Re: January 2020 Observations and Discussion

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Fri Jan 24, 2020 4:14 pm

docstox12 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
docstox12 wrote:CP, that map would be something you see in early May up there.If this isn't the bottom of the barrel, I don't know what is.Things HAVE to turn up from here.

Interesting Doc, but as I was looking through some stats and some operational runs and getting depressed this morning, I had almost the same thought. We have to be nearing or at the bottom of the barrel now don't we? It has to start improving soon, just based on the law of averages.

I am a big believer in reversions to the mean and from this low point, we have nowhere to go but up.Lot's of snowtime still left to let it happen.We have been hit hard in March in recent years so maybe then.This next weekend storm could thread the needle as well and blow up off the coast.As Tim Robbins said in "Shawshank", "hope is a good thing"!!! Not giving up until March 15th! Hold fast CP!!!

April 1st in the HV Doc. Been hammered many times in late March and even in Early April.

by **heehaw453** Sat Jan 25, 2020 7:46 am

End of January with heavy rain and 38.2. Models say 1.5" and that may be under doing it a bit IMBY. Rest of January will be devoid of any snowfall. Predict minimal snow for quite some time and you will probably be spot on.

by **billg315** Sat Jan 25, 2020 12:30 pm

46* with heavy rain. Chilly. Wet. That is all; over and out.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Jan 25, 2020 12:36 pm

46* with heavy rain..half an inch so far..winds 16 mph out of the south east...disgusting weather for January!!!

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Jan 25, 2020 3:30 pm

looks like it is clearing up..sun trying to come out. we are at 1.47 inches of rain and temp up to 50* and winds are calm

by **amugs** Sat Jan 25, 2020 4:48 pm

Sun came out for about 1/2 hour and gave me this as I came out of the gym:

January 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 10 20200125_155503.jpg.7d3c08c0a5576fff3551f01daa4adcf6

I have never in my life seen two full rainbows before together.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Jan 25, 2020 5:08 pm

Weird scary sky will try to post pictures

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Jan 25, 2020 5:38 pm

1.3" of rain today, had to dodge the rain at CitiField for fanfest. Thankful it was mostly indoors!

by **heehaw453** Sat Jan 25, 2020 5:44 pm

A solid 2" of rain IMBY. Impressive rates.

by **jmanley32** Sat Jan 25, 2020 6:24 pm

rain was nurs tons flooding of roads and low lying areas.

by **heehaw453** Thu Jan 30, 2020 7:42 am

14.5 was the low this morning. One of the rare mid teens this winter.

I must say January will not be missed. I'm not sure of IMBY AN, but +8 sounds reasonable. Quite amazing that I got 4.5" of snow during the month. Would think nothing more than T with those temperatures.

by **heehaw453** Fri Jan 31, 2020 8:42 am

Last day of January snow cover. As you can see only the highest elevations of Upstate NY and New England have decent depths.

That will be changing as a baroclinic zone sets up and waves of low pressure dumps on upstate NY and New England. Not sure we'll be able participate in that. But you never know.

January 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 10 Snowco12

by **sroc4** Fri Jan 31, 2020 9:01 am

heehaw453 wrote:Last day of January snow cover. As you can see only the highest elevations of Upstate NY and New England have decent depths.

That will be changing as a baroclinic zone sets up and waves of low pressure dumps on upstate NY and New England. Not sure we'll be able participate in that. But you never know.

by **1190ftalt** Fri Jan 31, 2020 7:32 pm

Just started lightly snowing in Stillwater Nj At 1190 feet altitude, a pleasant surprise!

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Jan 31, 2020 8:52 pm

1190ftalt wrote:Just started lightly snowing in Stillwater Nj At 1190 feet altitude, a pleasant surprise!

what nice surprise indeed..enjoy

by **dkodgis** Fri Jan 31, 2020 9:46 pm

31 degrees at 9:45 pm and yes, it is snowing here too. I have a coating. Still going. Surprise, surprise.

by **1190ftalt** Fri Jan 31, 2020 10:09 pm

Still lightly snowing 34 degrees, All Good !

January 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 10 E9cd8f10

January 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 10 1ceb9f10

Sticking a little bit!

by **Math23x7** Sat Feb 01, 2020 12:01 am

January 2020 in CPK finished at 39.1*, 6.5* above average and the warmest January since 2006.

by **heehaw453** Sat Feb 01, 2020 7:41 am

Math23x7 wrote:January 2020 in CPK finished at 39.1*, 6.5* above average and the warmest January since 2006.

thanks for that info. I would have said more like +8. Few cold days in the mix I guess kept it lower than I thought.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sat Feb 01, 2020 8:20 am

heehaw453 wrote:
Math23x7 wrote:January 2020 in CPK finished at 39.1*, 6.5* above average and the warmest January since 2006.

thanks for that info. I would have said more like +8. Few cold days in the mix I guess kept it lower than I thought.

Still the 11th warmest January in 151 years of record keeping.

A terrible month.

by **heehaw453** Sat Feb 01, 2020 8:38 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:
Math23x7 wrote:January 2020 in CPK finished at 39.1*, 6.5* above average and the warmest January since 2006.

thanks for that info. I would have said more like +8. Few cold days in the mix I guess kept it lower than I thought.

Still the 11th warmest January in 151 years of record keeping.

A terrible month.

Agreed. But interesting observation. Last year I think it was near normal (maybe you can confirm CP) regarding January temps, but actually more snow occurred this year @ +6.5 than last. Both modest amounts of snow, but goes to show that well timed events are critical to snowfall. Even great patterns don't produce sometimes which I consider even more frustrating...

by **dkodgis** Sun Feb 02, 2020 7:11 am

28 degrees at 7 am. Another slight dusting!

by **Radz** Sun Feb 02, 2020 7:55 am

Yup, 31° and dusted like powder sugar on a zeppole

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sun Feb 02, 2020 9:38 am

0.2 inches last night brings the seasonal to 19.0 inches.

A horrible stretch since Dec 22nd. Very similar to 2011/12

by **heehaw453** Sun Feb 02, 2020 4:31 pm

Light snow. 32.5 degrees. Not coming down hard enough to stick ATTM.

by **Dunnzoo** Sun Feb 02, 2020 5:27 pm

Cold rain, 37* and temp dropping.. I have a cousin in Long Valley NJ says it's snowing pretty good with accumulation, about an inch or so

by **Dunnzoo** Sun Feb 02, 2020 10:25 pm

34* and snow mixing in with the rain showers. Oh, and Chiefs won! cheers

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