September Obs & Discussions
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Grselig
dsix85
rb924119
sroc4
Math23x7
aiannone
kalleg
phil155
Bkdude
jmanley32
Frank_Wx
frank 638
billg315
GreyBeard
dkodgis
Dunnzoo
weatherwatchermom
docstox12
amugs
23 posters
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
55 degrees, steady light to moderate rain, slight breeze.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
This weather is depressing still drizzling misty yucky feels like Seattle weather
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
Very windy here in New Rochelle, NY, gusts have to be at least 30 mph, though I am on a street, like the city that works like a funnel to increase winds. It finally stopped raining, I am okay with cloudy I am just tired of getting wet every time I got out and having to wipe down my car doors seats etc. I think we are supposed to see sun tomorrow. What's this about ANOTHER hybrid system? I swear it better not be this coming weekend.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
Next weekend Jon this is gonna be interesting
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_52](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092512/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_52.png)
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_52](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092512/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_52.png)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
amugs wrote:Next weekend Jon this is gonna be interesting
I believe this one is two weekends from now. This upcoming weekend there will be an ULL that situates itself in and around NE and Mid Atlantic and drift south. The exact positioning of the ULL and its associated vorticity will determine if or who gets another crappy weekend with rain and mist and nasty. GFS and CMC below ...euro coming in now
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 1696075200-uQO9ffl0H0c](https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/conus/z500_barbs/1695643200/1696075200-uQO9ffl0H0c.png)
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
.70” Saturday, 1.08” yesterday, and 1.41” so far today… miserable few days, 59* currently winds 5-10mph
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
Thats in two weeks but still i need the like next 6 sat to be nice. your killin me smalls (movie reference)! lolamugs wrote:Next weekend Jon this is gonna be interesting
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
Tomorrow = Lovely again
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092518/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15.png)
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_16](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092518/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_16.png)
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_17](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092518/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_17.png)
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092518/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15.png)
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_16](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092518/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_16.png)
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_17](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092518/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_17.png)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
Friday CMC
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gem_mslp_pcpn_neus_17](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2023092512/gem_mslp_pcpn_neus_17.png)
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gem_mslp_pcpn_neus_18](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2023092512/gem_mslp_pcpn_neus_18.png)
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gem_mslp_pcpn_neus_17](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2023092512/gem_mslp_pcpn_neus_17.png)
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gem_mslp_pcpn_neus_18](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2023092512/gem_mslp_pcpn_neus_18.png)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
This rain is seriously get on my nerves. Is that from sun deprivation?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
jmanley32 wrote:This rain is seriously get on my nerves. Is that from sun deprivation?
I think so jman.Like SAD in the winter.
54degrees, cloudy, drizzly and calm.Looks like we get the sun back for tues and weds.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
nope supposed to rain today. Tomorrow and thurs i thonk ok b4 rain fri. Looks like sat may be okay.docstox12 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:This rain is seriously get on my nerves. Is that from sun deprivation?
I think so jman.Like SAD in the winter.
54degrees, cloudy, drizzly and calm.Looks like we get the sun back for tues and weds.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
Friday washout?? GFS, CMC and Ukmet, Euro more concentrated - lets see what the 12z runs bring. The gift that keeps on gioving
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092606/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15.png)
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gfs_apcpn_neus_17](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092606/gfs_apcpn_neus_17.png)
CMC
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gem_apcpn_neus_19](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2023092600/gem_apcpn_neus_19.png)
UKMET - WHOA!!!
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Qpf_acc-imp.us_ne](https://m2o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ukmet/2023092600/108/qpf_acc-imp.us_ne.png)
EURO
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Ecmwf_apcpn_neus_38](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2023092600/ecmwf_apcpn_neus_38.png)
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092606/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15.png)
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gfs_apcpn_neus_17](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2023092606/gfs_apcpn_neus_17.png)
CMC
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Gem_apcpn_neus_19](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2023092600/gem_apcpn_neus_19.png)
UKMET - WHOA!!!
