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January 2024 Observations and Discussion

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Post by billg315 Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:31 am

Just remember, most of the accumulating snow was to take place late morning to afternoon. We're not even there yet. That's not to say to expect more than was forecast (which are pretty low amounts outside of South Jersey), but don't assume you're getting no snow just because it's been light for the first couple hours.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:31 am

docstox12 wrote:22 degrees, steady light snow, 1 inch OTG.Performing very well up here , I was only getting 1-2 inches as per NWS.Roads being salted.

Bring it home Doc. Make me regret leaving. Hated to leave our winter landscape as it was, a nice refresher works well.

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Post by heehaw453 Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:33 am

Just ripping right now.


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Post by phil155 Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:37 am

Picked u to a nice moderate clip now

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Post by aiannone Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:38 am

jmanley32 wrote:So snowing good to the south and north of this area with flurries here (was expecting and hoping for a inch at the least. Cannot make this up, its like this area (all of westchester county) is in a snow hole more timjes than not. Was def not expect Orange Couty to see more than down here (so far), but good for them as they looked to be on the fringe as forecasted.

IT HAS JUST STARTED! You can't call the entire even in the first 38 minutes of forecasted snow time. This was not going to big event. 1-3". All you need is a few hours of light snow and the forecast would verify. Give it time. You have permission to call it after 3pm

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Post by kalleg Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:41 am

26* in New Hope, moving toward 2"


 January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 ABLVV84PRf95cO7pfES1T7uiykEwO5zpCAWQnvu0BWBwm2RA07DT4r0thU5XKpGrvfSDBATy6h_otS37otjrVMvk31hnKKaqxTd_B1phM_n2PABFbZb9VB0BkaPmJheQW1Lnhq25wurxtT70qtERtvElNdFsx8HhjTuiPxLwAVZWrwSaSXk5Q3Byy9SH-y_PijngrCR4ce-E40WrrCrmsF0gRKDSg7jhuo18IQdviW6k8lhXDOpwDYEvrwIwed8BxTXlxd6CAEQ-ek6SH8TGsl9qjsWw60UlQTDEfUw9ax-fHGDrTimDoJQ98KjaZTuhMzC6CGJr0zah8UTdQBjxxuTV5pM16NYsdviGb1q2Tf5YUk7AijZl2LqO_Ia3jio5tx2Oos7-dj9wFUhtyJzU1sHXbv_hlq_3UuropVkeHvanG1BzJ1Z4h05n74U8U56sm1z58Pjmwdc4uboIWIn17v5NEx1ja0SL_yiTSvvBoJSO-iv3ABVDW7UGDoaCTuv1BGZ23jkFVT1NwBn0gzNC_68rIWjM3lvF4GfAhktiB9_fLbNneu_0OUtNbkHn5zx6h63V67k3fYHLXsqBlYBkKMV5vuLRXofb_l470NPqsiDqF1gCH7Igy3ArX4o-bJOdbysS2W_qNsN1t_1PBh7Scm9JHxg4E8dDcKHsct6s0ECFNdY5RjpPBWuLIGFJFyesRqgb7b0LPRBLQELT49C2ooe54-qvUAsrwd-gySTa4Eqv0ibYLfyvtXfaKpNrYFPCUHW7v8lyfAyhJH6ZY1weCxjb6rAqQ0Lz9VvImaw79dipAMtZMamLxoCgLuDPJry57ZhmelABKdak7quHQwLf24Pd_txxWD-hEXO_U6UNJpdnVBOl5ELJG0aLELHNAT2ljjHtQsSYbXfgKH2szy3WfK8anhigzfimqJy7VLqInh2A=w524-h911-s-no-gm?authuser=0


