Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

by **amugs** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:37 pm

And we have coastal flooding to boot amazing storm all around

Two feet of coastal flooding in Queens, NY pic.twitter.com/QSEXaUk2zF
— Nicholas Isabella (@NycStormChaser) February 1, 2021

by **dsix85** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:38 pm

aiannone wrote:
dsix85 wrote:
aiannone wrote:From Islandwide weather:
Looking at the radar... at this point as of 11:20 am, take whatever you have outside and add about 2-5” of snow in the next few hours. A dry slot looks to be approaching from the south. At that point, what happens next? Probably some sleet starts to mix in and possibly change to some showers especially east end and south shore Suffolk. IF the storm doesn’t push any further north, then the snow will continue all through the afternoon and night (but not many models are showing that). I would say get out there and do some shoveling after lunch before we possibly get into some mixing. Then we will keep an eye on the back end of the storm as the winds change direction and bring us some more snow at the end of the storm heading into tomorrow. -Glen

Alex- You buying that push of warmer air?

East of the william floyd, might have an issue with the coastal front. West of there, there could be drizzle when the dry slot comes through, but damage done already

Ha, I'm right off exit 70 on the expressway, battleground.

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:38 pm

Near blizzard conditions right now, first pass from city plow just came by.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 24 P1220410

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 24 P1220411

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 24 P1220412

by **amugs** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:39 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
dsix85 wrote:
aiannone wrote:From Islandwide weather:
Looking at the radar... at this point as of 11:20 am, take whatever you have outside and add about 2-5” of snow in the next few hours. A dry slot looks to be approaching from the south. At that point, what happens next? Probably some sleet starts to mix in and possibly change to some showers especially east end and south shore Suffolk. IF the storm doesn’t push any further north, then the snow will continue all through the afternoon and night (but not many models are showing that). I would say get out there and do some shoveling after lunch before we possibly get into some mixing. Then we will keep an eye on the back end of the storm as the winds change direction and bring us some more snow at the end of the storm heading into tomorrow. -Glen

Alex- You buying that push of warmer air?
only add another 2-5 before a changeover and then maybe some back end? that would be a big bust if it happened or are they only taking LI? If not thats only like 12 inches here, NAM RGEM & others show at least another 12-15 at least.

Yes JMAN its from Island Weather - read it talks about Suffolk and east my man. Click bait

by **Artechmetals** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:40 pm

Don’t know if my post posted , Frank when do you think the heavy winds will pick up also is this still going strong tomorrow at 5 am ?

by **heehaw453** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:41 pm

Unbelievable whiteout. Rivals Boxing Day blizzard right now (I was in the NYC area for that one). Never thought I'd say that.

by **weatherwatchermom** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:42 pm

amugs wrote:And we have coastal flooding to boot amazing storm all around

Two feet of coastal flooding in Queens, NY pic.twitter.com/QSEXaUk2zF
— Nicholas Isabella (@NycStormChaser) February 1, 2021

yes was worried for down here as well...our floodgate is closed and creek froze up over night.. but it's concerning for surrounding towns..

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:44 pm

amugs wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
dsix85 wrote:
aiannone wrote:From Islandwide weather:
Looking at the radar... at this point as of 11:20 am, take whatever you have outside and add about 2-5” of snow in the next few hours. A dry slot looks to be approaching from the south. At that point, what happens next? Probably some sleet starts to mix in and possibly change to some showers especially east end and south shore Suffolk. IF the storm doesn’t push any further north, then the snow will continue all through the afternoon and night (but not many models are showing that). I would say get out there and do some shoveling after lunch before we possibly get into some mixing. Then we will keep an eye on the back end of the storm as the winds change direction and bring us some more snow at the end of the storm heading into tomorrow. -Glen

Alex- You buying that push of warmer air?
only add another 2-5 before a changeover and then maybe some back end? that would be a big bust if it happened or are they only taking LI? If not thats only like 12 inches here, NAM RGEM & others show at least another 12-15 at least.

Yes JMAN its from Island Weather - read it talks about Suffolk and east my man. Click bait

Click bait lol, i dont think thats even right for LI, I think they see way more by looks radar. Don't even know who those guys are.

by **amugs** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:45 pm

That boat would come in handy right about now. Moderate back bay flooding happening now in #StoneHarborNJ #Noreaster2021 pic.twitter.com/1355J1dXSs
— Zeke Orzech (@Zeke_O) February 1, 2021

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:46 pm

heehaw453 wrote:Unbelievable whiteout. Rivals Boxing Day blizzard right now (I was in the NYC area for that one). Never thought I'd say that.

yup, i remember we were driving home from VT, i remember day b4 no one knew it was go be a big storm, came outta nowhere (well not out of nowhere but it was not expected). I agree whoever said this isnt blizzard criteria, I think they should have issued blizzard warnings. A lot of people are still on the roads.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:46 pm

by **amugs** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:47 pm

Wow really cranking here now!!
Heavy wind blown snow

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:48 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:

Frank getting pummeled by the eastern end of that band, nice placement of things on ur ideas, you were spot on and in general I think your snow map verifies for all low end of ur scale or high it still verifies then.

by kalleg Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:49 pm

New Hope update: 10 miles SE of Heehaw, here the sleet is still coming down no snow, 29*
Would be much happier to be seeing 3"/hour snow that's falling in Bedminster...

by kcarnegie275 Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:50 pm

Hi folks. Long time lurker. Love this site. Always come here when I want to know what's what. Been sleeting here in Staten Island for a while now --- boooo.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:52 pm

Wow check out this awesome new feature from the NWS. Localized and real-time snow reports from trained spotters.

ALREADY 16 INCHES IN LONG HILL, NJ

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 24 Capture

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 24 Capture

https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html?zoom=7&lat=34.21&lon=-95.69&hr=48

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:55 pm

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:56 pm

I think we know who might jackpot...

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 24 CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-DIX-N0Q-20210201-1644-12-100.gif.1fe6227f7a7189661b09f58a771867ab

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 24 CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-DIX-N0Q-20210201-1644-12-100.gif.1fe6227f7a7189661b09f58a771867ab

The RGEM's idea of 30-40 inches may not be far off

by **amugs** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:57 pm

Absolutely ripping snow all our blizzard here now.

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:57 pm

Its snowing horizontally continuously, totally crazy right now.

by **heehaw453** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:57 pm

A chicken coop crusher.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 24 Snowas10

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:58 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Wow check out this awesome new feature from the NWS. Localized and real-time snow reports from trained spotters.

ALREADY 16 INCHES IN LONG HILL, NJ

https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html?zoom=7&lat=34.21&lon=-95.69&hr=48

Great site Frank, good find.

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:00 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Wow check out this awesome new feature from the NWS. Localized and real-time snow reports from trained spotters.

ALREADY 16 INCHES IN LONG HILL, NJ

https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html?zoom=7&lat=34.21&lon=-95.69&hr=48

Great site Frank, good find.

whats the link to this? Cuz that marker for yonkers is dead wrong and i gotta find out who that is we do not have 4 inches unless that was measured at like 7am.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:00 pm

Newly formed mega band moving in WLI, NYC, ENJ

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:02 pm

NVM found it. cool site!! And yeah that data was from 10am which stil lwas low.,

by **jmanley32** Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:03 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Newly formed mega band moving in WLI, NYC, ENJ

hoping that extends west and can rotate in here but ya looks like ur main blob of your snowmap may well be the jackpot and down in the dark yellow and red area in PA.

by **mmanisca** Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:05 pm

Deer park 10"...Snowing moderatley.

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