Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

by **billg315** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:05 am

I don’t know. I sense heavy snow from interior NJ to the LHV and pouring RAIN on Long Island. Haha. Laughing

j/k

by **amugs** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:12 am

docstox12 wrote:NWS has us pretty much all snow for this one.It's a warm storm.Could be where we catch up to the shore and Island folks a bit.

Also, Goldberg calls for a "January Thaw" mid month.

Yes of course he would he is a warmisist.Did he call the cold snap? Most likely not. I am surprised Mike isn't harping in this in here.
Every cold snap has had a snap back 1993-94, 77-77,95-96, so it will thaw. Is it 50* or 40* for the thaw we wil see.

by **billg315** Thu Jan 04, 2018 1:05 pm

While everyone’s eyes are out their window, I’m looking at Monday night and seeing a possibly nightmarish setup for North Jersey. Snow changing to an extended period of sleet or worse, freezing rain. Could make Tuesday AM commute a mess.

by **amugs** Thu Jan 04, 2018 1:13 pm

billg315 wrote:While everyone’s eyes are out their window, I’m looking at Monday night and seeing a possibly nightmarish setup for North Jersey. Snow changing to an extended period of sleet or worse, freezing rain. Could make Tuesday AM commute a mess.

Bill absolutely. The snowpack will have summing to say about this

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 04, 2018 4:04 pm

will there be same issues ice outside city?

by **aiannone** Thu Jan 04, 2018 4:11 pm

Euro and GFS keep all snow down to NYC AND LI Monday. Verbatim those runs looked similar and about 3-5”

by **billg315** Thu Jan 04, 2018 4:18 pm

In North Jersey it appears that there is an extended period of mixed precipitation Monday evening, maybe freezing rain, but then it goes back to snow before daybreak Tuesday. I'm thinking with the snowpack and arctic temps this weekend it will be hard to dislodge the cold air at the surface which means the odds of a changeover to plain rain are not good. That tells me most people (north of say a line from Trenton NJ to Belmar NJ) stay in frozen precip one way or another. Snow, would be preferable. On many levels.

by **RJB8525** Thu Jan 04, 2018 5:50 pm

anything good for us north westerners?

by **billg315** Thu Jan 04, 2018 5:55 pm

RJB8525 wrote:anything good for us north westerners?

You also appear to go over to mix then back to snow. But I’d think you stand a better chance of all snow since you’re further NW and higher elevation.

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:57 pm

Are we REALLY about to go through a repeat of this week to start next week? I can't handle another week of this. I'm extrapolating forecast maps WHILE I SLEEP at this point.......Hello, everybody. My name is Ray, and I think have an addiction. We need a F.A. group - Forecasters Anonymous lmfaoooo

by **docstox12** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:04 pm

rb924119 wrote:Are we REALLY about to go through a repeat of this week to start next week? I can't handle another week of this. I'm extrapolating forecast maps WHILE I SLEEP at this point.......Hello, everybody. My name is Ray, and I think have an addiction. We need a F.A. group - Forecasters Anonymous lmfaoooo

Ray...FYI....we have just such a program at the OTI Sanitarium.Look me up, I'm the Director.

by **docstox12** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:05 pm

billg315 wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:anything good for us north westerners?

You also appear to go over to mix then back to snow. But I’d think you stand a better chance of all snow since you’re further NW and higher elevation.

Yep, I'm at 700 feet and expect all snow.

by **billg315** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:07 pm

rb924119 wrote:Are we REALLY about to go through a repeat of this week to start next week? I can't handle another week of this. I'm extrapolating forecast maps WHILE I SLEEP at this point.......Hello, everybody. My name is Ray, and I think have an addiction. We need a F.A. group - Forecasters Anonymous lmfaoooo

Lol. Sorry can’t help myself. As soon as one storm ends I look to see when the next is on the horizon. Actually in this case it was while it was still snowing.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:12 pm

All of the above posts, you are all very troubled people. I'm not sure I should be associating with any of you.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:18 pm

rb924119 wrote:Are we REALLY about to go through a repeat of this week to start next week? I can't handle another week of this. I'm extrapolating forecast maps WHILE I SLEEP at this point.......Hello, everybody. My name is Ray, and I think have an addiction. We need a F.A. group - Forecasters Anonymous lmfaoooo

You guys do great work though, and you can't leave us all out in the cold. Literally.

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:20 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:All of the above posts, you are all very troubled people. I'm not sure I should be associating with any of you.

