Re: Banter Thread 6.0

[Dunnzoo]

OMG Joanne, she's sooo cute! Congratulations on the new addition!

[jmanley32]

I’m ready for  @jmanley32 annual tropics watch thread

Well I guess I dropped the ball my friend. Happy very belated birthday, I do not believe I have been on since april or early may. I was very down about coming on a year without a job since being laid off due to COVID and then the heavens opoened and landed me my best and highest paying job yet. On week 3 I am a clinician (therapist) officially so anyone who is losing it next winter come chat with me lmao. My work is very intense only 1 hr to breath per day (havent yet gotten to that point but I am not sure how people manage to not use the bathroom for 8 hrs, we have to book 9 clients per day from 9-5 with a 1 hr lunch. So far I am up to 26 booked for next week and my supervisor seems pleased with my work, the EMR (electronic medical record) system was glitching a lot at first and we have to do our documentation while we are with the client as theres no time to do it after. I like it, and when I get hom i eat and I am out, believe it or not i likely will not be pulling all nighters for the weather as this job requires a lot of sleep and attentiveness. June 28th I turn 40 and happy fathers to to all the other dads on here!

[frank 638]

Happy father day

[Dunnzoo]

Happy Father's Day to all the weather Dads! Hope you had a great day!

[weatherwatchermom]

Hope all the Dad's had a wonderful day!!!

[Frank_Wx]

Welcome to the Family Ruby Redrum(my husband's contribution to her name)

Wow! Great picture and love the name. She looks like she loves snow

I’m ready for  @jmanley32 annual tropics watch thread

Well I guess I dropped the ball my friend. Happy very belated birthday, I do not believe I have been on since april or early may. I was very down about coming on a year without a job since being laid off due to COVID and then the heavens opoened and landed me my best and highest paying job yet.  On week 3 I am a clinician (therapist) officially so anyone who is losing it next winter come chat with me lmao.  My work is very intense only 1 hr to breath per day (havent yet gotten to that point but I am not sure how people manage to not use the bathroom for 8 hrs, we have to book 9 clients per day from 9-5 with a 1 hr lunch. So far I am up to 26 booked for next week and my supervisor seems pleased with my work, the EMR (electronic medical record) system was glitching a lot at first and we have to do our documentation while we are with the client as theres no time to do it after.  I like it, and when I get hom i eat and I am out, believe it or not i likely will not be pulling all nighters for the weather as this job requires a lot of sleep and attentiveness. June 28th I turn 40 and happy fathers to to all the other dads on here!

I'm glad to hear you landed a good opportunity Mr. Jman. 40 is a great age. I wouldnt know. Thats what people tell me though

Happy belated fathers day to all the papas on here

[jmanley32]

Welcome to the Family Ruby Redrum(my husband's contribution to her name)

Wow! Great picture and love the name. She looks like she loves snow

I’m ready for  @jmanley32 annual tropics watch thread

Well I guess I dropped the ball my friend. Happy very belated birthday, I do not believe I have been on since april or early may. I was very down about coming on a year without a job since being laid off due to COVID and then the heavens opoened and landed me my best and highest paying job yet.  On week 3 I am a clinician (therapist) officially so anyone who is losing it next winter come chat with me lmao.  My work is very intense only 1 hr to breath per day (havent yet gotten to that point but I am not sure how people manage to not use the bathroom for 8 hrs, we have to book 9 clients per day from 9-5 with a 1 hr lunch. So far I am up to 26 booked for next week and my supervisor seems pleased with my work, the EMR (electronic medical record) system was glitching a lot at first and we have to do our documentation while we are with the client as theres no time to do it after.  I like it, and when I get hom i eat and I am out, believe it or not i likely will not be pulling all nighters for the weather as this job requires a lot of sleep and attentiveness. June 28th I turn 40 and happy fathers to to all the other dads on here!

I'm glad to hear you landed a good opportunity Mr. Jman. 40 is a great age. I wouldnt know. Thats what people tell me though

Happy belated fathers day to all the papas on here

Yeah it is when everything starts to hurt and creak lmao, real fun

[dkodgis]

Bantering about weather here...I have friends who live in Sacramento, CA The average June temp is 89 degrees. They are seeing long stretches of 105-107 degrees. That is 16-18 degrees above the average. July average is 91. I wonder if they will get up to 110 in July

And 111 Sunday in Phoenix.

