June Obs & Discussion
+12
docstox12
frank 638
dkodgis
weatherwatchermom
essexcountypete
Dunnzoo
Frank_Wx
sroc4
jmanley32
aiannone
billg315
amugs
16 posters
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
jmanley32 wrote:Well look at the placement of the current line and the placement on the NAM, and the placement on the HRRR and the current radar. I dont think the line is suddenly going to jump to where the NAM is do you? LOLsroc4 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Appears the NAM even at 12z is way off with the actual placement of the line, oh well that sux, was hoping for some severe storms. The HRRR has the placement where it actually shows the line on radar now so I would discount the NAm completely.
Discounted completely?
Totally different entities moving through at diff times. 2pm ish HRRR vs 5pm is on the NAM
sroc4- Admin
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
sroc4 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Well look at the placement of the current line and the placement on the NAM, and the placement on the HRRR and the current radar. I dont think the line is suddenly going to jump to where the NAM is do you? LOLsroc4 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Appears the NAM even at 12z is way off with the actual placement of the line, oh well that sux, was hoping for some severe storms. The HRRR has the placement where it actually shows the line on radar now so I would discount the NAm completely.
Discounted completely?
Totally different entities moving through at diff times. 2pm ish HRRR vs 5pm is on the NAM
So there may be a similar line like on the NAM in a few hours? But the NAM did NOT show the morning line at all is why i thought that.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
jmanley32 wrote:sroc4 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Well look at the placement of the current line and the placement on the NAM, and the placement on the HRRR and the current radar. I dont think the line is suddenly going to jump to where the NAM is do you? LOLsroc4 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Appears the NAM even at 12z is way off with the actual placement of the line, oh well that sux, was hoping for some severe storms. The HRRR has the placement where it actually shows the line on radar now so I would discount the NAm completely.
Discounted completely?
Totally different entities moving through at diff times. 2pm ish HRRR vs 5pm is on the NAM
So there may be a similar line like on the NAM in a few hours? But the NAM did NOT show the morning line at all is why i thought that.
NWS Latest update:
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Stratified rain on the north side of an MCS passing off the NJ
coast will work quickly across the area the next couple of
hours. We should then clear back out. The question is can the
airmass recover and destabilize again for a chance of thunderstorms
later this afternoon. The last several runs of the HRRR redevelops
convection to NW of the Lower Hudson Valley late this
afternoon, which then drops south and east across the area
through early this evening. So will maintain a scattered threat
for late this afternoon into early this evening. Any strong and
or severe looks to be isolated and not as widespread as earlier
thought.
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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
Well that stinks, oh well, just another addition to a very bad day.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
RPM for tonight
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 MgWeb_WRF_20200603-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00083000_PgeneralSfcPres_R4km.thumb.png.9aa3829f1c847313136dcd080a736e76](https://files.usa-wx.com/monthly_2020_06/mgWeb_WRF_20200603-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00083000_PgeneralSfcPres_R4km.thumb.png.9aa3829f1c847313136dcd080a736e76.png)
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 MgWeb_WRF_20200603-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00103000_PgeneralSfcPres_R4km.thumb.png.181869fb856cf83fe787a16e766a39f7](https://files.usa-wx.com/monthly_2020_06/mgWeb_WRF_20200603-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00103000_PgeneralSfcPres_R4km.thumb.png.181869fb856cf83fe787a16e766a39f7.png)
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 MgWeb_WRF_20200603-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00113000_PgeneralSfcPres_R4km.thumb.png.15495fc95f80be1b269160ba5e008e59](https://files.usa-wx.com/monthly_2020_06/mgWeb_WRF_20200603-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00113000_PgeneralSfcPres_R4km.thumb.png.15495fc95f80be1b269160ba5e008e59.png)
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 MgWeb_WRF_20200603-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00083000_PgeneralSfcPres_R4km.thumb.png.9aa3829f1c847313136dcd080a736e76](https://files.usa-wx.com/monthly_2020_06/mgWeb_WRF_20200603-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00083000_PgeneralSfcPres_R4km.thumb.png.9aa3829f1c847313136dcd080a736e76.png)
