Re: January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:46 pm

Is that with ratios or without?

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:49 pm

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 8 Hrdps_10

Damn, I'm suckered back in again. At this stage I have no idea what to expect in the morning. It will be a restless night.

by **Math23x7** Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:51 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

Damn, I'm suckered back in again. At this stage I have no idea what to expect in the morning. It will be a restless night.

by **Taffy** Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:52 pm

I just started with the finest traces of snow. I had to go outside to verify what I was seeing.

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:55 pm

Wow and thats 10:1!!! So thats 11.25 to 15 with 15:1 ratios for NYC and southern WC, LI sees near 2 feet!!

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 8 Hrdps_11

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 8 Hrdps_11

by Guest Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:56 pm

Scullybutcher wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:My eye sees 1-2” per hour exploding off jersey shore moving north. 22 degrees here will drop into the teens as it Starts to snow. I wouldn’t be surprised to see all WSWA and BW counties in coastal NJ Nd LI to have 3-5” by sun up at 6:00 am

The temps will rise when it starts to snow. Rising now I’m at 24*

Respectfully disagree. Temps will drop with the dew points so low. They almost always do with the onset of precip. Evaporation also cooling.

CP. you will get 6”. Radar looks awesome.

I’ll be up at 3:00 to check in. That last model has me at 1.25”. Close to 18” snow. Let’s all hope

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 03, 2018 11:57 pm

Math23x7 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

Damn, I'm suckered back in again. At this stage I have no idea what to expect in the morning. It will be a restless night.

LOL, great episode.

by **Math23x7** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:00 am

For much of the night, I have been able to see the moon. But I can see the thicker clouds rolling in. I sure hope Manhattan gets the good snow out of this.....

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:01 am

syosnow94 wrote:
Scullybutcher wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:My eye sees 1-2” per hour exploding off jersey shore moving north. 22 degrees here will drop into the teens as it Starts to snow. I wouldn’t be surprised to see all WSWA and BW counties in coastal NJ Nd LI to have 3-5” by sun up at 6:00 am

The temps will rise when it starts to snow. Rising now I’m at 24*

Respectfully disagree. Temps will drop with the dew points so low. They almost always do with the onset of precip. Evaporation also cooling.

CP. you will get 6”. Radar looks awesome.

I’ll be up at 3:00 to check in. That last model has me at 1.25”. Close to 18” snow. Let’s all hope

It could be anything from 2-12 for me. I'm right on that battle zone, it will probably take, .5-.6 LE which the latest RGEM has me in, to get me to 10", definitely not out of the question but not expecting it either. 16 degrees right now.

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:03 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
Scullybutcher wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:My eye sees 1-2” per hour exploding off jersey shore moving north. 22 degrees here will drop into the teens as it Starts to snow. I wouldn’t be surprised to see all WSWA and BW counties in coastal NJ Nd LI to have 3-5” by sun up at 6:00 am

The temps will rise when it starts to snow. Rising now I’m at 24*

Respectfully disagree. Temps will drop with the dew points so low. They almost always do with the onset of precip. Evaporation also cooling.

CP. you will get 6”. Radar looks awesome.

I’ll be up at 3:00 to check in. That last model has me at 1.25”. Close to 18” snow. Let’s all hope

It could be anything from 2-12 for me. I'm right on that battle zone, it will probably take, .5-.6 LE which the latest RGEM has me in, to get me to 10", definitely not out of the question but not expecting it either. 16 degrees right now.

hey you were hope for a few inches other day as was I!!!

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:06 am

Any updates on real time? Come on no ones staying up? Frank ur working from home you should be up LOL

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:07 am

UKIE JUST CRUSHED US.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:07 am

jmanley32 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
Scullybutcher wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:My eye sees 1-2” per hour exploding off jersey shore moving north. 22 degrees here will drop into the teens as it Starts to snow. I wouldn’t be surprised to see all WSWA and BW counties in coastal NJ Nd LI to have 3-5” by sun up at 6:00 am

The temps will rise when it starts to snow. Rising now I’m at 24*

Respectfully disagree. Temps will drop with the dew points so low. They almost always do with the onset of precip. Evaporation also cooling.

CP. you will get 6”. Radar looks awesome.

I’ll be up at 3:00 to check in. That last model has me at 1.25”. Close to 18” snow. Let’s all hope

It could be anything from 2-12 for me. I'm right on that battle zone, it will probably take, .5-.6 LE which the latest RGEM has me in, to get me to 10", definitely not out of the question but not expecting it either. 16 degrees right now.
hey you were hope for a few inches other day as was I!!!

Yep, can't be greedy that's when everything falls part. Going to bed expecting 2-4 but hoping for a nice surprise. It will be interesting just hopefully not disappointing. Good luck to all, I'm done for the night.

by **Scullybutcher** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:09 am

To me it looks like she’s coming straight north

by **Taffy** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:15 am

Snow is really falling now. Fine and light but coming down at a good pace.

by **Scullybutcher** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:17 am

Now let’s pray the storm doesn’t make the crazy move to the east that’s was forecasted by some models

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:28 am

Wow. Just looking at radar and it seems a band is already moving into Long Island...

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:29 am

Here is a closeup of the hi-res rgem, i found it finally on wxbell, nyc is actually 1.0 qpf so if this is right looking at 10-15! same to the north and wow LI congrats if this plays out!

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 8 Hrdps_12

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 8 Hrdps_12

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:31 am

Hmmm...

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 8 C7badc10

by **Scullybutcher** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:32 am

SoulSingMG wrote:Wow. Just looking at radar and it seems a band is already moving into Long Island...

I waiting for it. Can’t sleep till I see snow fall

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:34 am

Ukie is almost identical to hi res rgem for NYC sweet, maybe we can push a foot!

by **2004blackwrx** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:36 am

Math love the seinfield reference. Lets keep the west trend. I miss the storms of my youth when it would snow n&w of city and city would get a foot before change over. Def climate change.

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:38 am

Wow the radar is very impressive, well west and where is the main low now and wich way is it moving. BTW one thing I noted the winds on the hi res rgem are coming from the NW, I think it was Al (BTW where heck is he? He has not been on since yesterday morning, and this is looking great) Anyways al mentioned at the big windstorm we had last feb, that when winds come from the NW it seems to pan out, now I know this is a bit diff cuz the wind is going to be coming from the LP intensifying but its worth mentioning unless its going to change directions.

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:41 am

SoulSingMG wrote:Wow. Just looking at radar and it seems a band is already moving into Long Island...

It’s confirmed. Snow now falling in Nassau County on LI. The signature of this puppy on radar is unbelievable.

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:44 am

SoulSingMG wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:Wow. Just looking at radar and it seems a band is already moving into Long Island...

It’s confirmed. Snow now falling in Nassau County on LI. The signature of this puppy on radar is unbelievable.

Soul u think we might be upgraded to blizzard warnings, I read the LI one and its nearly identical to our WSW, no mention of 35mph sustained just says 50mph gusts just like ours does.

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:50 am

jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:Wow. Just looking at radar and it seems a band is already moving into Long Island...

It’s confirmed. Snow now falling in Nassau County on LI. The signature of this puppy on radar is unbelievable.
Soul u think we might be upgraded to blizzard warnings, I read the LI one and its nearly identical to our WSW, no mention of 35mph sustained just says 50mph gusts just like ours does.

I don’t think so up in Westchester where we are. Furthest west I see it going is Queens/Bkln. Remember, we would need all the parameters to meet a blizzard, including *sustained winds of 35mph for > 3 hrs.

by **Scullybutcher** Thu Jan 04, 2018 12:50 am

Snowing here and it’s 28*

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