Says the man whose screen name was formulated out of pure anger at a public entity because it cannot accurately measure precipitation and refuses to acknowledge his futile attempts at correction lmaoooo

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:21 pm

Another 3-6 Tues, oy, I need a bit more of a break, but that would put a big snow pack, this might be one those years it piles upo in feet. The it looks to get near 50s in the 10 day!!

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:22 pm

docstox12 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Are we REALLY about to go through a repeat of this week to start next week? I can't handle another week of this. I'm extrapolating forecast maps WHILE I SLEEP at this point.......Hello, everybody. My name is Ray, and I think have an addiction. We need a F.A. group - Forecasters Anonymous lmfaoooo

Ray...FYI....we have just such a program at the OTI Sanitarium.Look me up, I'm the Director.

I may not have any other option after looking at the upcoming pattern that's progged about 112 hours from now lol

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:23 pm

billg315 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Are we REALLY about to go through a repeat of this week to start next week? I can't handle another week of this. I'm extrapolating forecast maps WHILE I SLEEP at this point.......Hello, everybody. My name is Ray, and I think have an addiction. We need a F.A. group - Forecasters Anonymous lmfaoooo

Lol. Sorry can’t help myself. As soon as one storm ends I look to see when the next is on the horizon. Actually in this case it was while it was still snowing.

You aren't alone buddy, which is what led to my previous exasperated post ahaha

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:25 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Another 3-6 Tues, oy, I need a bit more of a break, but that would put a big snow pack, this might be one those years it piles upo in feet. The it looks to get near 50s in the 10 day!!

Might be more than that at my quick glance. If I have some sort of voice tomorrow I may try another video. If not, well, I guess I'll just have to post as a I go lol

And thank you, CP!!

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:27 pm

rb924119 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Another 3-6 Tues, oy, I need a bit more of a break, but that would put a big snow pack, this might be one those years it piles upo in feet. The it looks to get near 50s in the 10 day!!

Might be more than that at my quick glance. If I have some sort of voice tomorrow I may try another video. If not, well, I guess I'll just have to post as a I go lol

I know surface usually does not respond far out but I see no storm over us at all in 10 day, when is the time frame? And when do you expect a storm to start showing?

by **billg315** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:45 pm

I’m probably oversimplifying Jman, but energy will move onshore in the Pacific Northwest tomorrow night and dive South this weekend. The low will pick up some gulf moisture and start moving toward the mid-Atlantic from the Tennessee valley at the same time some cold air is diving south with a wave from central Canada. These systems will arrive here late Monday into Tuesday. What happens then, is the question.

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:53 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Another 3-6 Tues, oy, I need a bit more of a break, but that would put a big snow pack, this might be one those years it piles upo in feet. The it looks to get near 50s in the 10 day!!

Might be more than that at my quick glance. If I have some sort of voice tomorrow I may try another video. If not, well, I guess I'll just have to post as a I go lol
I know surface usually does not respond far out but I see no storm over us at all in 10 day, when is the time frame? And when do you expect a storm to start showing?

Tuesday-Wednesday of this coming week.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:56 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Another 3-6 Tues, oy, I need a bit more of a break, but that would put a big snow pack, this might be one those years it piles upo in feet. The it looks to get near 50s in the 10 day!!

I don't see any day above 40 on the 15 day. Where are you seeing 50's?

by **amugs** Thu Jan 04, 2018 9:01 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Another 3-6 Tues, oy, I need a bit more of a break, but that would put a big snow pack, this might be one those years it piles upo in feet. The it looks to get near 50s in the 10 day!!

I don't see any day above 40 on the 15 day. Where are you seeing 50's?

Math23x7 took over his computer LOL.

by **sroc4** Thu Jan 04, 2018 9:02 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Another 3-6 Tues, oy, I need a bit more of a break, but that would put a big snow pack, this might be one those years it piles upo in feet. The it looks to get near 50s in the 10 day!!

Might be more than that at my quick glance. If I have some sort of voice tomorrow I may try another video. If not, well, I guess I'll just have to post as a I go lol
I know surface usually does not respond far out but I see no storm over us at all in 10 day, when is the time frame? And when do you expect a storm to start showing?

There is def an overrunning event already showing up Jman.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 04, 2018 9:34 pm

amugs wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Another 3-6 Tues, oy, I need a bit more of a break, but that would put a big snow pack, this might be one those years it piles upo in feet. The it looks to get near 50s in the 10 day!!

I don't see any day above 40 on the 15 day. Where are you seeing 50's?
Math23x7 took over his computer LOL.

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