That is hot, especially for a few weeks to three weeks at a time. Here I can't wait to get some really hot weather to get into the pool. There have been a few days but let's have it. No like Sacramento nor Phoenix but let's have a few 90 degree days as Frank has said are coming.

[SENJsnowman]

Holy moly, what a perfect 2 days we just had in meteorological summer! Am I right that we are having a rather mild start to summer overall? My 10 day (at GSP exit 80) shows 76 for today, low 80s over the weekend, high 80's through next week and then dropping back to low 80s for the holiday weekend. Either way, as 10 day forecasts go this time of year...I'll take it!

One significant factor I think that does not bode well for the feel of the weather is that wind direction has changed, probably for the duration of the summer. We had E and ENE this week, and all I see from here on out is S and SW. Unfortunately for Bronx Frank, that probably means more humidity and a much crappier outside feel, even with low-mid 80's.

But overall, any late June-July day with a high below 84-85 and an overnight low below 70 is a decent day in my books. I like summer time fun, but I really only tolerate the summer time weather. I'd much rather endure the wintertime extremes- at least as they exist at the Shore!

[sroc4]

Holy moly, what a perfect 2 days we just had in meteorological summer! Am I right that we are having a rather mild start to summer overall? My 10 day (at GSP exit 80) shows 76 for today, low 80s over the weekend, high 80's through next week and then dropping back to low 80s for the holiday weekend. Either way, as 10 day forecasts go this time of year...I'll take it!

One significant factor I think that does not bode well for the feel of the weather is that wind direction has changed, probably for the duration of the summer. We had E and ENE this week, and all I see from here on out is S and SW. Unfortunately for Bronx Frank, that probably means more humidity and a much crappier outside feel, even with low-mid 80's.

But overall, any late June-July day with a high below 84-85 and an overnight low below 70 is a decent day in my books. I like summer time fun, but I really only tolerate the summer time weather. I'd much rather endure the wintertime extremes- at least as they exist at the Shore!

You are correct snowman.  Here are the temp anomalies for the past 2 weeks.  Def below normal region wide.  



If you want to monitor how the summer will feel monitor the dew points.  It could be 82* outside temp but dew points in the upper 60's or low 70's and it feel miserable vs 88-90* outside and dew points in the upper 50's and feel glorious regarding humidity.  

In summer Regardless of temps:

Dew Points in the 50's = glorious  
Dew points in the low to mid 60's = tolerable
Dew points in mid-upper 60's = miserable
Dew points in the upper 60's to 70's at any level = Unbearable

Of course this is my interpretation.  Everything is relative.  Whatever suits your fancy.  As we head into the weekend and into next week the DP's are going to climb into the mid to upper 60's it would appear and look to stay there for a bit, so expect it to feel it bit more sticky and humid than the past week or two.

Cheers,

I hope everyone is doing well!!

Scott

[SENJsnowman]

Thanks Scott...that makes a lot of sense. Right now imby , temp of 81, dewpoint of 72 and it feels really gross outside, but the lower temp is keeping it largely bearable I would say. So I guess dew point is intrinsically linked to humidity?

And my holiday forecast is all of a sudden looking spectacular- upper 70s dry and E/ENE winds! I hope it stays that way and it's like that for everyone on here!

[sroc4]

Thanks Scott...that makes a lot of sense. Right now imby , temp of 81, dewpoint of 72 and it feels really gross outside, but the lower temp is keeping it largely bearable I would say. So I guess dew point is intrinsically linked to humidity?

And my holiday forecast is all of a sudden looking spectacular- upper 70s dry and E/ENE winds! I hope it stays that way and it's like that for everyone on here!

Exactly snowman.  Dew point is a measure of how much potential moisture can be in the air.  The higher the dew point the more moisture it takes to reach 100% humidity relative to the air temp.

Put another way. Let’s use arbitrary numbers. Let’s say at a dew point of 58* the air can hold 50 molecules of water. A dew point of 72 can hold 100molecules of water.  Both examples the air temp is constant.

At the dew point of 58* if there are 50 molecules of water in the air the humidity level is 100% because that’s the max amount of water the air can hold. However if the dew point of 72% only had 75 molecules of water in it the humidity level is still only 75% because it can hold a max of 100molecules of water, BUT it feels grosser because there are 25 more molecules of water in the air compared to only 50 molecules of water when the dew point is 59*.

So in this example it feels more humid when the dew point is 72* but the humidity level is only at 75% when compared to when the humidity level is 100-% when the dew pint is 58*. All because there is more moisture in the air.

