01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

HEATMISER wrote:What's happens on Long Island?

A lot of wind and a lot of snow lmao

Yea cp but I got a feeling will do good still got sometime coming north.

Winds are go be a big concern from about 10-15 miles inland (much further in NJ per GFS) to the coast with gusts nearing hurricane force.

Artechmetals wrote:Rb are you sticking around for the euro run ?

Haven't decided yet lmfao I'm 50/50. Do I want the possible heartbreak or adrenaline rush now or tomorrow morning? Although I'd have a lot reading to catch up on from here if I didn't ahaha

I wouldnt say you would have to be upset if it didnt change its all alone if it does not come north. The majority rules I always say.

Does anybody have the 00z UK?

twc changed their forecast again to snowier for nyc. I feel like they are like us in here.

Jamn I just keep remember that other historic storm that was supposed to hit us I believe last year all the hype and it fizzed do you remember if the euro always had the correct solution

jimv45 wrote:Yea cp but I got a feeling will do good still got sometime coming north.

I'll take the GFS run. 1.5 inches qpf with our ratios would be 20-25 inches, Where do I sign.

I really don't know how we go yet Jim, we've had some scroo signals from some runs and great signals from others. I'm not going overboard on any single run yet.

anyone know EXACTLY what the CMC did?

Artechmetals wrote:Jamn I just keep remember that other historic storm that was supposed to hit us I believe last year all the hype and it fizzed do you remember if the euro always had the correct solution

Yes Juno and no the euro got it badly wrong had 3-4 feet for NYC we got bout 10 inches I think. So its the opposite this time so if its wrong then that would be a good thing this time : )

Cp I will be happy with a darn foot but of course want more but this winter I will sign up.

Oh cool didn't realize the euro was wrong jamn , then we might be in business

I am very concerned about the jersey shore. This doesn't look good at all for coastal flooding potential.

ok sorry posted wrong date. here is 00z cmc

hr 80

84

89

93

100

Very bad news; GFS ensembles are WAY south of Op.

according to that, that is 20+ hours of accumulating snow. Let's hope!

All GFS ensembles?

rb924119 wrote:Very bad news; GFS ensembles are WAY south of Op.

Oh crap. And I was just about to go to sleep. Damn.

How far south?

Far lol

Op:



Mean:

Rb, how does it effect us that is south?

And it continues Rb up then down and all around.

Op:



Mean snow:

I am confused please someone explain what this means ?

jake732 wrote:Rb, how does it effect us that is south?

Less snow. A lot less in this case.

jimv45 wrote:And it continues Rb up then down and all around.

UGHHHHHH lmfao