Re: January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations

by larryrock72 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:09 am

almost whiteout conditions IMBY.....LOL.......Can't wait to shovel later

by **mmanisca** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:10 am

Just got in from Some Snowblowing (more for fun). 7" and 25 degrees here in Deer Park Long Island.

by **Joe Snow** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:11 am

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 20 1-4-1811

Current Radar - Islip Airport at 7" already

by larryrock72 Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:12 am

senjsnowman.....I think your right. I was saying 12-18 but I could be low on the 12 side. Your only what 10 miles north of me and yes snow rates are insane...Def 2-3 per hr.

by **amugs** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:15 am

Here come the death bands peeps wow

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 20 5a4e443a3e441_radar1-41008AM.gif.6a21021678f29b62b102abb0b70ea197

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 20 5a4e443a3e441_radar1-41008AM.gif.6a21021678f29b62b102abb0b70ea197

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:16 am

The 700mb low is nicely stacked with the 500mb low. Some models, aka globals, were shooting the 700mb low east which is why most of the heavier precip remained off the coast.

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 20 700mb

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 20 700mb

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 20 7fnt

Central and eastern LI are going to see snow amounts surpass 18 inches with this look. 700mb frontogenesis will produce snowfall rates of 3-4"/hour which is why the NWS circled this area in their last meso discussion.

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 20 300mb_sf

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 20 300mb_sf

The UL jet engulfs the entire storms. It extends as far west as Lake Ontario. I strongly believe this is one reason the SLP is taking a track resembling what the Hi-Res NAM was showing.

This will be a Godzilla storm for coastal NJ into Long Island. At this rate it's also possible NYC will see double digit snowfall amounts. We'll see how this look an hour or so from now.

by **docstox12** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:16 am

Joe Snow wrote:

Current Radar - Islip Airport at 7" already

CP, we are just barely under that band,lol.Ripping good now.Screw NWS, it's a blizzard here.

by **amugs** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:17 am

Still.moderate blowing snow here, don't know how I.am going to measure this

by **mmanisca** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:19 am

Frank_Wx wrote:The 700mb low is nicely stacked with the 500mb low. Some models, aka globals, were shooting the 700mb low east which is why most of the heavier precip remained off the coast.

Central and eastern LI are going to see snow amounts surpass 18 inches with this look. 700mb frontogenesis will produce snowfall rates of 3-4"/hour which is why the NWS circled this area in their last meso discussion.

The UL jet engulfs the entire storms. It extends as far west as Lake Ontario. I strongly believe this is one reason the SLP is taking a track resembling what the Hi-Res NAM was showing.

This will be a Godzilla storm for coastal NJ into Long Island. At this rate it's also possible NYC will see double digit snowfall amounts. We'll see how this look an hour or so from now.

Frank maybe the only thing stopping Godzilla here on the Island is the fast movement of the system

by **jimv45** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:20 am

Yea docs it ripping here in Hopewell Jct, if this keeps up may top 6

by **hyde345** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:21 am

20* with heavy snow and wind in Hyde park.

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:22 am

jimv45 wrote:Rb just an inch here but thinking this will go until around 300 and should get 3-6. What time do you think this ends up here? radar looks good.

Oh, ok aha I thought you were well ahead of me and I was about to cry lol This place is a snow hole as it is, anyway :/ Probably mid-afternoon, like 2-4ish? I haven't been following details too closely since I didn't put out a forecast.

by **RJB8525** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:22 am

Cuomo is talking about how NY basically made it's own weather model..lol

by **Scullybutcher** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:23 am

26 degrees and absolutely ripping outside. Can’t see 100 yards

by **docstox12** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:26 am

RJB8525 wrote:Cuomo is talking about how NY basically made it's own weather model..lol

Yeah, the TAS weather model....Tax and Spend

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:27 am

rb924119 wrote:
jimv45 wrote:Rb just an inch here but thinking this will go until around 300 and should get 3-6. What time do you think this ends up here? radar looks good.

Oh, ok aha I thought you were well ahead of me and I was about to cry lol This place is a snow hole as it is, anyway :/ Probably mid-afternoon, like 2-4ish? I haven't been following details too closely since I didn't put out a forecast.

Geez you had 26 inches in Fishkill in the blizzard last March. How quickly we forget.

by **aiannone** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:27 am

Ronkonkoma, LI. Currently a whiteout Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 20 98634e10

by **Scullybutcher** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:27 am

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:27 am

docstox12 wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:Cuomo is talking about how NY basically made it's own weather model..lol

Yeah, the TAS weather model....Tax and Spend

so true

by **billg315** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:29 am

docstox12 wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:Cuomo is talking about how NY basically made it's own weather model..lol

Yeah, the TAS weather model....Tax and Spend

Lmao!

by yorkseer Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:30 am

I am in E. Hampton about 2 miles south of Sag Harbor. Have whiteout conditions every few minutes. Hard to measure cause of the drifting. Averaged about 7" on my rear deck and really coming down. Temp has dropped to 27 from earlier 31 degree reading.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:31 am

Madonne! Incoming!

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:31 am

Really coming down people giving up driving and parking where they can on my street. My wife made it into work, her CEO cares more about money than anyones safety. The wind snapped a wood sign in half for a candidate I didn't like outside my building LOL flew away so fast I dunno where it went, hopefully not my car.

by **Joe Snow** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:32 am

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 20 1-4-1812

Heavy Snow warning From Delaware To Vermont Very Rare to see that

by **Dunnzoo** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:32 am

2" so far here for me and mugs... waiting for the band to see what kind of hourly rate we get.

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:33 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Madonne! Incoming!

Wow I am in the bullseye of that top yelllow part incoming is right!! A ton of thinder snow over CT, eastern LI, RI and mass. Like nearly 50 strikes wow.

by **billg315** Thu Jan 04, 2018 10:33 am

I’m not getting the costal/LI blizzard but sure can’t complain of this view from my porch:
Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 20 0e83ac10

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 20 0e83ac10

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