 January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 ABLVV84gpYVoZH3nZPcC1jdlOY43rhr7bUe9OaXPOxc8rqRHyxRiEbCwQXk8ng92MgLjC_oxoG4TZt6n3mPiWvuiEKUaa5QkcjPdmIEgDfUmqLWr9R29CVv9X-Ol23J7nG-xETeDXY-dxe4CRMkCVSBF-oA95W2VDR4KfZvep_39rTg8yIFZ5ReoJNK3CMj5qzgr0F_S675hYRIrff5SNy7F8yi9fkm-9hR_JU_rR9AhitO7po-qZrAuv3Fw5alkY1sqGXLXuOz504TBI30uXFKCE-imoqnJgSo6uQiJw_CJq4WF4-dMWMDcCICr_EqyFdcFHVI9XlmtOksz7vB1EtxVAmodrEDbMpAfalxaPs2Hcdq9FXBspTh-0uAmwiHvtVOdRCn_Q0rMVDO0uZn4KkDtwxve7fuFJoMr7SNKuM1RGgPpKrFysJouJGcmFNpW8kSd8GdGtvwNb200ijfHBgm-QwYD-W15oTvUFOPv93ITRj928q7iunxV--hSuOXOvCVEKeDiw0fuUSP29YrhTi57Uqc_BfvTALgpLglhiC7xrAbvUlAbuwYVGC2N1dN8HoFxoA-Ro0O6RjYH2GxWhJHPrsQ77M93EtgdD8d1UvUOgE0xSY5PuNWCafuuMwv-WHRXl78ojlNlss3NR5UOo_UDunisXUwxIighEzEhOSdMNccNaNynyVU6O2IbsGMQuRXzIuyc9PoGTfnoRZwNB0P_kBjXN8P_iNWr9kcqXMsaq1xy9ObjQzDiBtn1WViyaG3UHlAZaFn7gOW0DWDNvtpsAdXhUNyNIKFSfWuR_ajzPQnd5zSSs-F4Sq_qMJCZfrfBumSPHF-1xOf8NB4rzcSM202pbaA1Ze1dFmwhzVE2XHuGzt4lHsL9MHtGQMi0kkiwX4WWx9OJuWq7EiqMG_NNQxvjKrtlUgjwIyTuwGL0=w587-h911-s-no-gm?authuser=0

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 January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 Empty Re: January 2024 Observations and Discussion

Post by DAYBLAZER Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:43 am

I always hesitate to use the 'B' word for any storm relying on coastal influences until that pressure starts dropping and mother nature responds one way or another. She's the boss after all. General timeframe for any accumulating snow was always forecast to be between about 8am-5pm for anyone north of the Driscoll, so I think some patience would be pertinent here. The fact that we are even tracking ANY snow should be cause for celebration given the last few winters.

Snow really picked up in the last hour here, about 1 inch OTG so far. Real nice refresher for the snowpack!
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Post by Aiosamoney21 Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:45 am

Nothing going on in Clifton now

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Post by Abba701 Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:46 am

Nothing in crown heights brooklyn yet.

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Post by heehaw453 Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:46 am

Latest NWS snowfall guidance.  Totals have increased a bit further north. That's the big take away. I wouldn't be surprised IMBY to approach 5". Never underestimate a strengthening h5 trough.

 January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 Nws16

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Post by NJBear Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:49 am

A little slow on Rt. 22.

 January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 Th-30811

But really, we are due for a monster blizzard such as the ones from '78 or '96.
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:50 am

Past several years have been brutal for Philly proper. Nice to see this again.

 January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 Center10

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Post by billg315 Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:52 am

Snow definitely coming down at a good clip in the Philly metro.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:53 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
docstox12 wrote:22 degrees, steady light snow, 1 inch OTG.Performing very well up here , I was only getting 1-2 inches as per NWS.Roads being salted.

Bring it home Doc. Make me regret leaving. Hated to leave our winter landscape as it was, a nice refresher works well.

CP, it's not the total I get but the process.Look at it this way, we had a snowpack going into this, nice 20 degree ish cold and now a steady light to moderate snow with 1 inch of new snow here.We have to enjoy every minute of days like this, a precious gift in the now season of Wing!
Maybe can get to two inches if this keeps up this afternoon.

Steady light snow, slight winds now,22 steady degrees.
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Post by SENJsnowman Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:54 am

heehaw453 wrote:Latest NWS snowfall guidance.  Totals have increased a bit further north. That's the big take away. I wouldn't be surprised IMBY to approach 5". Never underestimate a strengthening h5 trough.