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 MgWeb_WRF_20200603-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00103000_PgeneralSfcPres_R4km.thumb.png.181869fb856cf83fe787a16e766a39f7](https://files.usa-wx.com/monthly_2020_06/mgWeb_WRF_20200603-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00103000_PgeneralSfcPres_R4km.thumb.png.181869fb856cf83fe787a16e766a39f7.png)
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 MgWeb_WRF_20200603-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00113000_PgeneralSfcPres_R4km.thumb.png.15495fc95f80be1b269160ba5e008e59](https://files.usa-wx.com/monthly_2020_06/mgWeb_WRF_20200603-150000_ANE_ECONUS_F00113000_PgeneralSfcPres_R4km.thumb.png.15495fc95f80be1b269160ba5e008e59.png)
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
No images showing mugs.amugs wrote:RPM for tonight
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
The NWS confirms the severe line of storms that moved through the Philly and South Jersey area earlier was a derecho. Winds were clocked in the upper-80s mph in many locations and three deaths recorded.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
Nothing my way today until about 7:15 pm - then quite the rain storm. Still raining heavily
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
The 2 Nd line has gotten to me .nothing crazy just heavy rain
with some lightning
that’s about it
![:cloud_rain: 🌧](https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/emojione/assets/png/1f327.png?v=2.2.7)
![:cloud_lightning: 🌩](https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/emojione/assets/png/1f329.png?v=2.2.7)
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
Last night on the way to Monroe from Fort Lee NJ, ran into pitch black clouds.It opened up with extremely heavy rain and some wind near Hickory Farm Nursery.Had to pull over in the old Red Apple Rest parking lot for 10 minutes, I could not see even with my windshield wipers going at cartoon speed.Notices small branches and leaves going up the Orange Turnpike.
Calm and sunny now.
Calm and sunny now.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
docstox12 wrote:Last night on the way to Monroe from Fort Lee NJ, ran into pitch black clouds.It opened up with extremely heavy rain and some wind near Hickory Farm Nursery.Had to pull over in the old Red Apple Rest parking lot for 10 minutes, I could not see even with my windshield wipers going at cartoon speed.Notices small branches and leaves going up the Orange Turnpike.
Calm and sunny now.
Wow, Red Apple Rest! That's a throwback! The rain was quite the deal here, nothing severe, just heavy rain.
_________________
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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
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Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
Dunnzoo wrote:docstox12 wrote:Last night on the way to Monroe from Fort Lee NJ, ran into pitch black clouds.It opened up with extremely heavy rain and some wind near Hickory Farm Nursery.Had to pull over in the old Red Apple Rest parking lot for 10 minutes, I could not see even with my windshield wipers going at cartoon speed.Notices small branches and leaves going up the Orange Turnpike.
Calm and sunny now.
Wow, Red Apple Rest! That's a throwback! The rain was quite the deal here, nothing severe, just heavy rain.
Sunny, calm.
Dunz, it's still there but boarded up and in terrible shape.I expect it to come down sooner rather than later.I know it was in a Woody Allen movie and the Motel across the street still in business , was in the 1970 movie "Love Story".Monroe NY's claim to movie fame,LOL.Pass them both on the way to Fort Lee and back to attend to my Mom's needs.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
NAM's for T-storms today
3K
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 Nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_18](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2020060412/nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_18.png)
Regular NAM (12K)
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_18](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2020060412/namconus_ref_frzn_neus_18.png)
3K
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 Nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_18](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2020060412/nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_18.png)
Regular NAM (12K)
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_18](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2020060412/namconus_ref_frzn_neus_18.png)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
Yesterdays Storms Report - WOW!!
0119 PM TSTM WND GST BEACH HAVEN 39.56N 74.25W 06/03/2020 M93 MPH OCEAN NJ PUBLIC MEASURED 93 MPH WIND GUST FROM WXUNDERGROUND KNJLONGB42.
