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01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North?

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:05 am

Sounds like this coutd be a good run, maybe not huge better than 00z but maybe bit better, we keep creeping each run we will do very well come sat.

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Post by rb924119 Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:07 am

Slightly better than 00z. Lows are about 50-75 miles further north. Baby steps I guess.

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:07 am

EURO is looking great

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:08 am

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 24 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f75

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:08 am

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 24 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f78

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:08 am

Well that's actually quite a bit meaningful for NYC area anyways.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:09 am

H5 low now noticeably further north

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:09 am

Back to square yesterday... 12z GEFS

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=277029
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:10 am

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 24 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f81

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:10 am

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 24 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f84

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:11 am

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 24 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f87

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:12 am

There is still a cut-off...ERG!

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Post by Quietace Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:12 am

Banding looks similar in positioning to the NAM at this time frame
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:12 am

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 24 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f90

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:12 am

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #3 - Will Models Trend Back North? - Page 24 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f93

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:13 am

NYC/NJ/LI GET HAMMERED!


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Post by rb924119 Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:13 am

I-78 and south does very well

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Post by jake732 Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:14 am

coast?
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:14 am

Frank_Wx wrote:NYC/NJ/LI GET HAMMERED!


does that include southern suburbs ie. yonkers mt. Vernon me and Al? wxbell not loaded yet.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:15 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by rb924119 Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:14 am

jake732 wrote:coast?

Just fine lol

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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:15 am

Euro makes CONSIDERABLE improvements. Wow.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:15 am

Dont like how the GFS and EURO are now showing the SLP escaping to the east further south instead of getting captured fully, this means a much shorter storm overall, less QPF, less snow and wind.
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Post by Joe Snow Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:16 am

Frank_Wx wrote:NYC/NJ/LI GET HAMMERED!



Yes sir we doooooooooooooooo cheers
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Post by Quietace Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:16 am

All snow event for pretty much everyone in the area.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:16 am

We keep losing these true chances for massive blizzards every year for quicker mesoscale events, frusturating...
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Post by rb924119 Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:17 am

NjWeatherGuy wrote:We keep losing these true chances for massive blizzards every year for quicker mesoscale events, frusturating...

Agree

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Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Jan 20, 2016 11:17 am

I think Frank is pumped. He just changed his avatar!!!
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