NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

+54
static2987
Sparky Sparticles
H.G. Rising
lglickman1
deadrabbit79
Taffy
gigs68
Scullybutcher
crippo84
aiannone
Radz
hyde345
essexcountypete
Quietace
sroc4
billg315
SNOW MAN
Snowfall
Snow88
Sunflowers138
oldtimer
mako460
Dtone
Abba701
jake732
HEATMISER
WeatherBob
algae888
Artechmetals
Dis2cruise
Ferndue21
jimv45
CPcantmeasuresnow
Vinnydula
Joe Snow
justin92
chief7
weatherwatchermom
SoulSingMG
Math23x7
nutleyblizzard
pdubz
frank 638
skinsfan1177
jmanley32
NjWeatherGuy
devsman
Biggin23
amugs
RJB8525
snow247
WeatherJeff1224
rb924119
Frank_Wx
58 posters

Page 14 of 35 Previous  1 ... 8 ... 13, 14, 15 ... 24 ... 35  Next

Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by Abba701 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:22 am

Does the city Miss out or they get something?

Abba701

Posts : 328
Join date : 2013-01-14

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by Abba701 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:22 am

Looks likes they get at least something

Abba701

Posts : 328
Join date : 2013-01-14

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:22 am

Coastal areas are getting crushed! Its not going to be a inland run

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Ecmwf_23
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20648
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:24 am

it came much further north, we can go to bed with a little ease still tough call though but step in right direction.

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Ecmwf_24
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20648
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:26 am

this was 12z snow map big jump northrin grand scheme of things city back in game.

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Ecmwf_25
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20648
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by SoulSingMG Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:26 am

The QPF this storm is gonna output is like, there are no words. DC/BM are really in the thick of it as of now. 3+ of it. This run of the Euro gives NYC 1.2 inches qpf
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2853
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:27 am

Came a little further north. Good to see despite the GEFS.
NjWeatherGuy
NjWeatherGuy
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4100
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-01-06
Location : Belle Mead, NJ

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by Abba701 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:27 am

Wait there is the euro ensembles??!!

Abba701

Posts : 328
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-01-14

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:28 am

good night all nyc sees near a foot, this is hopefully a trend start and maybe tomorrow we see even more.

good dreams of white gold!

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Ecmwf_26
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20648
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:29 am

Abba701 wrote:Wait there is the euro ensembles??!!

yes but thats wee hrs not staying up for that.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20648
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:29 am

central jersey jackpots on this run.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20648
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:33 am

We are not at our final solution, closing statement, goodnight everybody...
NjWeatherGuy
NjWeatherGuy
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4100
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-01-06
Location : Belle Mead, NJ

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by SoulSingMG Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:35 am

NjWeatherGuy wrote:We are not at our final solution, closing statement, goodnight everybody...

Precisely. All we need to take from tonight is the 00z suites came north cheers
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2853
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by Snow88 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:39 am

Blizzard watches up tomorrow?
Snow88
Snow88
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2193
Reputation : 4
Join date : 2013-01-09
Age : 36
Location : Brooklyn, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by SoulSingMG Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:41 am

No. I'd say Thursday AM at the earliest. However, for parts of S. Jersey, it may be different.

Mt. Holly just warned this MAY be in the top 5 worst coastal flood events in record keeping history. NOT GOOD.
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2853
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:47 am

Snow comes in fri night watches are usually 36 hrs and warnings 24 I believe.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20648
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:47 am

There are also near 90mph wind gusts off the coast at 985mb on euro. Nuts!
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20648
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 1:49 am

Hwo are getting more detailed and spotter activation may b needed. Nws starting to clamp on.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20648
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by SoulSingMG Wed Jan 20, 2016 2:05 am

UPTON's HWO

"A MAJOR WINTER STORM IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS STORM COULD PRODUCE HEAVY SNOW...STRONG WINDS...AND SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING."
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2853
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by SoulSingMG Wed Jan 20, 2016 2:19 am

Lee Goldberg just tweeted: "Timing differences, but both models depict a major snowstorm for NYC. We'll issue a snow total map later today."
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2853
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by oldtimer Wed Jan 20, 2016 2:46 am

Soul   Thanks for info on Euro  you also jman

oldtimer
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1103
Reputation : 14
Join date : 2013-01-16
Age : 78
Location : Port Jefferson Station Suffolk County

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by snow247 Wed Jan 20, 2016 4:12 am

Feeling an extremely sharp northern cutoff may still leave out those north of the city. Hoping that changes today.
snow247
snow247
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2417
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2014-08-27
Location : Mount Ivy, NY - Elevation 545'

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Jan 20, 2016 5:01 am

Reading through all pages so it seems to me will models show a big hit. But ensembles where south confusing
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4485
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 47
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by jake732 Wed Jan 20, 2016 5:29 am

And now we having mixing in rain an issues
jake732
jake732
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 449
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2016-01-03
Location : lakewood, nj

http://www.lakewood732.com

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by jake732 Wed Jan 20, 2016 5:30 am

For the coast*
jake732
jake732
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 449
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2016-01-03
Location : lakewood, nj

http://www.lakewood732.com

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Jan 20, 2016 5:53 am

Great run by the 6z GFS! Ticked SE but has more expansive precip shield and colder too! 1-2 feet throughout the area.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1964
Reputation : 42
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 58
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by Dtone Wed Jan 20, 2016 5:54 am

I hear snow to a mix then back to snow nyc metro.

Dtone
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 1738
Reputation : 9
Join date : 2013-08-26
Location : Bronx, NY

Back to top Go down

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 14 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 14 of 35 Previous  1 ... 8 ... 13, 14, 15 ... 24 ... 35  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum