February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Just brutal. I feel for you. As much as I love it down there even when I’m there in the winter the NJ barrier islands are no place for a snow lover, that’s for sure. lol.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
rb924119 wrote:heehaw453 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Wow
dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12
The mid-levels seem plenty cold to support snow now. I'm shocked you'd be raining.
Low-level warmth. Strong onshore fetch off a warm ocean doesn’t take long.
What's your surface temp?
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
rb924119 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Wow
dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12
Yeah. But an east wind off a warm ocean does magical things lol
Yup...
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
it finally started by me light snow now in throggs neckjmanley32 wrote:I am not concerned about a lull as theres nothing coming down yet....but I will trust you Frank that this isn't bad as you posted earlier. Though bands are coming through so I dunno where the snow is.
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
It kinda matters as we are still 12-24 hrs to the middle of this storm and 24+ hrs to the end. crazy to realize that. Maps?Frank_Wx wrote:Not that it matter at this point but the 18z EURO just printed out even higher snow amounts than 12z
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
wow 50-75 mm, that translates to a high point of almost 30 inches!!Frank_Wx wrote:
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
That means I don't have too much longer till a changeover. Across the bay from you. Still snow at about 7:05pm.rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
billg315 wrote:rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Just brutal. I feel for you. As much as I love it down there even when I’m there in the winter the NJ barrier islands are no place for a CURSED snow lover, that’s for sure. lol.
There, I fixed it for you hahaha it’s all good. There’s nothing I can do about it, and it’s been a hell of a fun track to be a part of. If I have to sacrifice so the 95% of you guys can have fun, then that’s a trade I can live with. Living in NEPA has given me several events that you guys never had, so what’s fair is fair haha however, my disappointment would be fixed if I could manage to trade the snow for a verified forecast no snow + a verified forecast = a busted forecasted forecast + snow, BUT IS OBVIOUSLY < a verified forecast + snow lmfaoooo
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Frank_Wx and billg315 like this post
Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
heehaw453 wrote:rb924119 wrote:heehaw453 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Wow
dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12
The mid-levels seem plenty cold to support snow now. I'm shocked you'd be raining.
Low-level warmth. Strong onshore fetch off a warm ocean doesn’t take long.
What's your surface temp?
By feel, I’d say probably up to 35-37° after the change, but I’ll confirm momentarily.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
rb924119 wrote:heehaw453 wrote:rb924119 wrote:heehaw453 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Wow
dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12
The mid-levels seem plenty cold to support snow now. I'm shocked you'd be raining.
Low-level warmth. Strong onshore fetch off a warm ocean doesn’t take long.
What's your surface temp?
By feel, I’d say probably up to 35-37° after the change, but I’ll confirm momentarily.
Temp on the barrier islands in Cape May County, probably similar to LBI is currently 35* with rain.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
rb924119 wrote:heehaw453 wrote:rb924119 wrote:heehaw453 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Wow
dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12
The mid-levels seem plenty cold to support snow now. I'm shocked you'd be raining.
Low-level warmth. Strong onshore fetch off a warm ocean doesn’t take long.
What's your surface temp?
By feel, I’d say probably up to 35-37° after the change, but I’ll confirm momentarily.
Looks my temperature taking skills are on par hahaha
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
The snow has commenced.
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
wow can we see a snow map just for s & g, i do not have access to the off runs of Euro. Pivotol wx doesnt have them, stingy site.Frank_Wx wrote:
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
Look across PA / NJ and that tight gradient between the dry punch and moisture. That will be the dividing line overnight tonight for good snow making vs. not. Keep an eye on this if you live N/W of PHL. pic.twitter.com/C5I0IBtsHW
— Anthony Masiello (@antmasiello) February 1, 2021
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
Current rain snow line almost up to Atlantic City now. pic.twitter.com/iMydIUzSV8
— Climate and weather guy (@NJSnowPatriot) February 1, 2021
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
18z euro snow map
Remember that this does not include what's already fallen, and honestly, the euro is underdone for some places across NNJ because it's not matching to the current radar very well
Remember that this does not include what's already fallen, and honestly, the euro is underdone for some places across NNJ because it's not matching to the current radar very well
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
Frank_Wx wrote:
The storm seems to get better organized and stronger with each run. Not surprised because the ULL looks pretty healthy to me. The banding could be really a sight to behold tomorrow.
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
first flakes falling in Western Suffolk county Long Island
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
18z GFS
GFS through 60 hours leaves nothing to the imagination. Blockbuster event. pic.twitter.com/XCVOtaZh62
— John Kassell (@wxkassell) February 1, 2021
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
rb924119 wrote:rb924119 wrote:heehaw453 wrote:rb924119 wrote:heehaw453 wrote:Frank_Wx wrote:rb924119 wrote:Well that was fun. Storm total of less than a half inch, now raining:( At least I’ll be able to get to sleep early tonight tonight so I can hit the weights early tomorrow morning before work lol
Wow
dual pol shows the r/s line is north of cape may
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12
The mid-levels seem plenty cold to support snow now. I'm shocked you'd be raining.
Low-level warmth. Strong onshore fetch off a warm ocean doesn’t take long.
What's your surface temp?
By feel, I’d say probably up to 35-37° after the change, but I’ll confirm momentarily.
Looks my temperature taking skills are on par hahaha
I remember people on the South Shore of LI telling me if the winds are from the aren't from the northeast during a storm, then they rain regardless of the antecedent air mass. always thought that was crazy, but probably true.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
First flakes in New rochelle
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Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast
Frank_Wx wrote:18z GFSGFS through 60 hours leaves nothing to the imagination. Blockbuster event. pic.twitter.com/XCVOtaZh62
— John Kassell (@wxkassell) February 1, 2021
I like that 24.6!
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