 January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 Nws16

Is this yet to come, or inclusive of what’s already fallen?

Roughly 2” so far in NE Monmouth County. Light snow attm but very nice radar returns moving west to east from eastern PA across central and southern NJ, so hopefully this morning was just the appetizer for CNJ/SNJ and the Shore.

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Post by docstox12 Fri Jan 19, 2024 10:54 am

NJBear wrote:A little slow on Rt. 22.

 January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 Th-30811

But really, we are due for a monster blizzard such as the ones from '78 or '96.

LOL, Route 22 in the Sierra Mountains of CA maybe. If that was NJ, the Flagship on Route 22 would be buried.
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Post by tomsriversnowstorm Fri Jan 19, 2024 11:03 am

Snowman I am confused. You are talking about monmouth but it says your from bayville. That is in ocean. Did you move?

quote="SENJsnowman"]
heehaw453 wrote:Latest NWS snowfall guidance.  Totals have increased a bit further north. That's the big take away. I wouldn't be surprised IMBY to approach 5". Never underestimate a strengthening h5 trough.

 January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 Nws16

Is this yet to come, or inclusive of what’s already fallen?

Roughly 2” so far in NE Monmouth County. Light snow attm but very nice radar returns moving west to east from eastern PA across central and southern NJ, so hopefully this morning was just the appetizer for CNJ/SNJ and the Shore.[/quote]

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Post by billg315 Fri Jan 19, 2024 11:04 am

28* with moderate to heavy snow here! Looks beautiful.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 19, 2024 11:14 am

aiannone wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:So snowing good to the south and north of this area with flurries here (was expecting and hoping for a inch at the least. Cannot make this up, its like this area (all of westchester county) is in a snow hole more timjes than not. Was def not expect Orange Couty to see more than down here (so far), but good for them as they looked to be on the fringe as forecasted.

IT HAS JUST STARTED! You can't call the entire even in the first 38 minutes of forecasted snow time. This was not going to big event. 1-3". All you need is a few hours of light snow and the forecast would verify. Give it time. You have permission to call it after 3pm
I didn't call it, it just doesnt look promising, just flurries, still nothing sticking. Now it is a very fine light/moderate snow. Sticking to fire escape, roads are very wet so I don't see it accumulating there.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Fri Jan 19, 2024 11:18 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Jan 19, 2024 11:16 am

Midlevel frontogenesis h7-850. That could be where some enhancement comes into play as the storm's energy gets pulled back towards the coast.  

 January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 Midlev16

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 19, 2024 11:20 am

tomsriversnowstorm wrote:Snowman I am confused. You are talking about monmouth but it says your from bayville. That is in ocean. Did you move?

quote="SENJsnowman"]
heehaw453 wrote:Latest NWS snowfall guidance.  Totals have increased a bit further north. That's the big take away. I wouldn't be surprised IMBY to approach 5". Never underestimate a strengthening h5 trough.

 January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 Nws16

Is this yet to come, or inclusive of what’s already fallen?

Roughly 2” so far in NE Monmouth County. Light snow attm but very nice radar returns moving west to east from eastern PA across central and southern NJ, so hopefully this morning was just the appetizer for CNJ/SNJ and the Shore.
[/quote]I will sign for 2-2.5
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Post by aiannone Fri Jan 19, 2024 11:24 am

Puking snow here on LI

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Post by silentwreck Fri Jan 19, 2024 11:25 am

Heavy snow in NYC and Queens right now !!! Looks like the band is setting up nicely in the area January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 Img_4611

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Post by bloc1357 Fri Jan 19, 2024 11:27 am

Just looked out my office window coming down heavy out of nowhere!!! Love it

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Post by silentwreck Fri Jan 19, 2024 11:27 am

Big fat snow flakes increasing in intensity and slight wind increase too. January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 Img_4612

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 19, 2024 11:28 am

 January 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 21 Inxr1Kphla_h

Wow, SNJ blitzing

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Post by bloc1357 Fri Jan 19, 2024 11:29 am

Radar generally looks like it might stay this way thru 5pm...we'll see

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