Roidzilla Storm Mode - January 23, 2016 Updated Final Call

Sounds like you've got a full day ahead of you skins. Being Saturday will that all be OT?That would be sweet.

Still very sharp cutoffs on that run right? That makes me think of how lucky we are. Cutoffs could easily be 50 miles south, and were on other models, right?

Artechmetals wrote:Did you say euro caved?

Yep Caved............Historic.

I'm hearing that since it's going to be hugging the coast mixing issue will now happen? I hope not

petep1000 wrote:All right CP. at least I know where I stand. I'll just be a "senior" member.....

57, that's all? I can't remember that far back! Welcome aboard!!!

GreyBeard wrote:Sounds like you've got a full day ahead of you skins. Being Saturday will that all be OT?That would be sweet.

Yeah it's all OT white gold has come thank you snow Gods. I will probably be their until Monday we are a small crew at dpw

If anyone is up how does the storm look radar wise and is when can we expect the worse

Good morning, just woke up by the wife fell aaslep on the couch lol, its really coming down sideways at times, no idea how much nbecause of the wind but a decent amount. NWS backed off on their totals dropping the 18-24 down outh of NYC and the 12-18 back into city, huh?

Wow they keep increasing things! At least for me yesterday winds were at 30mph gusts now up to 55mph, 15-20 higher amounts still great.

...NOR`EASTER TO IMPACT THE AREA TODAY INTO TONIGHT...

NJZ006-105>108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-232300-
/O.CON.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160124T1200Z/
HUDSON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
400 AM EST SAT JAN 23 2016

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND IN NEW YORK.
HUDSON...ESSEX AND UNION COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW ALONG WITH STRONG AND POTENTIALLY
DAMAGING WINDS. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR ZERO
VISIBILITIES EXPECTED SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AND INTO THE EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 15 TO 20 INCHES. LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. LESSER AMOUNTS OVER THE FORKS REGION OF
LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.
ISOLATED HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* VISIBILITIES...NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL DUE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL AND
STRONG WINDS WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS LIKELY. SECONDARY AND
TERTIARY ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN
POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS.

Looking at the radar I see a dry slot forming over the southern DelMarVa. Whoever eventually gets stuck under that may get lower totals. Some of that dry zone may fill in though as the moisture wraps in tight from behind the storm.

billg315 wrote:Looking at the radar I see a dry slot forming over the southern DelMarVa. Whoever eventually gets stuck under that may get lower totals. Some of that dry zone may fill in though as the moisture wraps in tight from behind the storm.

You are absolutely correct. Took a look at the 24hr HRRRx, and shows the 700mb low getting to far north and dry slotting Phi, SNJ. Based off Meso-Any it seems likely to be correct(Also shows another 1.5-2.5" precip for those outside it).

Ryan, do you think that dry slot affects central NJ at all or stays south?

billg315 wrote:Ryan, do you think that dry slot affects central NJ at all or stays south?

Primary effect the Delmarva and extreme southern NJ(ie Cape May County). Surprisingly the HRRR and the 24hr has been uncannily consistent with that and keeping the R/S line south of Toms River in the Beachwood area. Really great stuff from this model the past day. Most of the time it waivers back and fourth.

Got it. I think the dry slot location is going to be even more critical because I don't see this storm lasting as long as originally it was projected.

These coastal storms usually want to speed up once they get going.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

petep1000 wrote:Am I officially the oldest on the board. I think I have CP beat by a few years. Is there anyone else older??????

Damn no, Docstox has you beat and you could be oldtimers kid. I think Dodgis is also early 60's.

Me, too, but don't post much.

Can't get the age to show on the left there by the avatar, but it's 62.

GreyBeard wrote:Anybody drinking  a Celebratorial beverage in honor of our good fortune? The old guys are the only ones up.I'm 63.Sorry wwmom you're hanging tough too

No drink, not with my meds, but I did buy Nutella on Thursday.

Let the young ones stay up late, we oldtimers wake up when they're crawling into bed. LOL

Belford NJ check in. Really hard to tell how much snow came down cause of the blowing snow but if I had to guess I'd say maybe 6 inches or so. Wind is starting to howl a bit and the snow seems to be getting harder the last 30 minutes.

Everyone post in Observations thread