So to reiterate dew point measures the potential for how much moisture can be held in the air. The higher the dew point the more moisture it takes in the air reach 100% humidity. Hope that’s not too confusing. Lol

Last tidbit when the dew point remains constant but the air temps at night begin to drop the humidity level gets closer to 100%. When the air temp and dew points meet you get 100% humidity and voila....fog.

Cheers.

[SENJsnowman]

Thanks Scott...that makes a lot of sense. Right now imby , temp of 81, dewpoint of 72 and it feels really gross outside, but the lower temp is keeping it largely bearable I would say. So I guess dew point is intrinsically linked to humidity?

And my holiday forecast is all of a sudden looking spectacular- upper 70s dry and E/ENE winds! I hope it stays that way and it's like that for everyone on here!

Exactly snowman.  Dew point is a measure of how much potential moisture can be in the air.  The higher the dew point the more moisture it takes to reach 100% humidity relative to the air temp.

Put another way. Let’s use arbitrary numbers. Let’s say at a dew point of 58* the air can hold 50 molecules of water. A dew point of 72 can hold 100molecules of water.  Both examples the air temp is constant.

At the dew point of 58* if there are 50 molecules of water in the air the humidity level is 100% because that’s the max amount of water the air can hold. However if the dew point of 72% only had 75 molecules of water in it the humidity level is still only 75% because it can hold a max of 100molecules of water, BUT it feels grosser because there are 25 more molecules of water in the air compared to only 50 molecules of water when the dew point is 59*.

So in this example it feels more humid when the dew point is 72* but the humidity level is only at 75% when compared to when the humidity level is 100-% when the dew pint is 58*. All because there is more moisture in the air.

So to reiterate dew point measures the potential for how much moisture can be held in the air. The higher the dew point the more moisture it takes in the air reach 100% humidity. Hope that’s not too confusing. Lol

Last tidbit when the dew point remains constant but the air temps at night begin to drop the humidity level gets closer to 100%. When the air temp and dew points meet you get 100% humidity and voila....fog.

Cheers.

I followed it!! If I was reading it before I went to bed, not so sure. ha ha   Thanks again!

So, in the wintertime, these dew point numbers tells us how much water it takes to fill the air, and when that saturation point is hit, snow time. Yes? billg- always reminding us that lower dew point means quicker snow and vice versa...

[sroc4]

Thanks Scott...that makes a lot of sense. Right now imby , temp of 81, dewpoint of 72 and it feels really gross outside, but the lower temp is keeping it largely bearable I would say. So I guess dew point is intrinsically linked to humidity?

And my holiday forecast is all of a sudden looking spectacular- upper 70s dry and E/ENE winds! I hope it stays that way and it's like that for everyone on here!

Exactly snowman.  Dew point is a measure of how much potential moisture can be in the air.  The higher the dew point the more moisture it takes to reach 100% humidity relative to the air temp.

Put another way. Let’s use arbitrary numbers. Let’s say at a dew point of 58* the air can hold 50 molecules of water. A dew point of 72 can hold 100molecules of water.  Both examples the air temp is constant.

At the dew point of 58* if there are 50 molecules of water in the air the humidity level is 100% because that’s the max amount of water the air can hold. However if the dew point of 72% only had 75 molecules of water in it the humidity level is still only 75% because it can hold a max of 100molecules of water, BUT it feels grosser because there are 25 more molecules of water in the air compared to only 50 molecules of water when the dew point is 59*.

So in this example it feels more humid when the dew point is 72* but the humidity level is only at 75% when compared to when the humidity level is 100-% when the dew pint is 58*. All because there is more moisture in the air.

So to reiterate dew point measures the potential for how much moisture can be held in the air. The higher the dew point the more moisture it takes in the air reach 100% humidity. Hope that’s not too confusing. Lol

Last tidbit when the dew point remains constant but the air temps at night begin to drop the humidity level gets closer to 100%. When the air temp and dew points meet you get 100% humidity and voila....fog.

Cheers.

I followed it!! If I was reading it before I went to bed, not so sure. ha ha   Thanks again!

So, in the wintertime, these dew point numbers tells us how much water it takes to fill the air, and when that saturation point is hit, snow time. Yes? billg- always reminding us that lower dew point means quicker snow and vice versa...

In winter time dew points don't necessarily tell us when it will snow, but In winter the dew points can be so low that sometimes the air is so dry it takes a while for the air to saturate enough that the snow can reach the ground without evaporating first. Hence the dreaded term "virga". Virga is where the radar looks like it should be raining or snowing over top of where one lives but its not reaching the ground due to evaporation.

