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Fellow NJ-NY-PA-CT Weather Enthusiasts

First Arctic Blast of the season expected the 1st week of DEC
Monitoring the possibility of widespread snowfall NOV 27th - DEC 7th

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations

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*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 Empty Re: *Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations

Post by Sparky Sparticles Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:10 am

Woke up at 5:30 to about 2 inches of snow on the ground and rain hitting my windows. The WU page is telling me:

Expect occasional mixed precipitation to continue for the next several hours.

About 5:45am it changed back to snow.

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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:11 am

I'm taking a brief nap. I'll get up at 7/7:15 when it's daylight and I can better assess what is going on outside my window. By then the heavier bands should be here.

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Post by devsman Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:17 am

Sleet here South shore of li for last hour.bout2 to 3 inches of snow. Really sad to see snow go.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:18 am

sroc4 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Good morning boys and girls

Went to sleep at 1  with a half inch on the ground just took the first measurement and its 6.5 inches so far, that's a sold pace for 5 hours.

21.2 degrees so my only fear now is the F'n mid levels. Hold the line NJ.

This is your storm Cp

Thanks Scott, I'm hoping I can share in it with as many as possible and praying I don't go to sleet at some point.

Seems we still can't get that elusive storm where everyone on here celebrates. Those are rare I guess, we cover a big area.
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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:18 am

sroc4 wrote:
aiannone wrote:OUCH.....
*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 Captur10

Yeah well I'm already over an inch so ..BUST Bill Evans!!!

I think they panicked when they saw the mixing, I already have 5" and there are reports of 6" in Bergen County....

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Guest Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:23 am

Saw sroc post so figured I would too. 5" here just heard my first sleet mixed in. If this is it biggest bust ever. I mean it's only 6:20. That's 6 hours ahead of schedule for any mixing

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Post by Quietace Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:25 am

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 Untitl11
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Post by Guest Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:26 am

Hmmmmm. I've seen that low placement before on one of the models. Let me think?

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Post by Quietace Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:28 am

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 Untitl11
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:31 am

syosnow94 wrote:Hmmmmm. I've seen that low placement before on one of the models. Let me think?  

Yep all the wishcasters mocked the NAM and here it is leading the pack again. When will they learn.
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Post by sroc4 Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:32 am

Quietace wrote:*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 Untitl11

Disagree. Pressure falls pointing out to see. Track should be just off the coast. 500mb still may bump this east a bit

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 500mb_10
*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 Pmsl10

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"   WINTER 2024/2025 TOTALS 0.00
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:32 am

Got some rest woke to all snow, but its not super heavy, def not crazy rates, but I see the heaviest is just working into the area, that R/S line is ever so close hopefully it can stay south of me. I would say a inch or two maybe, how places at same latitude have 5 or so I do not get. I am not sure to be downed or happy with what I am seeing.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:34 am

on second look its a few inches maybe 3. ard tell it is blowing but winds are light.
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Post by Quietace Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:34 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Hmmmmm. I've seen that low placement before on one of the models. Let me think?  

Yep all the wishcasters mocked the NAM and here it is leading the pack again. When will they learn.
When you have convective elements in a coastal system it isn't the best idea to throw out a convective allowing model. The convective feedback that global models suffered from in early stages was not ever present on mesoscale higher resolution guidance such as the RGEM or any of the NAMS.
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Post by obsessedwithweather Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:36 am

Here in smithtown - are winds still a real concern?

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Post by Quietace Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:37 am

sroc4 wrote:
Quietace wrote:*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 Untitl11

Disagree.  Pressure falls pointing out to see.  Track should be just off the coast.  500mb still may bump this east a bit

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 500mb_10
*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 Pmsl10
It is going to go within 25 miles of ACY then head NNE from there splitting LI.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:37 am

7.2 inches here.

about 1.5 inches an hour right now. 21.2 and heavy snow. Hoping the R/S line starts moving in the other direction. Storms this big usually make their own decisions.
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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:41 am

HOT DAMN! And it's STALLED!!!

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 1-310

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Post by Quietace Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:42 am

Yikes,
*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 DIX.N0C.20170314.1037

Have to watch, with the 850, 925mb low getting this WNW, the city may have to watch for a change to full rain before the lull.
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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:42 am

R/S moving north of LIE

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Post by sroc4 Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:42 am

aiannone wrote:HOT DAMN! And it's STALLED!!!

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 1-310

Get yours Alex!!!  If you get that Roidzilla number you better post pictures


Last edited by sroc4 on Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:48 am; edited 1 time in total

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"   WINTER 2024/2025 TOTALS 0.00
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by Radz Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:43 am

5.5" and 26.4°
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Post by sroc4 Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:44 am

Quietace wrote:Yikes,
*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 DIX.N0C.20170314.1037

Have to watch, with the 850, 925mb low getting this WNW, the city may have to watch for a change to full rain before the lull.



Ewwww

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"   WINTER 2024/2025 TOTALS 0.00
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by jimv45 Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:45 am

8 in Hopewell jct heavy snow at 23 forecast here around 18 to 24 but the word sleet is now in my forecast.

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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:45 am

sroc4 wrote:
aiannone wrote:HOT DAMN! And it's STALLED!!!

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 1-310

Get yours Alex!!!  If you get that Roidzilla number you better post pictures
Ohh I will!

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Post by mmanisca Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:46 am

30 degrees here in Deer Park with rain and sleet. 2.5 inches in the ground. Sad day here on Long Island, you inland folks enjoy your storm, you've had to watch us take the trophy many times so I'm happy for you all!
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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 14, 2017 6:47 am

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 21 Captur11

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