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01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off

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Post by LB3147 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:44 pm

Frank as always great write up.....however whoever is in charge of the scrolling message reading...you may want to clarify the below statement and set the correct message across the garden state?

"A Godzilla is threatening to impact the area Friday-Saturday, models showing unprecedented consistency"


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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:44 pm

Hour 78 trough is already negatively tilting and closed off over mid-Mississippi Valley. Great signs. Ridge is frick-frackin' B-E-A-Utiful in this run.

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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:45 pm

Just an absolutely beautiful look at H5 on the NAM. Amazing consistency with all these models.

Good start to the 0z runs.


Last edited by snow247 on Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:46 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:46 pm

NAM isnt in range to handle this well yet obviously, its getting more amplified every run hinting that its beginning to catch on to the dynamics more but by tomorrow night it'll be more useful.
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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:48 pm

@ Snow and NJ - Yes and Yes, I agree with both of you lol Might be good mo-jo though Laughing Laughing Laughing

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Post by Joe Snow Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:23 am

Where will this storm rank????


http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/rsi/nesis
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:24 am

I love jet streaks. The H250/150KT jet streak is located north of the surface low on the 18z GFS. Dynamics!

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 2 Gfs_uv250_namer_19

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Post by Biggin23 Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:24 am

GFS initializing? Should have another run to digest in about 30 mins!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:24 am

Anyone know the TWC name of this winter storm? It's important for contest purposes.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:27 am

It's already been mentioned but the 00z NAM shows an incredible trough loaded with upper energy. 00z GFS coming out soon.

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 2 US500mb0084

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Post by Joe Snow Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:28 am

Ajax, Bella, Cara, Delphi, Echo are the first 5
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Post by amugs Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:28 am

That is a great map Frank of the dynamics = jet streak so important for this storm and snow! Very Happy

T minus 3 minutes till...........................

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Post by amugs Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:30 am

I have 6 tabs open right now !!

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:30 am

Joe Snow wrote:Ajax, Bella, Cara, Delphi, Echo are the first 5

So the next name begins with F? Wow there hasn't been many winter storms across the nation has there haha

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Post by chief7 Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:32 am

Ok boys time to buckle up for the next 3 hours

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:32 am

no frank there has we already had goliath. I tried to look on their site but couldnt find a checked off list.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:32 am

00z gfs looks awful. Crap. 











I hope you're awake! Kidding!

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Post by billg315 Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:33 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Anyone know the TWC name of this winter storm? It's important for contest purposes.

I think they haven't named it yet but I believe Ilias is the next name so that's what it shall be
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Post by SoulSingMG Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:33 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
Joe Snow wrote:Ajax, Bella, Cara, Delphi, Echo are the first 5

So the next name begins with F? Wow there hasn't been many winter storms across the nation has there haha

I believe their last named storm was Herra, so the next name up is Ilias.
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Post by amugs Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:34 am

HERE WE GO 0Z GFS HAS BEGUN

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:34 am

Hour 15 the PAC energy is stronger.

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Post by SoulSingMG Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:34 am

Frank_Wx wrote:00z gfs looks awful. Crap. 











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Jerk! Lol. My stomach literally just fell to the floor.
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Post by RJB8525 Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:34 am

I thought they named a system Hera in early Jan, if so it would be ilias
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Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:35 am

chief7 wrote:Ok boys time to buckle up for the next 3 hours
I'm only staying up for the GFS. Have to get up early for work so I need to see another prolific run!
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:36 am

Hour 21 differences are negligible compared to 18z

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Post by chief7 Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:37 am

I hear your brother I got to get up at 5:30

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Post by amugs Tue Jan 19, 2016 12:37 am

HR 24 LOOKING GOOD

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