2023 Atlantic Tropics season
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Frank_Wx
phil155
Radz
Joe Snow
dkodgis
jtswife
missmorris
Dunnzoo
Frozen.9
rb924119
amugs
docstox12
GreyBeard
weatherwatchermom
sroc4
jmanley32
20 posters
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
Wow RI occuring full eye in a few hrs. I bet 11am topping 100mph. At 80 now. I know models will flip flop but my thinking is a close call but miss in between bermuda and US. Thpugh i see on yoitube znd other places furthest west people are saying is nortjern NE and canada. Will still give one heck of a wave show on beaches. But everything is still on table. Once a major cat 4 even 5 things could change drastically.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=13L&product=ir
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=13L&product=ir
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
Wow now progged to be 160mph cat 5 on 9th.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
Watching the satellite loop looks like a little wobble west this afternoon after heading nw earlier.
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
That loop invites speculation.
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
Major hurricane already and looking rather impressive already, Lee will be a monster the question now is where does it go. It seems like the trend has been to slow the storm down a bit in the past day and I for one am not sure how that impacts it's interaction with any ridging or trophs
phil155- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
Euro is a teaser
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
First recon headed to Lee now
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
The Hi-res meso sat loop is mesmerizing
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=goes16-meso2&product=vis
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=goes16-meso2&product=vis
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
wow....sroc4 wrote:The Hi-res meso sat loop is mesmerizing
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=goes16-meso2&product=vis
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
Big snd bigger
A doozy. Where’s Doc?
A doozy. Where’s Doc?
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
why dont have time to look.sroc4 wrote:Euro is a teaser
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
jmanley32 wrote:why dont have time to look.sroc4 wrote:Euro is a teaser
Its darn close
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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GreyBeard- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
According to the models, not a big chance. When I came here in 99, I don’t remember what year exactly but 99 or 00 it got ugly and killed my elec in my apt in Sep. i wound up using stream water for a lot of things. I had to drive to my other house for my generator. It was a different world in SJ vs Stony Point
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
sroc4 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:why dont have time to look.sroc4 wrote:Euro is a teaser
Its darn close
That better not come to fruition...come on. That is where my child is
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
Mom, I believe the best response, one that I used to yell out to my kids at 6:45 am and that I still yell out to my daughter at her bus stop some 200 geet from tje house is “THAT’s MY BABY!!” Yelling that out in the early morning used to make them say “Dad!” But I think they appreciated it.
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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weatherwatchermom likes this post
Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
Loldkodgis wrote:Mom, I believe the best response, one that I used to yell out to my kids at 6:45 am and that I still yell out to my daughter at her bus stop some 200 geet from tje house is “THAT’s MY BABY!!” Yelling that out in the early morning used to make them say “Dad!” But I think they appreciated it.
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
Already up to 130mphand 953mb
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
good lord snd ya euro disconcerting. Kerps moving west so did the ensembles i see.sroc4 wrote:Already up to 130mphand 953mb
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
This def get concerning with how strong he is getting and that he has potential for east coast lsndfall. Yes not as a cat 5 but who heck knows he has already done more than expected by today.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
jmanley32 wrote:good lord snd ya euro disconcerting. Kerps moving west so did the ensembles i see.sroc4 wrote:Already up to 130mphand 953mb
This trend should continue, in my opinion, for the reasons previously discussed. And the changes in today’s guidance were not a good sign. Gonna rip a post from Bastardi, as I think it’s a good one.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
Confidence remains high in the track for Lee, with almost no change
made to the NHC track forecast. Lee should continue moving
west-northwestward along the southern edge of the subtropical ridge
for the next 5 days. The ridge is forecast to gradually weaken by
early next week, causing Lee to slow down. This track should keep
the core of Lee and its damaging winds north of the Leeward Islands.
There is uncertainty in any northward turn of Lee beginning early
next week, but it is too soon to speculate about specific potential
impacts a week or more out.
made to the NHC track forecast. Lee should continue moving
west-northwestward along the southern edge of the subtropical ridge
for the next 5 days. The ridge is forecast to gradually weaken by
early next week, causing Lee to slow down. This track should keep
the core of Lee and its damaging winds north of the Leeward Islands.
There is uncertainty in any northward turn of Lee beginning early
next week, but it is too soon to speculate about specific potential
impacts a week or more out.
Joe Snow- Pro Enthusiast
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rb924119- Meteorologist
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rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
Flight Con data rolling in Close too a CAT 5 Wow..........
Joe Snow- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: 2023 Atlantic Tropics season
mog 930mb 145 kts!! wow
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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