Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

by **pdubz** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:20 pm

rb924119 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:im done with wxbell, gem not even started...

Use this:

http://epawaweather.com/weather-models/

Really good and fast!!!

thats what i use really good

by **jake732** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:20 pm

Frank, do u think the euro will trend north too??

by **rb924119** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:21 pm

287 and south get rocked

by **jmanley32** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:21 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:

good god blue into nyc wow!

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:21 pm

GFS QPF

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 9 Gfs_tprecip_nyc_21

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:22 pm

Stuck at hour 90 on GGEM

by **rb924119** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:23 pm

North and west get left out on this run :/ south from 12z

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:23 pm

jake732 wrote:Frank, do u think the euro will trend north too??

If it does not, it will be completely alone. Even the 00z UKMET came north tonight (so I hear from others). Also the EPS have been N&W.

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:23 pm

by **jmanley32** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:24 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:

wow oh wow Al where are u we get crushed on cmc!

by **snow247** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:24 pm

Yea Canadian not good for northern guys

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:25 pm

Yes - there is a sharp cut off N&W. But these models are still trending. Nothing set in stone. Goodnight to everyone. Let's continue the positives vibes tomorrow. Maybe the EURO finally catches on tonight.

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 9 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f99

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 9 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f99

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 9 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f102

by **rb924119** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:25 pm

I-95 corridor measures in feet with this

by **NjWeatherGuy** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:26 pm

I think the CMC might be stringing out the energy preventing it from coming further north. Not a bad run fmby but not sure its handling it right the way that low looks.

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:26 pm

Looping the GGEM again it looks like it has CF errors. Probably should not take it seriously.

by **jake732** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:27 pm

Where the hell is mugs!!!!!

by **rb924119** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:27 pm

NjWeatherGuy wrote:I think the CMC might be stringing out the energy preventing it from coming further north. Not a bad run fmby but not sure its handling it right the way that low looks.

I mentioned that with the GFS too. This storm is so dynamic it's unreal, and that's why the models are struggling so bad.

by **RJB8525** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:28 pm

With these runs business has picked up for me too in warren county awesome trends

by **rb924119** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:28 pm

15-30" For 90% of members on this board:

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 9 Snowfall_total_accum_lwwratio_NECONUS_hr108

by HEATMISER Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:29 pm

What's happens on Long Island?

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:30 pm

rb924119 wrote:North and west get left out on this run :/ south from 12z

For sure, heavy snows struggle to get 30 miles north of NYC for most of run. Who knows, I've seen that plenty in the last couple of years so it wouldn't shock me.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:31 pm

Man... havent seen over 20 since 2003.

by Abba701 Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:31 pm

Wow the CMC is good.

by **Artechmetals** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:33 pm

Rb are you sticking around for the euro run ?

by **rb924119** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:34 pm

HEATMISER wrote:What's happens on Long Island?

A lot of wind and a lot of snow lmao

by **jimv45** Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:34 pm

Yea cp but I got a feeling will do good still got sometime coming north.

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