Re: Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase'

by **aiannone** Thu Jan 27, 2022 1:55 pm

DT's first guess

Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 24 1skcos10

by **amugs** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:01 pm

WHO WANTS TO BE SREFFED UP??

cheers

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by **SENJsnowman** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:02 pm

Ummm…can I please be SREFFED UP? Please?

by **lglickman1** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:05 pm

amugs wrote:WHO WANTS TO BE SREFFED UP??

Does this have any credibility at this time?

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:05 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:I know we hate them and trust me I really do, but our very own @Taffy up in Boston is looking at a possible 2 footer+
Hasnt chimed in at all, probably why, is there anyway even a shred of hope that we get back that far west again? I am guessing not but just curious on ur thoughts about what the outcome might be or is it still sunny or huge storm?

I think we're out of the Roidzilla territory. Maybe central/eastern LI still have a chance with those type of totals.

essexcountypete wrote:"Not great trends on the EURO so far" all the way to "MADONNA MIA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"

Frank just gave this one Euro run all the twists and turns of a whole Netflix series.

I can see the trailer now...

"Frank and his intrepid band of forecasters and novices battle quirky models and an unseen force to save the nation from over-hyped weather forecasts.

Watch the new Netflix series WE TRACK!"

This is seriously an episode of 'Stranger Things'

amugs wrote:Tomer Burg posted at 33n Rain and is saying there is still room for adjustments to bring us back!!

The EPS members that target NYC metro for the heaviest snowfall have one thing in common - the sfc low occludes & slows down farther SW closer to Long Island

Something to keep an eye on as we try to narrow down where the heaviest snow will fall

amugs wrote:WHO WANTS TO BE SREFFED UP??

Oh jesus this is so true. Did you hijack the SREFs?

by **amugs** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:05 pm

EPS says NW???

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by **amugs** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:06 pm

@Frank ...........My KING SNOW WEENIE POWERS are back baby!!! LOL

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:07 pm

Also round of applause for @Quietace for being our resident Met and dropping loads of knowledge on us. Between him and @rb924119 I am blessed to have such great minds to educate us all.

by **amugs** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:07 pm

Keep ticking WEAST!!
From 33nRain x2

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by **aiannone** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:08 pm

Given the data I am seeing, the focus for mesoscale banding is going to be on the immediate coast and someone is going to get a 3” to 4” per hour band out of this. I don’t know where. But my bet is SE MA, Long Island, and the NJ coast are prime spots.
— NY NJ PA Weather (@nynjpaweather) January 27, 2022

by **amugs** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:08 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Also round of applause for @Quietace for being our resident Met and dropping loads of knowledge on us. Between him and @rb924119 I am blessed to have such great minds to educate us all.

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by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:09 pm

amugs wrote:WHO WANTS TO BE SREFFED UP??

why mugs why!! lol, ill take that with a dose of reality. honestly though, shouldnt this be the way the models look by their upper levels? Maybe sref is not having the same issues and is showing what the others aren't? How much stock you put in sref this far out?

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:10 pm

My first call snowfall map will be released at 5pm today

by **heehaw453** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:13 pm

This may surprise people I think. Latest EPS 528dam close off before hitting coast. It Euro getting back to the more intense solutions again. They were doozies 36 hours ago.

Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 24 Eps36

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:14 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:My first call snowfall map will be released at 5pm today

So 10pm? Hey once in a while I gotta get a jab in....I know your a busy guy joking but often we are wondering where your maps are lol

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:16 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:My first call snowfall map will be released at 5pm today
So 10pm? Hey once in a while I gotta get a jab in....I know your a busy guy joking but often we are wondering where your maps are lol

You're probably right

by **Dunnzoo** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:17 pm

aiannone wrote:DT's first guess

After this crazy I'll take 4-8" lol

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:17 pm

EPS members

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by **Quietace** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:18 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:EPS members

Some of those solutions make more sense to me Very Happy

by **heehaw453** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:19 pm

As clear as mud. 12Z EPS

Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 24 Eps37

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:19 pm

amugs wrote:WHO WANTS TO BE SREFFED UP??

I always find them a little too juiced. Probably why I love them.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:19 pm

Quietace wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:EPS members

Some of those solutions make more sense to me

There's legit Godzilla's in there. A lot more than prior runs.

As a side note, I've lost 4 pounds this week from all the sweat that's left my body.

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:20 pm

Yeah, I spy quite the west-leaning cluster…

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by bobjohnsonforthehall Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:22 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:EPS members

By my count...

8=no good
8=pretty decent
9=holy crap

...so basically anything can happen.

That noise you hear is me pulling my hair out. One at a time.

by **amugs** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:25 pm

EPS members that decided to join the parteeeeeeeeeeee!!!
Circled in black that is now making pro mets shake their heads saying wait it could be a tucked low into Montauk/Twin forks?? This woudl be mint x100000 peeps!

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by **Quietace** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:27 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
Quietace wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:EPS members

Some of those solutions make more sense to me

There's legit Godzilla's in there. A lot more than prior runs.

As a side note, I've lost 4 pounds this week from all the sweat that's left my body.

Better hydrate before tonight then. What your beverage of choice ends up being is up to you.

by **amugs** Thu Jan 27, 2022 2:31 pm

From Earthlight at 33n Rain - RED BOXES ARE BOMBS AWAY!!!

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