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Qpf_acc-imp.us_ne](https://m2o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ukmet/2023092600/108/qpf_acc-imp.us_ne.png)
EURO
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 Ecmwf_apcpn_neus_38](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2023092600/ecmwf_apcpn_neus_38.png)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
No thanks! I'm feeling moldy
![Mad](https://2img.net/i/fa/i/smiles/icon_mad.gif)
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
LOL thats great, I like it. This rain is insane. Watch it dry up with no systems for the winter...I hope these continue and also are far enough offshore or able to pull cold down to clast, I dunno if I can take another year of 5 inches of snow from 1 storm.Dunnzoo wrote:No thanks! I'm feeling moldy![]()
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
Does this clear out before Saturday morning, by looks of models it does.amugs wrote:Friday washout?? GFS, CMC and Ukmet, Euro more concentrated - lets see what the 12z runs bring. The gift that keeps on gioving
CMC
UKMET - WHOA!!!
EURO
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
May not be pouring but it wouldn't surprise me to see certain areas deal with lingering pockets of rain, drizzly, and misty conditions throughout at least the first half of Saturday too.
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
BRRRR tonight - heat needs to go on for many
![September Obs & Discussions - Page 10 F68hIWBWMAAvV7e?format=webp&name=small](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F68hIWBWMAAvV7e?format=webp&name=small)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
Okay, well not great news but can't control mother nature but she sure has not been cooperative.sroc4 wrote:May not be pouring but it wouldn't surprise me to see certain areas deal with lingering pockets of rain, drizzly, and misty conditions throughout at least the first half of Saturday too.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
41 degrees, clear,calm.Had to put up heat first time this season, house was 65 degrees.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
45* here this morning house is 66*
Had heat on.
Then maybe AC next week![:thinking: 🤔](https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/emojione/assets/png/1f914.png?v=2.2.7)
Had heat on.
Then maybe AC next week
![:thinking: 🤔](https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/emojione/assets/png/1f914.png?v=2.2.7)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
amugs wrote:45* here this morning house is 66*
Had heat on.
Then maybe AC next week
LOL, right mugs.This time of year is the ying -yang of heat and AC.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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amugs likes this post
Re: September Obs & Discussions
Interesting. We may finish BN with these next nights ahead and especially of we rain Friday and are cloudy Saturday.
After going 11 days in a row with above normal temperatures in the first half of September, NYC has now gone 12 days in a row with below normal temperatures for the second half.
— IsaacWxObserver (@IsaacWxObserver) September 27, 2023
The warmth was more anomalous then the cold so month to date is still +0.8F. pic.twitter.com/UsT7gmBlJT
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: September Obs & Discussions
jmanley32 wrote:Okay, well not great news but can't control mother nature but she sure has not been cooperative.sroc4 wrote:May not be pouring but it wouldn't surprise me to see certain areas deal with lingering pockets of rain, drizzly, and misty conditions throughout at least the first half of Saturday too.
Glass half full view might be that in 3-4 months from now if the pattern holds, this could be a nice little refresher to the snow pack. Whiten things back up again. lol...maybe??
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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dkodgis likes this post
Re: September Obs & Discussions
Sorry to report CMC and Euro want another area wide 2-3" by the end of the day Saturday.
Start time looks like very late Thursday to early Friday morning. Lasts through the entire day Friday and lingers with showers and drizzly nonsense for early Saturday and perhaps a second round of steadier precip, esp east along the coast Sat afternoon, if the euro is right.
American models, GFS and NAM 12k are a bit more all over the place with where the 1-3" rain falls. Its more spotty on those whereas the cmc and euro is more wide spread. I personally would expect wide spread totals once again between 1-3" between Friday and early eve Sat with it coming in dribs and drabs like the last several days unfolded.
Start time looks like very late Thursday to early Friday morning. Lasts through the entire day Friday and lingers with showers and drizzly nonsense for early Saturday and perhaps a second round of steadier precip, esp east along the coast Sat afternoon, if the euro is right.
American models, GFS and NAM 12k are a bit more all over the place with where the 1-3" rain falls. Its more spotty on those whereas the cmc and euro is more wide spread. I personally would expect wide spread totals once again between 1-3" between Friday and early eve Sat with it coming in dribs and drabs like the last several days unfolded.
![Brick](/users/3017/35/58/46/smiles/2417739071.gif)
![white flag](/users/3017/35/58/46/smiles/4157233456.gif)
![Brick](/users/3017/35/58/46/smiles/2417739071.gif)
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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