snow amounts than 12z
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
heehaw453 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:(At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Wow
dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12
The mid-levels seem plenty cold to support snow now. I'm shocked you'd be raining.
Low-level warmth. Strong onshore fetch off a warm ocean doesn’t take long.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:(At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Just brutal. I feel for you. As much as I love it down there even when I’m there in the winter the NJ barrier islands are no place for a snow lover, that’s for sure. lol.
![February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 7 B6b53810](https://i.servimg.com/u/f89/19/39/03/31/b6b53810.jpg)
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
rb924119 wrote:heehaw453 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:(At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Wow
dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12
The mid-levels seem plenty cold to support snow now. I'm shocked you'd be raining.
Low-level warmth. Strong onshore fetch off a warm ocean doesn’t take long.
What's your surface temp?
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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