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Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm

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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:47 pm

amugs wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:@crankywxguy's final call. When he isn't on board, I'm like half on board at most. :-/ Sometimes I wish I never found him lol

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 C5034110

READ WHY he feels this way:

http://www.stormhamster.com/entry/e031918.htm

Soul do yourself a favor STOP following him!! I did for a while and when he poo pooed the 3 major hcanes until it was too late spoke volumes. He has a name cranky for a reason. He also poo pooed the blizzard last year and the Jan 4th storm this year. Choice is yours man.

Listen, I've thought about it a lot lately, believe me. He's taking the joy out of my weather obsession! Lol.

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Post by Smittyaj623 Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:47 pm

I just don’t want another coastal mess, haven’t had a real good one all season really, except very early. Lets all go out with a BOOM!
us coasties can get a big boom?

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Post by amugs Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:48 pm

UKIE

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 P1_GZ_D5_PN_060_0000

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:49 pm

amugs wrote:UKIE

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 P1_GZ_D5_PN_060_0000

This is really getting fun quickly.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:50 pm

I have a question....is anyone working? told ya told ya
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Post by amugs Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:50 pm

Look at the LP - inside teh BM - and it stalls!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 Image.png.1b5fce66cc47ec2df81ec3c8caac2d0a


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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:52 pm

amugs wrote:Look at the LP - inside teh BM - and it stalls!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 Image.png.1b5fce66cc47ec2df81ec3c8caac2d0a


The stalling low (Thing 2) seems a common feature on all models at this point. This is a good thing.
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Post by RJB8525 Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:56 pm

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 20180310
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:57 pm

amugs wrote:Look at the LP - inside teh BM - and it stalls!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 Image.png.1b5fce66cc47ec2df81ec3c8caac2d0a


now that is exciting!!
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Post by amugs Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:57 pm

Crushed in this 6 hour timeframe by UKIE

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 5aafeb313bf0b_UKMET60hr.gif.ab13b16b22f042da492ee795953f1f4a


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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:57 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:I have a question....is anyone working? told ya told ya

Good question, it's tax season and I couldn't be busier than I am right now and all I've done for three hours is check out this forum every three minutes. It's actually the main reason I try to keep my identity anonymous. Would you want your accountant doing this all day long? Personally I wouldn't and I'd fire the bastard if I knew.
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Post by amugs Mon Mar 19, 2018 1:58 pm

Okay for you following this dont let your guard down - we have an incredible pattern still at hand. I just showed what could be in the LR take a quick peek please.

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:04 pm

GEFS!!!!!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 5aafec1bc00f6

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 5aafeb8846937

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 5aafebad501fc

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Post by jimv45 Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:05 pm

Like Rb said more north and west! Here she comes.

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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:07 pm

This could be something special if these models are locking in.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:07 pm

Latest CMC. How concerned should I be?

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 Imagep15
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Post by jimv45 Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:08 pm

Not to much cp, like where this is headed so far.

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Post by amugs Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:09 pm

UKIE QPF - UMMM!
We need a bigger...........SNOWBLOWER!!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 Image.thumb.png.276b29e6d6d61132bfc5b37569fc7721

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:10 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Latest CMC. How concerned should I be?

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 Imagep15

FWIW I tend to focus less on precip accumulation maps and more on storm track and likely banding locations in these storms. So from my perspective, not very concerned.
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Post by amugs Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:11 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Latest CMC. How concerned should I be?

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 Imagep15

Don't be - lets see where Euro comes in - CMC outlier right now - saying the confluence to the North is resisting and now expanding the Western and norther flank - a 990/sub 990 hitting inside teh BM it will get NW of where it is and its own ENS doesn't agree with it.
Math will agree with it and more lOL!

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:12 pm

CLOSE UP OF UKIE!!!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 Image.png.f8d30dcfccda12e9cdaa6beeceb494b1

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WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by mwilli5783 Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:14 pm

the system in the west coast..could that be the next storm coming sunday?

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Post by nujerzeedevil Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:20 pm

amugs wrote:CLOSE UP OF UKIE!!!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 Image.png.f8d30dcfccda12e9cdaa6beeceb494b1

Am I completely misreading that map or is that a setup for something like 18" for immediate coastal NJ?!?!
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Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:22 pm

nujerzeedevil wrote:
amugs wrote:CLOSE UP OF UKIE!!!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 Image.png.f8d30dcfccda12e9cdaa6beeceb494b1

Am I completely misreading that map or is that a setup for something like 18" for immediate coastal NJ?!?!

At a 10:1 ratio...yes. It wont be 10:1 though.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"   WINTER 2024/2025 TOTALS 0.00
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by nujerzeedevil Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:27 pm

sroc4 wrote:
nujerzeedevil wrote:
amugs wrote:CLOSE UP OF UKIE!!!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 Image.png.f8d30dcfccda12e9cdaa6beeceb494b1

Am I completely misreading that map or is that a setup for something like 18" for immediate coastal NJ?!?!

At a 10:1 ratio...yes.  It wont be 10:1 though.

Gotcha sroc, thanks for the clarification. I'll still sign up for that right now though bananadude
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:46 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:I have a question....is anyone working? told ya told ya

Good question, it's tax season and I couldn't be busier than I am right now and all I've done for three hours is check out this forum every three minutes. It's actually the main reason I try to keep my identity anonymous. Would you want your accountant doing this all day long? Personally I wouldn't and I'd fire the bastard if I knew.
ha ha....brother and dad cpa's....
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 19, 2018 2:49 pm

RJB8525 wrote:Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 17 20180310

This is the "I have no clue what's going on" map

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