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 Today.gif.7e565de3e043a69c68d392d833b7e11c](https://files.usa-wx.com/monthly_2020_06/today.gif.7e565de3e043a69c68d392d833b7e11c.gif)
0119 PM TSTM WND GST BEACH HAVEN 39.56N 74.25W 06/03/2020 M93 MPH OCEAN NJ PUBLIC MEASURED 93 MPH WIND GUST FROM WXUNDERGROUND KNJLONGB42.
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 Today.gif.7e565de3e043a69c68d392d833b7e11c](https://files.usa-wx.com/monthly_2020_06/today.gif.7e565de3e043a69c68d392d833b7e11c.gif)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
Yjat looks identical to last nights, let me hopethat i see a better storm than last night just rediculously heavy rain and not really any wind. The worst looked to be to my north around 287. Thats a lice likke bowing line, might get some good storm out of that.amugs wrote:NAM's for T-storms today
3K
Regular NAM (12K)
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
jmanley32 wrote:Yjat looks identical to last nights, let me hopethat i see a better storm than last night just rediculously heavy rain and not really any wind. The worst looked to be to my north around 287. Thats a lice likke bowing line, might get some good storm out of that.amugs wrote:NAM's for T-storms today
3K
Regular NAM (12K)
But its the NAM. "Completely Discounted"
![told ya](/users/3017/35/58/46/smiles/1932913920.gif)
![told ya](/users/3017/35/58/46/smiles/1932913920.gif)
![told ya](/users/3017/35/58/46/smiles/1932913920.gif)
JK Jon. I hope you the family are well.
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
wow that's one of our favorite boat stops..I am glad we were not on our boat down there yesterday...amugs wrote:Yesterdays Storms Report - WOW!!
0119 PM TSTM WND GST BEACH HAVEN 39.56N 74.25W 06/03/2020 M93 MPH OCEAN NJ PUBLIC MEASURED 93 MPH WIND GUST FROM WXUNDERGROUND KNJLONGB42.
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
HELLLLLOOOOOO...ANYONE HERE..... hope everyone is well??!!..we had lots of rain and storms yesterday..a total of 2.16 inches of rain..good for my garden... very humid today...but sun is out...hope you all stay safe and enjoy the weekend!!
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
weatherwatchermom wrote:HELLLLLOOOOOO...ANYONE HERE..... hope everyone is well??!!..we had lots of rain and storms yesterday..a total of 2.16 inches of rain..good for my garden... very humid today...but sun is out...hope you all stay safe and enjoy the weekend!!
Here for ya Mom!!
The DP here is 70* and temp is 77* = disgusting out!
1.81" of wetness for me - great for my vegetable garden too!!
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
I'm here! Ugh 87* dew point 68* and I'm on call wearing a long sleeve jumpsuit with no ac in the driver's compartment! Maybe I can lose a few pounds!
![Razz](https://2img.net/i/fa/i/smiles/icon_razz.gif)
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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
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Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
Coming down in sheets right now heavy wind driven rain and I just washed my car
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
frank 638 wrote:Coming down in sheets right now heavy wind driven rain and I just washed my car
Always after you wash the car! It just missed us, I saw it forming to our south...
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
What a gorgeous day today!! Felt like September. Went off a hike at Campgaw Reservation in Mahwah, Ramapo Reservation was insane.
Temps here got to 78* with a nice breeze to windy conditions throughout the day. Good wx days ahead Mon and Tuesday!
Temps here got to 78* with a nice breeze to windy conditions throughout the day. Good wx days ahead Mon and Tuesday!
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
53* last night - gorgeous sleeping weather.
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
Beautiful day today. Got my workout done in the morning, all outside. Wonderful way to start the day. Love the coolish nights. Still, it feels like summer. Can't believe it's June. Everybody, enjoy!!!
Grselig- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: June Obs & Discussion
Tonight is going to be very comfortable sleeping as well!
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 1591693200-0gWxM30PqgQ](https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-deterministic/nystate/t2m_f/1591617600/1591693200-0gWxM30PqgQ.png)
![June Obs & Discussion - Page 2 1591693200-0gWxM30PqgQ](https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-deterministic/nystate/t2m_f/1591617600/1591693200-0gWxM30PqgQ.png)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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