Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

by **WeatherBob** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:11 pm

Too many maps and too many models, haha!!!

by **snow247** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:12 pm

SREFS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell???

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.e9f796b7ded9a07fa74193e47799dde4

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.8af19e2e684eb852913ec6bf81cc6692

by **WeatherBob** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:12 pm

In my day there was one model, count it, one operational model. The LFM. haha!

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:12 pm

Frank what do you make of the change in the Euro ensembles? Is this big for a change north?

by **snow247** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:13 pm

snow247 wrote:SREFS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell???

BUMP.

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:15 pm

snow247 wrote:
snow247 wrote:SREFS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell???

BUMP.

At 84 hrs its not even over and that has 10-15 for large area. As stated a day or so ago maybe the short range models will actually do a better job! What exactly does the second map demark? And why did you say wth? whats wrong with them they look gr8.

by **snow247** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:15 pm

Huge bump north! This isn't over guys!

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.29a504df23bc489f7c98a1afdb10193e

by **frank 638** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:16 pm

what time does the euro comes out

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:17 pm

snow247 wrote:Huge bump north! This isn't over guys!

wheres the DC jackpot huh? lol

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:18 pm

Yeah but does the sref hold any ground 2 days out? well 1 1/2 when they come into gr8 range.

by **frank 638** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:19 pm

snow247 wrote:Huge bump north! This isn't over guys!

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:19 pm

frank 638 wrote:what time does the euro comes out

starts around 1am yawn....i made it last night.

by **snow247** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:21 pm

To compare:

newest SREFS
01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 Image.jpg.29a504df23bc489f7c98a1afdb10193e

last run
01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 3 SREFNE24Precip15087

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:23 pm

I'm telling you...this storm is not done trending.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:24 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Frank what do you make of the change in the Euro ensembles? Is this big for a change north?

They were huge. Then again, I don't take ensembles seriously in the short range.

by **frank 638** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:27 pm

frank do you think we will have a blizzard watch or winter storm watch by tom afternoon in our area

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:28 pm

snow247 wrote:To compare:

newest SREFS

last run

UMMM YEAH

That is a HELLUVA jump north. Very Happy

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:29 pm

frank 638 wrote:frank do you think we will have a blizzard watch or winter storm watch by tom afternoon in our area

I mentioned this earlier: A friend of mine with a contact at UPTON said they are planning on (I'm assuming if things continue as-is guidance wise or trend better) releasing a Blizzard Watch for the NYC metro tomorrow afternoon and in turn, warnings around 18:00 on Friday.

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:30 pm

Does anyone know an esti.ate on how long of event we are looking at I k,ow its starting later now

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:31 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:Does anyone know an esti.ate on how long of event we are looking at I k,ow its starting later now

18-22 hours

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:32 pm

The 00z SREFS started a positive trend last night too. Don't forget, the 12z runs were actually really nice for most people here. I think the 00z will make people happy. Can't wait to do it in the chat!!

by **frank 638** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:33 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
frank 638 wrote:frank do you think we will have a blizzard watch or winter storm watch by tom afternoon in our area

I mentioned this earlier: A friend of mine with a contact at UPTON said they are planning on (I'm assuming if things continue as-is guidance wise or trend better) releasing a Blizzard Watch for the NYC metro tomorrow afternoon and in turn, warnings around 18:00 on Friday.

:

by **frank 638** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:35 pm

i am going try to stay up for the chat i have a early atart tom for work by 530 am

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:35 pm

If anyone can find Lee Goldbergs snow map, please post it here so I can add it to the snow maps thread Scott started. Same for TWC, Accuweather, and other news casts. I like to see as many perspectives as possible

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:35 pm

frank 638 wrote:i am going try to stay up for the chat i have a early atart tom for work by 530 am

I wake up at 5:30. It's called coffee ha!

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:38 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:Does anyone know an esti.ate on how long of event we are looking at I k,ow its starting later now

18-22 hours

Thank you so a little less than originally thought but still a long event

by **snow247** Wed Jan 20, 2016 8:39 pm

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