Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

by **snow247** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:41 pm

WOW SREFS

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:47 pm

Ughhhhhh I'm trying so hard to think positively but this just reminds me of all those storms that year DC/BM had Snowmegedon. I feel like we are sorta grasping at straws because of how great this looked on Sun/Mon. :-/

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:51 pm

Hearing lots of chatter about the dry air to our north that is going to eat away at light precip trying to move in to get things going. The Euro shows this. Ukie doesn't because it isn't as high-res, but this is heading in a frustrating direction for NYC metro points north.

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:55 pm

Hmmm...

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 22 Czrktg10

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:00 pm

SREFS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 22 SREF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f57

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 22 SREFNE24Precip15066

by **snow247** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:02 pm

Low and precip shield further north so far on the 18z NAM.

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:06 pm

I am hearing the EURO ENSEMBLES are well north of OP.........

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:06 pm

Snow map will be out soon...

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:08 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:I am hearing the EURO ENSEMBLES are well north of OP.........

Nope lol

by **Quietace** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:09 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:I am hearing the EURO ENSEMBLES are well north of OP.........

Probably 25 or so miles south of last nights.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:09 pm

15z SREF is an improvement, but still some concerning misses...

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_15z/srefloop.html#picture

by **skinsfan1177** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:11 pm

This is such a pain when will we lock in and say this is what we are going with. From what I'm u,detstand8ng the reason we haven't is bc of the low jumping east makes no sense correct

by **jake732** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:12 pm

skinns how are digesting all this?

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:13 pm

NAM 36

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2016012118&time=INSTANT&var=PRMSL&hour=036

by **skinsfan1177** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:15 pm

jake732 wrote:skinns how are digesting all this?

Honestly everything seems good for a decent snow here but for NYC it seems to be a battle and one that many aren't giving up yet lol

by **jake732** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:17 pm

twc says 1 to 3 Saturday and 1 to 3 by night...sucks

by **skinsfan1177** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:18 pm

For who?

by **jake732** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:20 pm

me 08701

by **snow247** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:22 pm

NAM definitely further north compared to last run, nice.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:24 pm

42

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2016012118&time=6&var=PRMSL&hour=042

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:25 pm

45

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2016012118&time=6&var=APCPI&hour=045

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:26 pm

48

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2016012118&time=6&var=APCPI&hour=048

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:28 pm

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?act=attach&type=post&id=277704

by **algae888** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:29 pm

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:29 pm

He's really the SH*T. Love this guy. SMART.

Bernie's Latest: https://t.co/EYvOltNcsI

by **jake732** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:29 pm

Jon Rocco ❄ ❄ ❄ ‏@jonathonrocco
You see in my map that I am sticking with the short range models right now. I think it's time to say goodbye to the GFS/EURO for this storm

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 3:30 pm

51 banding pushing into NNJ and HV

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2016012118&time=6&var=PRMSL&hour=051

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