[amugs]

In the next 10-20 years.

[frank 638]

Let’s go

[frank 638]

Congratulations What a great game and great Parade in Morris Park Avenue

[amugs]

Fabulous game yesterday. Why in the world does Southgate put a 19 yr old to be his final shooter is perplexing. Luigi was was monster in net.

[sroc4]

Congratulations What a great game and great Parade in Morris Park Avenue

Forza Italia!!!

Forza Azzuri!!!

That was a great game.

[amugs]

https://electroverse.net/noaa-declares-la-nina-watch-for-the-fall-the-global-cooling-accelerator/

LA Nina again is the forecast.

[dkodgis]

Oh boy: https://nypost.com/2021/07/13/moon-wobble-climate-change-will-create-record-floods-study/

[amugs]

Yikes.

A more aggressive turn back toward La Niña in this month's guidance certainly has a handprint in the outlook. pic.twitter.com/3wkcgvtRkm

— Ben Noll (@BenNollWeather) July 13, 2021

[amugs]

Oh boy:  https://nypost.com/2021/07/13/moon-wobble-climate-change-will-create-record-floods-study/

It's a natural Galactical cycle event of the moon. Our orbital path has a wobble andwe, earth, speed up and slow down in such cycles as well.
NASA and NOAA I have found especially Johnson the director or full throttle to this "agenda" as govt agencies. They have manipulated data sets of atmospheric measurements and have not provided updates on certain aspects such as thebwanning magnetosppherebwhichbis our shield to the sun's flares, Nora's, space dust, cosmic rays. Why haven't they since 2014 provided this data set for scientists to explore, analyze and write papers on for review? Crickets on that one.

I was in Wildwood this past week and have not been there in about 15 years. We vacationed there as a family every August for a week since before I was born until 1986. I was talking to an owner of a restaurant we went to religiously back in the day and I said the amount of building and icon motels vanishing, changes was pretty stark. She smiled and said, oh honey, this town ain't nearly what it once was and not for the better. West Wildwood which was a 3 block area of shore houses owned by fisherman and fishing boats is now being built up with 3 story brand new homes. Post Sandy constructions. Restaurants where marshes where. A whole comolwx of townhouses and homes on a marsh tidal island with a marina and restaurant. Back bay restoration of walkways and homes again on what WA smarchland and bay beaches but extended into the bay shores up with bulk heads.
She said Sandy let us know who's boss but we are to ignorant to realize and learn. They will cry during another major storm and should have NEVER built where that have the past decade plus. Take it from an ol salty. Those areas flood all the time...wonder why??"
Where the tides rise there are triple that of where they are falling on this planet which is actually expanding the land mass in many parts. So there are multiple reasons as there always are.

[amugs]

ECMWF velocity potential anomalies

Like last year, forcing is favored over Africa and the Indian Ocean during peak hurricane season, a pattern consistent with an active tropical Atlantic and the hand print of a redeveloping La Niña.

A long-lived season also appears possible. pic.twitter.com/cw0FuQZ10h

— Ben Noll (@BenNollWeather) July 14, 2021

[sroc4]

Keep in mind too that with our magnetic poles on the move and the earths magnetic field weakening over time, weaker geomagnetic storms are having more profound effects on earths systems.  Think of it like earth used to wear 50 spf sunscreen top protect itself from the sun, but now the earth is only wearing 10.  The earth is not nearly as protected.  

[amugs]

Keep in mind too that with our magnetic poles on the move and the earths magnetic field weakening over time, weaker geomagnetic storms are having more profound effects on earths systems.  Think of it like earth used to wear 50 spf sunscreen top protect itself from the sun, but now the earth is only wearing 10.  The earth is not nearly as protected.  

So true Scott. We have had 2 near X flare misses so far. But two M class strong flares that abused disruption in Europe and Asia to their communications. Some issues, minor, with the grid.
It's not a matter of if but when peeps.
We have SOOOOO many geomagnetic, galactical, planetary anomalous happening its hard to keep track of.
Great video Sroc and thanks for sharing.

[amugs]

Too early to talk SSW?

For the 2nd month in a row, there is a signal for a weaker-than-normal stratospheric polar vortex in Nov-Dec.

Indicated by several models, this can increase the chance for polar air masses to seep southward during early-mid winter

Has my attention! pic.twitter.com/sqNOieqouX

— Ben Noll (@BenNollWeather) July 15, 2021

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