HomeFebruary 17th 2024 Snow Observations
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by jmanley32 Fri Feb 16, 2024 2:12 pm
Is that finished or only partway done? Takes south jersey almost out ya crazy, is it a blip, but look at last one the highest totals were N &W which wasn't expected.nutleyblizzard wrote:The RAP is coming more enhanced as well! Is this a trend or a blip? Makes for an interesting evening to say the least.
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by billg315 Fri Feb 16, 2024 2:18 pm
I'll be in the far reaches of South Jersey (way further south than even SENJsnowman!!) later tonight and tomorrow so I'll let you know how it looks down there.
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by MattyICE Fri Feb 16, 2024 2:40 pm
jmanley32 wrote:So as I just posted, we were posting at the same time that puts NYC at like 5.25 at 15:1 to 7 at 20:1, thats nuts if true.sroc4 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:So is that like 4-6 NYC if 15-20:1? If those ratios occur, and like 10 inches plus in central NJ?nutleyblizzard wrote:SREF coming in more amped.
IMO Sout of the line you will see 10-15:1 ratios at best; prob 12:1 max. As you head N your ratios increase
I personally don’t think 15-20:1 widespread ratios will be common even north of Scott’s line. They’re also dynamic meaning you could experience 15:1 under a band then go back to 10:1 twenty minutes later.
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by amugs Fri Feb 16, 2024 2:55 pm
have to love last minute trends we are seeing and N trend too........surprise surprise and 'Atmospheric Memory" as Haw adn SROC have stated. Better than some others memory at tis time!!
EURO - more N and a wider spread accumulating/ moderate snows now:
4AM
6AM
10AM SROC and Alex get thumped
That's 2-3" for NNJ, NYC Metro maybe 4" Lollipops
SNJ 3-4"
Kuchera = ratios (12-15:1 on this I'd say)
10:1
EURO - more N and a wider spread accumulating/ moderate snows now:
4AM
6AM
10AM SROC and Alex get thumped
That's 2-3" for NNJ, NYC Metro maybe 4" Lollipops
SNJ 3-4"
Kuchera = ratios (12-15:1 on this I'd say)
10:1
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by docstox12 Fri Feb 16, 2024 3:09 pm
36 degrees, partly sunny, windy.
Looks like the North trend continues, seems to be the case with these recent snowstorms.I may have a chance at 3 here.
Looks like the North trend continues, seems to be the case with these recent snowstorms.I may have a chance at 3 here.
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by nutleyblizzard Fri Feb 16, 2024 3:13 pm
Nam coming in north!
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by SoulSingMG Fri Feb 16, 2024 3:16 pm
Winter Weather Advisories just expanded to include all of NYC, Long Island, and NE NJ:
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by jmanley32 Fri Feb 16, 2024 4:20 pm
2-4 with the WWA and I won't be here waaa lol looks like we may see a inch or 2 in CT if the N trend continues.
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by essexcountypete Fri Feb 16, 2024 5:15 pm
The expanded NWS advisories and snow maps...
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by amugs Fri Feb 16, 2024 5:52 pm
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by amugs Fri Feb 16, 2024 5:52 pm
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by GreyBeard Fri Feb 16, 2024 5:59 pm
Here's Uptons take. I thought South Jersey was supposed to be in a favorable locale? Looks like you gotta burn the midnight oil if you wanna see this event as they are saying between 2AM to 8 AM is when rates will be best.
https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/02162024pm_snow.pdf
https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/02162024pm_snow.pdf
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 16, 2024 6:13 pm
What an ugly looking snow hole on the latest HRRR for SNJ...
It also exists on the latest RAP
So the short res models are picking up on this extreme banding of snow for CNJ/NNJ that causes subsidence south of there. Interesting......
It also exists on the latest RAP
So the short res models are picking up on this extreme banding of snow for CNJ/NNJ that causes subsidence south of there. Interesting......
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 16, 2024 6:22 pm
In my head I figured ratios would be a bit better than what is being modeled. They will be good for NNJ and N&W, obviously, but immediate coast and SNJ are looking at your standard 10:1.
Here is the progression of the snow based on 18z GFS
1am
4am
7am
Total snow
Here is the progression of the snow based on 18z GFS
1am
4am
7am
Total snow
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by Frank_Wx Fri Feb 16, 2024 6:24 pm
Amazingly 18z GFS also shows this glaring hole of precip in south-central NJ. Rare agreement on the models with where the strongest banding sets up
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by jmanley32 Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:08 pm
Enjoy all, I am away in eastern CT where looks like we aren't go get anything maybe 1/2-1 max. Looking forward to tracking whats on the scroll.
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by amugs Fri Feb 16, 2024 9:53 pm
Overperformer in the making
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by Irish Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:03 pm
How can you tell?amugs wrote:
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by amugs Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:17 pm
All the yellow which are heavy echoes of tstorms, that are attributed to latent heat from the jet steam. That usually lifts Northward.
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by amugs Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:30 pm
Radar filling in nicely and a tad more north
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by NJBear Fri Feb 16, 2024 10:51 pm
Coming in a little early. However, no visual snow of yet.
Now snowing.
Now snowing.
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by justdrew Fri Feb 16, 2024 11:57 pm
Fine flakes arriving in Middletown NJ.
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by SENJsnowman Sat Feb 17, 2024 12:16 am
justdrew wrote:Fine flakes arriving in Middletown NJ.
And from the looks of it, the flakes are staying in.Middletown for a bit. Oh well, win some, lose some.
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by 1190ftalt Sat Feb 17, 2024 12:27 am
Started snowing at 11:53 in the pm, 28 degrees, ground covered, coming down nice fine snow, still had 6 inches from previous storm,
Good Luck !
Good Luck !
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by Goalscore1 Sat Feb 17, 2024 1:04 am
Large moderate to heavy band with 35-40 DBZ snow working into the staten island, new brunswick, and nassau area.
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Re: February 17th 2024 Snow Observations
by NJBear Sat Feb 17, 2024 1:59 am
Goalscore1 wrote:Large moderate to heavy band with 35-40 DBZ snow working into the staten island, new brunswick, and nassau area.
I'm in that at 22/78. An easy inch an hour rate.
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