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Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm

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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:39 pm

Hi-Res is colder, hits our area for the 1st wave too

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:39 pm

ouch Frank not what I wanted to hear, I should not have let this one rope me in again just go be a pelting sleet, I wonder if we will see any snow.

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Post by amugs Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:40 pm

Good night peeps. NAM just sealed the deal for me tonight.
Oh and no rest or the weary if you peeped in the LR.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Guest Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:40 pm

#fakenews on the sleet. I’m not concerned. Even if half the storm is sleet I’ll still eek out 6-8” which town here in springtime is awesome

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:41 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
amugs wrote:NAM!!!

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 26 2018-03-19_22-26-07.jpg.9e14452a4508c581541223e46f82853e

If that map verified as Snow you me and Doc are celebrating on Friday. To hell with taxes.
Yet you win again CP, I bow to you lol, still not to shbby here if it can stick, and you thought wasnt go reach up there, verbatim this hits all.

We shall see Jman, for now it's just a map.
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Post by Guest Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:42 pm

jmanley32 wrote:ouch Frank not what I wanted to hear, I should not have let this one rope me in again just go be a pelting sleet, I wonder if we will see any snow.
Mi may just facepalm every post you ever make again.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:42 pm

looks like 3km nam is a huge rain storm for wave 1 at least. Not good if we see heavy wet snow after for trees and saturated ground.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:42 pm

Hi res NAM is colder. Again, NAM is only model showing THIS much sleet. If the low is too tucked in then easterly winds would be an issue. But areas well N&W of NYC would get crushed. Most would benefit with a track just east of the BM to spread the love. 

We'll see what tomorrow brings. Night.

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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:43 pm

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 26 Captur70

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:44 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:ouch Frank not what I wanted to hear, I should not have let this one rope me in again just go be a pelting sleet, I wonder if we will see any snow.
Mi may just facepalm every post you ever make again.
I meant here, not everyone, we could see all sleet he even said yes to my question.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:47 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 26 Image.thumb.png.05aef9a4fafdfbf44a151b0aa3270621

The circle of life from this morning that was over Philly and CNJ now over NWNJ, NEPA and part of LHV.

It will shift again most likely I would guess a little south and east next time but that circle has been consistent, someone in it will get it good.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:47 pm

3km nam has a huge ice storm central NJ south up to .75 fzr yikes
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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:47 pm

I think the NAM bullseye is too far west and sleet maybe overdone for nyc and western/north shore LI. I expect everything on there to shift east a tad. Otherwise things looking good on it. I’m going to retire to my bed chamber for a long night’s slumber. Say g’night Bill. “G’night Bill.”
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Post by jimv45 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:49 pm

Rb was saying north and west are we done trending?

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:50 pm

precip types seperated 3km nam. little rain which is good, but that means a sheet of ice or sleet under the snow for all....

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 26 Hires_23
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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:51 pm

Hi-Res no sleet factored in here
Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 26 Captur71

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:53 pm

wow 3km nam, crush job for mopst, a good amount of sleet to start but alot of snow after.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:53 pm

aiannone wrote:Hi-Res no sleet factored in here
Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 26 Captur71
How do you know theres no sleet factored in vs the 12km?
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:55 pm

The 3K NAM shows a crippling ice and snowstorm. Devastation if true

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 26 Nam3km_asnow_neus_54

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:55 pm

If this is no sleet sweet baby!! Sign me up.

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 26 Hires_24
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 19, 2018 10:59 pm

Rgem tomorrow afternoon

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 26 Screenshot_20180319-225808.png.75786ca57a46b3a9dad26ac69a6e0da4

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:00 pm

3km is also gusting from 30-50mph for both events, wow
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Post by jimv45 Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:05 pm

Boy southern dutchess get well over a foot and the northern part a lot less boy going to be some fun tracking.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:05 pm

Rgem brings tear to my eye

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 26 Screenshot_20180319-230459.png.77a48b5fcb81f5c1017ae32ce4aadd3f

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Post by hyde345 Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:06 pm

Thats a really sharp cutoff in precip north of 84 on the 3k. Way to close for comfort for me.
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Post by Joe Snow Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:08 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Rgem brings tear to my eye

Winter's Finale: March 20th-21st Snowstorm - Page 26 Screenshot_20180319-230459.png.77a48b5fcb81f5c1017ae32ce4aadd3f

Long Island BOMB...................
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Post by jimv45 Mon Mar 19, 2018 11:08 pm

Yea Hyde I am just north of 84 on the nam its well over a foot for me but close.

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